ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL B Czechia Group B - 14 2026

Slovan Liberec II vs Neratovice-Byškovice

Slovan Liberec II Home · Elo 1,469
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Neratovice-Byškovice Away · Elo 1,539
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slovan Liberec II win
Slovan Liberec II winPick
53.0%
Draw
19.6%
Neratovice-Byškovice win
27.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.4%
No34.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.579.0%
Under 2.521.0%

How much we know

Slovan Liberec II history54 matches
Neratovice-Byškovice history57 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.0%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Slovan Liberec II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Neratovice-Byškovice are rated 70 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,539 against 1,469. On rating alone Neratovice-Byškovice would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    2.02 goals a game over 54 matches for Slovan Liberec II, against 2.07 over 57 for Neratovice-Byškovice.

  • Neratovice-Byškovice concede fewer

    Slovan Liberec II concede 2.13 a game, Neratovice-Byškovice 1.74.

  • Slovan Liberec II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    78% of Slovan Liberec II matches, against 63% for Neratovice-Byškovice. The model puts this match at 79% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slovan Liberec II
Neratovice-Byškovice
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1468.6
ELO
1538.6
54
ELO · Matches
57
1468.6
Current Team ELO
1538.6
1538.6
Current Opponent ELO
1468.6
-69.99
Current ELO Difference
69.99
0.40
Expected score
0.60
54
History Matches
57
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.03
47.65
Overperformance
52.55
0.31
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
2.00
2.20
Goals for per game
3.40
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.20
3.60
Goals for per game
2.80
1.70
Goals against per game
1.80
70.0%
Win rate
70.0%
3.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
3.01
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.71
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.72
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
3.53
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
57
1.04
PPG
1.60
27.8%
Win rate
45.6%
20.4%
Draw rate
22.8%
51.9%
Loss rate
31.6%
92.6%
Over 1.5 rate
91.2%
77.8%
Over 2.5 rate
63.2%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
2.61
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.79
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
28
1.20
PPG
1.54
32.0%
Win rate
42.9%
24.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
44.0%
Loss rate
32.1%
96.0%
Over 1.5 rate
89.3%
84.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
64.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.61
25
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.02
Goals for per game
2.07
74.1%
Scoring rate
80.7%
70.4%
BTTS rate
57.9%
2.44
Goals for per game
1.82
92.0%
Scoring rate
82.1%
84.0%
BTTS rate
64.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
54
History Matches
57
2.02
Goals Mean
2.07
2.07
Goals Std
1.90
74.1%
Scored 1+ rate
80.7%
48.1%
Scored 2+ rate
56.1%
29.6%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
2.44
Venue Goals Mean
1.82
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.13
Goals against per game
1.74
94.4%
Conceding rate
73.7%
1.80
Goals against per game
1.68
92.0%
Conceding rate
78.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
57
2.13
Conceded Mean
1.74
1.23
Conceded Std
1.75
68.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
43.9%
29.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.1%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
19.3%
8.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
25.9%
Failed-to-score rate
19.3%
8.0%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
8.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.9%
5.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
57
0.93
Result entropy
0.96
2.61
Goal Difference Std
2.79
7.11
Stability score
3.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
57
19
Lead Matches
24
63.2%
Lead Win Rate
79.2%
0.70
Lead Points Retention
0.85
24
Trailing Matches
18
8.3%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
4.2%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.94
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
1.09
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
1.07
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.14
1.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
90.76
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.33
33
Normal Rest History Matches
30
0.91
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.63
20
Long Rest History Matches
23
1.30
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals
170
1
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
1.33
100.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.09
1
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.67
6
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.58
1.16
Portability PPG Range
1.52
49.92
Portability Score
46.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
57
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-69.99
PPG-0.56
GF-0.05
GA0.39
PPG1.67
PPG-0.34
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate6.6%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.05
Goals Std0.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.62
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.39
Conceded Std-0.52
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate24.7%
Conceded 3+ rate1.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.12
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.53
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.18
Stability score3.52
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.15
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.16
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.11
Current Competition Matches-2
Current Competition PPG1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.08
Portability PPG Range-0.36
Portability Score3.77
Rest days13.72
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.72
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Current Team ELO-69.99
Current Opponent ELO69.99
Current ELO Difference-140.0
Expected score-0.20
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slovan Liberec II

D
Baník Souš1–1Slovan Liberec II31 Oct · away
Pick: Baník Souš 56% · missed
D
Slovan Liberec II0–0Čáslav28 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec II 54% · missed
W
Slovan Liberec II5–1Horní Ředice24 Oct · home
Pick: Slovan Liberec II 55% · hit
W
Hradec Králové II1–2Slovan Liberec II18 Oct · away
Pick: Hradec Králové II 44% · missed
D
Varnsdorf1–1Slovan Liberec II4 Oct · away
Pick: Varnsdorf 42% · missed

Neratovice-Byškovice

W
Horní Ředice0–2Neratovice-Byškovice31 Oct · away
Pick: Neratovice-Byškovice 42% · hit
W
Neratovice-Byškovice6–1Chrudim24 Oct · home
Pick: Chrudim 42% · missed
D
Benátky nad Jizerou0–0Neratovice-Byškovice18 Oct · away
Pick: Benátky nad Jizerou 55% · missed
W
Teplice II0–2Neratovice-Byškovice4 Oct · away
Pick: Teplice II 52% · missed
L
Neratovice-Byškovice1–2Varnsdorf29 Aug · home
Pick: Varnsdorf 42% · hit

About this match

Slovan Liberec II and Neratovice-Byškovice meet in 3. liga - CFL B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Slovan Liberec II win 53.0%, draw 19.6%, Neratovice-Byškovice win 27.4%. The pick is Slovan Liberec II win. Over 2.5 goals: 79.0%. Both teams to score: 65.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.