ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Benešov vs Dukla Praha II

Benešov Home · Elo 1,638
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dukla Praha II Away · Elo 1,432
Football Pitch Benesov Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Benešov win
Benešov winPick
62.9%
Draw
21.2%
Dukla Praha II win
16.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.1%
No44.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.2%
Under 2.533.8%

How much we know

Benešov history54 matches
Dukla Praha II history60 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Benešov are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Benešov are rated 206 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,638 against 1,432. On rating alone Benešov would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

  • Benešov score more

    2.54 goals a game over 54 matches for Benešov, against 1.67 over 60 for Dukla Praha II.

  • Benešov concede fewer

    Benešov concede 0.80 a game, Dukla Praha II 1.73.

  • Dukla Praha II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    59% of Benešov matches, against 68% for Dukla Praha II. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Benešov
Dukla Praha II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1637.8
ELO
1432.0
54
ELO · Matches
60
1637.8
Current Team ELO
1432.0
1432.0
Current Opponent ELO
1637.8
205.7
Current ELO Difference
-205.7
0.77
Expected score
0.23
54
History Matches
60
0.12
Residual Mean
-0.06
58.91
Overperformance
45.54
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.40
1.40
Goals for per game
1.40
0.80
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
0.60
2.20
Goals for per game
1.30
0.80
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Win rate
10.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.99
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.55
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
60
2.22
PPG
1.18
70.4%
Win rate
33.3%
11.1%
Draw rate
18.3%
18.5%
Loss rate
48.3%
75.9%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
59.3%
Over 2.5 rate
68.3%
42.6%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.16
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
31
2.44
PPG
1.32
77.8%
Win rate
38.7%
11.1%
Draw rate
16.1%
11.1%
Loss rate
45.2%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
77.4%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
64.5%
51.9%
Over 3.5 rate
41.9%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.77
27
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.54
Goals for per game
1.67
81.5%
Scoring rate
75.0%
37.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
2.85
Goals for per game
1.58
88.9%
Scoring rate
80.6%
40.7%
BTTS rate
64.5%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.50
0.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
54
History Matches
60
2.54
Goals Mean
1.67
1.90
Goals Std
1.67
81.5%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
70.4%
Scored 2+ rate
46.7%
46.3%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
2.85
Venue Goals Mean
1.58
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.80
Goals against per game
1.73
48.1%
Conceding rate
83.3%
0.67
Goals against per game
1.68
44.4%
Conceding rate
83.9%
0.50
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
60
0.80
Conceded Mean
1.73
1.01
Conceded Std
1.31
20.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
48.3%
11.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.3%
0.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
51.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
55.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
51.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
18.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
55.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.4%
51.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
60
0.73
Result entropy
0.94
2.16
Goal Difference Std
2.36
26.84
Stability score
6.37
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
60
33
Lead Matches
21
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
76.2%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.81
7
Trailing Matches
21
0.0%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
60
1.19
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
1.34
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.40
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.84
Rest days
83.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
29
Normal Rest History Matches
30
2.45
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.37
23
Long Rest History Matches
28
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.04
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.50
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.50
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
6
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.35
Portability PPG Std
0.38
0.85
Portability PPG Range
1.00
58.77
Portability Score
56.86
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
60
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO205.7
PPG1.04
GF0.87
GA-0.94
PPG0.50
PPG1.12
PPG1.00
PPG1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate35.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate39.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.87
Goals Std0.23
Scored 1+ rate6.5%
Scored 2+ rate23.7%
Scored 3+ rate26.3%
Venue Goals Mean1.27
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.98
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean-0.94
Conceded Std-0.31
Clean-sheet rate35.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.28
Conceded 3+ rate-0.17
Venue Conceded Mean-1.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.40
History Matches-6
Result entropy-0.20
Goal Difference Std-0.20
Stability score20.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.36
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches12
Lead Win Rate23.8%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches-14
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate-0.05
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.36
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.37
Second Half Goals For Mean0.51
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.59
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.15
Portability Score1.91
Rest days0.80
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.08
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.96
Current Team ELO205.7
Current Opponent ELO-205.7
Current ELO Difference411.5
Expected score0.53
History Matches-6
Residual Mean0.18
Overperformance13.37
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Benešov

L
Viktoria Plzeň II3–0Benešov1 Nov · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň II 53% · hit
W
Příbram II2–3Benešov28 Oct · away
Pick: Benešov 44% · hit
W
Benešov2–1Bohemians 1905 II24 Oct · home
Pick: Benešov 65% · hit
W
Benešov3–1Povltava FA29 Aug · home
Pick: Benešov 58% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dukla Praha II

L
Dukla Praha II2–3Jiskra Domažlice31 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 62% · hit
D
Aritma Praha0–0Dukla Praha II24 Oct · away
Pick: Aritma Praha 63% · missed
W
Dukla Praha II4–0Písek18 Oct · home
Pick: Písek 55% · missed
L
Viktoria Plzeň II3–0Dukla Praha II4 Oct · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň II 66% · hit
W
Dukla Praha II2–1Slavia III30 Aug · home
Pick: Dukla Praha II 40% · hit

About this match

Benešov and Dukla Praha II meet in 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at Football Pitch Benesov. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Benešov win 62.9%, draw 21.2%, Dukla Praha II win 16.0%. The pick is Benešov win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.2%. Both teams to score: 55.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.