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2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany Round 12 2026

Carl Zeiss Jena W vs FC Koln II W

Carl Zeiss Jena W Home · Elo 1,406
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
FC Koln II W Away · Elo 1,473
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Carl Zeiss Jena W win
Carl Zeiss Jena W winPick
62.8%
Draw
15.9%
FC Koln II W win
21.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.9%
No54.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.3%
Under 2.532.7%

How much we know

Carl Zeiss Jena W history43 matches
FC Koln II W history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.8%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.

Why Carl Zeiss Jena W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FC Koln II W are rated 67 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,473 against 1,406. On rating alone FC Koln II W would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Carl Zeiss Jena W score far more

    0.86 goals a game over 43 matches for Carl Zeiss Jena W, against 0.33 over 3 for FC Koln II W.

  • Carl Zeiss Jena W concede fewer

    Carl Zeiss Jena W concede 2.35 a game, FC Koln II W 2.67.

  • FC Koln II W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Carl Zeiss Jena W matches, against 67% for FC Koln II W. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Carl Zeiss Jena W
FC Koln II W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1405.7
ELO
1473.0
43
ELO · Matches
3
1405.7
Current Team ELO
1473.0
1473.0
Current Opponent ELO
1405.7
-67.23
Current ELO Difference
67.23
0.40
Expected score
0.60
43
History Matches
3
-0.11
Residual Mean
-0.42
42.80
Overperformance
44.51
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.42
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
3
1.20
PPG
0.00
1.20
Goals for per game
0.33
3.00
Goals against per game
2.67
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
3
0.80
PPG
0.00
1.10
Goals for per game
0.33
2.60
Goals against per game
2.67
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.33
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.47
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.67
2.06
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.47
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
3
0.72
PPG
0.00
18.6%
Win rate
0.0%
16.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
65.1%
Loss rate
100.0%
79.1%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
37.2%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
1
0.50
PPG
0.00
9.1%
Win rate
0.0%
22.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
68.2%
Loss rate
100.0%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
31.8%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
22
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.86
Goals for per game
0.33
60.5%
Scoring rate
33.3%
51.2%
BTTS rate
33.3%
0.82
Goals for per game
0.00
59.1%
Scoring rate
0.0%
54.5%
BTTS rate
0.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
43
History Matches
3
0.86
Goals Mean
0.33
0.93
Goals Std
0.47
60.5%
Scored 1+ rate
33.3%
16.3%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
7.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
0.82
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.35
Goals against per game
2.67
86.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.23
Goals against per game
2.00
90.9%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
43
History Matches
3
2.35
Conceded Mean
2.67
1.74
Conceded Std
0.47
60.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
44.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
66.7%
2.23
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
39.5%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.9%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
39.5%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.9%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
14.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
3
0.81
Result entropy
0.00
2.03
Goal Difference Std
0.47
19.19
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
3
3
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
23
Trailing Matches
2
4.3%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.30
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.19
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.33
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.33
1.16
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.33
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.00
Rest days
83.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
21
Normal Rest History Matches
1
0.38
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
1
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
0.00
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.33
4
Competition Season Count
1
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.83
Portability PPG Std
—
1.91
Portability PPG Range
—
37.58
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-67.23
PPG0.72
GF0.53
GA-0.32
PPG2.00
PPG0.50
PPG1.20
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches40
Clean-sheet rate14.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches21
Clean-sheet rate9.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.59
History Matches40
Goals Mean0.53
Goals Std0.46
Scored 1+ rate27.1%
Scored 2+ rate16.3%
Scored 3+ rate7.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.77
Recent 10 Goals Std0.66
History Matches40
Conceded Mean-0.32
Conceded Std1.27
Clean-sheet rate14.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.40
Conceded 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Conceded Mean0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.07
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.59
History Matches40
Result entropy0.81
Goal Difference Std1.56
Stability score-80.81
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.86
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.91
Eligible Matches40
Lead Matches3
Trailing Matches21
Non-loss rate4.3%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches40
First Half Goals For Mean0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.22
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.67
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches20
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.38
Long Rest History Matches19
Long Rest Points Per Match1.10
Current Team ELO-67.23
Current Opponent ELO67.23
Current ELO Difference-134.5
Expected score-0.19
History Matches40
Residual Mean0.32
Overperformance-1.70
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Carl Zeiss Jena W

L
SC Freiburg W4–0Carl Zeiss Jena W1 Nov · away
Pick: SC Freiburg W 45% · hit
L
Carl Zeiss Jena W0–2Viktoria Berlin W25 Oct · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 56% · hit
D
Meppen W2–2Carl Zeiss Jena W17 Oct · away
Pick: Meppen W 73% · missed
L
Carl Zeiss Jena W0–1SC Sand W4 Oct · home
Pick: SC Sand W 52% · hit
W
Carl Zeiss Jena W3–1Turbine Potsdam W30 Aug · home
Pick: Carl Zeiss Jena W 52% · hit

FC Koln II W

L
Eintracht Frankfurt II W1–0FC Koln II W25 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II W 64% · hit
D
Hoffenheim II W1–1FC Koln II W18 Oct · away
Pick: Hoffenheim II W 48% · missed
L
FC Koln II W1–3Andernach W4 Oct · home
Pick: Andernach W 56% · hit
L
FC Koln II W0–2Viktoria Berlin W30 Aug · home
Pick: Viktoria Berlin W 72% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Carl Zeiss Jena W and FC Koln II W meet in 2. Frauen Bundesliga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Carl Zeiss Jena W win 62.8%, draw 15.9%, FC Koln II W win 21.4%. The pick is Carl Zeiss Jena W win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.3%. Both teams to score: 45.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.