ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Baník Souš vs Sokol Brozany

Baník Souš Home · Elo 1,588
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sokol Brozany Away · Elo 1,499
Stadion Josefa Masopusta, Most Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Baník Souš win
Baník Souš winPick
58.5%
Draw
19.5%
Sokol Brozany win
22.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.5%
No47.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.2%
Under 2.540.8%

How much we know

Baník Souš history60 matches
Sokol Brozany history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.5%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Baník Souš are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Baník Souš are rated 88 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,588 against 1,499. On rating alone Baník Souš would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Baník Souš score more

    1.65 goals a game over 60 matches for Baník Souš, against 1.31 over 62 for Sokol Brozany.

  • Baník Souš concede fewer

    Baník Souš concede 1.20 a game, Sokol Brozany 1.69.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    58% of Baník Souš matches, against 53% for Sokol Brozany. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Baník Souš
Sokol Brozany
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1587.9
ELO
1499.4
60
ELO · Matches
62
1587.9
Current Team ELO
1499.4
1499.4
Current Opponent ELO
1587.9
88.47
Current ELO Difference
-88.47
0.62
Expected score
0.38
60
History Matches
62
0.07
Residual Mean
0.01
54.97
Overperformance
50.44
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
2.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.70
PPG
1.40
1.60
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.64
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.69
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.18
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.54
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
62
1.73
PPG
1.26
51.7%
Win rate
32.3%
18.3%
Draw rate
29.0%
30.0%
Loss rate
38.7%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
74.2%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
53.2%
30.0%
Over 3.5 rate
38.7%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
29
2.04
PPG
1.00
60.7%
Win rate
20.7%
21.4%
Draw rate
37.9%
17.9%
Loss rate
41.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.8%
53.6%
Over 2.5 rate
55.2%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
37.9%
1.65
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
28
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.65
Goals for per game
1.31
75.0%
Scoring rate
72.6%
43.3%
BTTS rate
53.2%
1.82
Goals for per game
1.28
85.7%
Scoring rate
69.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
55.2%
2.50
Goals for per game
1.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
60
History Matches
62
1.65
Goals Mean
1.31
1.31
Goals Std
1.26
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
72.6%
55.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.1%
23.3%
Scored 3+ rate
11.3%
1.82
Venue Goals Mean
1.28
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.20
Goals against per game
1.69
63.3%
Conceding rate
69.4%
0.89
Goals against per game
1.72
57.1%
Conceding rate
75.9%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
60
History Matches
62
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.69
1.19
Conceded Std
1.59
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.6%
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.2%
0.89
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.4%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
24.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.0%
36.7%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
62
0.92
Result entropy
0.99
1.87
Goal Difference Std
1.94
7.76
Stability score
0.66
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
62
21
Lead Matches
15
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.87
16
Trailing Matches
21
37.5%
Non-loss rate
23.8%
18.8%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
0.78
First Half Goals For Mean
0.63
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.68
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.20
Rest days
83.17
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.33
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
31
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.71
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
25
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.76
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.05
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.50
2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
7
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.34
Portability PPG Std
0.42
0.75
Portability PPG Range
1.10
59.83
Portability Score
54.14
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO88.47
PPG0.48
GF0.34
GA-0.49
PPG1.00
PPG1.04
PPG0.00
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate6.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate18.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.34
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate2.4%
Scored 2+ rate17.9%
Scored 3+ rate12.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.86
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.49
Conceded Std-0.40
Clean-sheet rate6.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean-0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.52
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.07
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score7.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.65
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate20.0%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate13.7%
Trailing Win Rate9.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.50
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.09
Portability PPG Range-0.35
Portability Score5.69
Rest days0.03
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.42
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.71
Current Team ELO88.47
Current Opponent ELO-88.47
Current ELO Difference176.9
Expected score0.25
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Baník Souš

D
Baník Souš1–1Slovan Liberec II31 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 56% · missed
L
Hradec Králové II2–0Baník Souš25 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Souš 46% · missed
W
Baník Souš1–0Varnsdorf17 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 59% · hit
D
Baník Souš1–1Benátky nad Jizerou14 Oct · home
Pick: Baník Souš 55% · missed
W
Chrudim1–2Baník Souš29 Aug · away
Pick: Baník Souš 45% · hit

Sokol Brozany

W
Sokol Brozany3–1Hradec Králové II31 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové II 48% · missed
L
Varnsdorf3–2Sokol Brozany25 Oct · away
Pick: Varnsdorf 49% · hit
L
Sokol Brozany1–3Mladá Boleslav II17 Oct · home
Pick: Mladá Boleslav II 43% · hit
D
Sokol Brozany0–0Sokol Zápy4 Oct · home
Pick: Sokol Zápy 59% · missed
D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Sokol Brozany30 Aug · away
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 51% · missed

About this match

Baník Souš and Sokol Brozany meet in 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Josefa Masopusta, Most. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Baník Souš win 58.5%, draw 19.5%, Sokol Brozany win 22.0%. The pick is Baník Souš win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.2%. Both teams to score: 52.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.