ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Slavia III vs České Budějovice

Slavia III Home · Elo 1,479
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
České Budějovice Away · Elo 1,471
Stadion Na Chvalech, Prague Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: České Budějovice win
Slavia III win
32.4%
Draw
27.7%
České Budějovice winPick
39.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.5%
No45.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.1%
Under 2.543.9%

How much we know

Slavia III history39 matches
České Budějovice history64 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why České Budějovice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,479 against 1,471. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Slavia III score more

    1.51 goals a game over 39 matches for Slavia III, against 1.03 over 64 for České Budějovice.

  • Defences are close

    Slavia III concede 1.56 a game, České Budějovice 1.55.

  • Slavia III games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Slavia III matches, against 48% for České Budějovice. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Slavia III
České Budějovice
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1479.3
ELO
1471.4
39
ELO · Matches
64
1479.3
Current Team ELO
1471.4
1471.4
Current Opponent ELO
1479.3
7.94
Current ELO Difference
-7.94
0.51
Expected score
0.49
39
History Matches
64
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.02
49.07
Overperformance
48.59
0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
2.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.30
1.50
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.12
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.40
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.20
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.37
Overall performance9 signals
90
39
Matches
64
1.28
PPG
0.98
35.9%
Win rate
28.1%
20.5%
Draw rate
14.1%
43.6%
Loss rate
57.8%
79.5%
Over 1.5 rate
73.4%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
48.4%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
23.4%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
32
1.18
PPG
0.88
36.4%
Win rate
25.0%
9.1%
Draw rate
12.5%
54.5%
Loss rate
62.5%
86.4%
Over 1.5 rate
68.8%
68.2%
Over 2.5 rate
40.6%
40.9%
Over 3.5 rate
18.8%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
22
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.51
Goals for per game
1.03
79.5%
Scoring rate
60.9%
61.5%
BTTS rate
40.6%
1.55
Goals for per game
0.88
86.4%
Scoring rate
56.3%
63.6%
BTTS rate
37.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.33
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
0.0%
39
History Matches
64
1.51
Goals Mean
1.03
1.17
Goals Std
1.10
79.5%
Scored 1+ rate
60.9%
41.0%
Scored 2+ rate
28.1%
25.6%
Scored 3+ rate
9.4%
1.55
Venue Goals Mean
0.88
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.56
Goals against per game
1.55
74.4%
Conceding rate
73.4%
1.77
Goals against per game
1.53
77.3%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.33
Goals against per game
0.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
0.0%
39
History Matches
64
1.56
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.37
Conceded Std
1.31
43.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.3%
1.77
Venue Conceded Mean
1.53
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.6%
20.5%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
43.8%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.6%
20.5%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
13.6%
Failed-to-score rate
43.8%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
39
History Matches
64
0.96
Result entropy
0.86
1.78
Goal Difference Std
1.87
4.00
Stability score
13.58
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
38
Eligible Matches
64
11
Lead Matches
20
63.6%
Lead Win Rate
85.0%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.87
10
Trailing Matches
23
10.0%
Non-loss rate
8.7%
10.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.82
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
75.76
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
5
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.80
23
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.04
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.90
15
Long Rest History Matches
28
1.53
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.11
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.05
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.33
3
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.65
Portability PPG Std
0.91
1.44
Portability PPG Range
2.81
43.31
Portability Score
35.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
39
Clean History Matches
64
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO7.94
PPG0.30
GF0.48
GA0.02
PPG-1.67
PPG0.31
PPG-0.20
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-25
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.30
History Matches-25
Goals Mean0.48
Goals Std0.07
Scored 1+ rate18.5%
Scored 2+ rate12.9%
Scored 3+ rate16.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.28
History Matches-25
Conceded Mean0.02
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Conceded 2+ rate-0.06
Conceded 3+ rate2.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.49
History Matches-25
Result entropy0.10
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score-9.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.73
Eligible Matches-26
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate-0.21
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate1.3%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-26
First Half Goals For Mean0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean0.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.67
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.26
Portability PPG Range-1.38
Portability Score7.95
Rest days1.28
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches-13
Long Rest Points Per Match0.43
Current Team ELO7.94
Current Opponent ELO-7.94
Current ELO Difference15.88
Expected score0.02
History Matches-25
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.48
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Slavia III

L
Motorlet Praha3–2Slavia III24 Oct · away
Pick: Motorlet Praha 62% · hit
L
Slavia III3–4Králův Dvůr17 Oct · home
Pick: Králův Dvůr 57% · hit
W
Slavia III4–0Povltava FA4 Oct · home
Pick: Slavia III 46% · hit
L
Dukla Praha II2–1Slavia III30 Aug · away
Pick: Dukla Praha II 40% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

České Budějovice

W
České Budějovice1–0Motorlet Praha31 Oct · home
Pick: České Budějovice 55% · hit
D
Králův Dvůr3–3České Budějovice24 Oct · away
Pick: České Budějovice 40% · missed
W
České Budějovice2–1Loko Vltavín17 Oct · home
Pick: České Budějovice 62% · hit
W
Viktoria Plzeň II2–4České Budějovice30 Aug · away
Pick: Viktoria Plzeň II 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Slavia III and České Budějovice meet in 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Na Chvalech, Prague. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Slavia III win 32.4%, draw 27.7%, České Budějovice win 39.9%. The pick is České Budějovice win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.1%. Both teams to score: 54.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.