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2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 12 2026

Bochum W vs Hoffenheim II W

Bochum W Home · Elo 1,493
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hoffenheim II W Away · Elo 1,470
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bochum W win
Bochum W winPick
75.3%
Draw
16.1%
Hoffenheim II W win
8.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.8%
No50.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.0%
Under 2.523.0%

How much we know

Bochum W history43 matches
Hoffenheim II W history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (75.3%). Picks in that band won 76.5% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 646 matches.

Why Bochum W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,493 against 1,470. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Bochum W score more

    1.53 goals a game over 43 matches for Bochum W, against 1.00 over 3 for Hoffenheim II W.

  • Bochum W concede fewer

    Bochum W concede 1.51 a game, Hoffenheim II W 3.00.

  • Hoffenheim II W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Bochum W matches, against 100% for Hoffenheim II W. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bochum W
Hoffenheim II W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1493.1
ELO
1470.4
43
ELO · Matches
3
1493.1
Current Team ELO
1470.4
1470.4
Current Opponent ELO
1493.1
22.69
Current ELO Difference
-22.69
0.53
Expected score
0.47
43
History Matches
3
-0.01
Residual Mean
-0.46
49.37
Overperformance
43.98
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.46
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
3
2.40
PPG
0.00
3.20
Goals for per game
1.00
0.60
Goals against per game
3.00
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
3
1.30
PPG
0.00
1.70
Goals for per game
1.00
1.30
Goals against per game
3.00
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.95
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.00
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.00
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.82
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.82
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
3
1.30
PPG
0.00
37.2%
Win rate
0.0%
18.6%
Draw rate
0.0%
44.2%
Loss rate
100.0%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
32.6%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
2.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
1
1.05
PPG
0.00
28.6%
Win rate
0.0%
19.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
52.4%
Loss rate
100.0%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
52.4%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
21
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.53
Goals for per game
1.00
69.8%
Scoring rate
100.0%
51.2%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1.52
Goals for per game
1.00
61.9%
Scoring rate
100.0%
38.1%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
3
1.53
Goals Mean
1.00
1.56
Goals Std
0.00
69.8%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
41.9%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
20.9%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.51
Goals against per game
3.00
76.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.52
Goals against per game
2.00
71.4%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.33
Goals against per game
3.00
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
3
1.51
Conceded Mean
3.00
1.35
Conceded Std
0.82
41.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
18.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
66.7%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
30.2%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
38.1%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
3
0.95
Result entropy
0.00
2.39
Goal Difference Std
0.82
5.19
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
3
14
Lead Matches
0
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.86
Lead Points Retention
—
11
Trailing Matches
3
18.2%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
18.2%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.81
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.56
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.67
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.95
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.33
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
83.04
Rest days
83.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
22
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.14
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.55
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.89
Portability PPG Std
—
2.00
Portability PPG Range
—
35.88
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO22.69
PPG1.30
GF0.53
GA-1.49
PPG3.00
PPG1.05
PPG2.40
PPG1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches40
Clean-sheet rate23.3%
Failed-to-score rate30.2%
History Matches20
Clean-sheet rate28.6%
Failed-to-score rate38.1%
History Matches40
Goals Mean0.53
Goals Std1.56
Scored 1+ rate-0.30
Scored 2+ rate41.9%
Scored 3+ rate20.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std1.95
History Matches40
Conceded Mean-1.49
Conceded Std0.54
Clean-sheet rate23.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.58
Conceded 3+ rate-0.48
Venue Conceded Mean-0.48
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.53
History Matches40
Result entropy0.95
Goal Difference Std1.57
Stability score-94.81
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.86
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.09
Eligible Matches40
Lead Matches14
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate18.2%
Trailing Win Rate18.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches40
First Half Goals For Mean0.81
First Half Goals Against Mean-1.11
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.28
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean4.67
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches21
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.14
Long Rest History Matches19
Long Rest Points Per Match1.55
Current Team ELO22.69
Current Opponent ELO-22.69
Current ELO Difference45.38
Expected score0.07
History Matches40
Residual Mean0.45
Overperformance5.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.48

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bochum W

L
SGS Essen W6–0Bochum W24 Oct · away
Pick: Bochum W 48% · missed
W
Bochum W4–0Turbine Potsdam W18 Oct · home
Pick: Bochum W 73% · hit
D
Ingolstadt W3–3Bochum W4 Oct · away
Pick: Bochum W 44% · missed
W
SC Sand W0–3Bochum W30 Aug · away
Pick: SC Sand W 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hoffenheim II W

L
Borussia Monchengladbach W3–1Hoffenheim II W25 Oct · away
Pick: Borussia Monchengladbach W 67% · hit
D
Hoffenheim II W1–1FC Koln II W18 Oct · home
Pick: Hoffenheim II W 48% · missed
L
Hertha Berlin W3–1Hoffenheim II W4 Oct · away
Pick: Hertha Berlin W 67% · hit
L
Andernach W2–1Hoffenheim II W30 Aug · away
Pick: Andernach W 73% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Bochum W and Hoffenheim II W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Bochum W win 75.3%, draw 16.1%, Hoffenheim II W win 8.6%. The pick is Bochum W win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.0%. Both teams to score: 49.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.