ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie F Czechia Group F - 15 2026

Bospor Bohumín vs Opava II

Bospor Bohumín Home · Elo 1,595
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Opava II Away · Elo 1,499
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bospor Bohumín win
Bospor Bohumín winPick
63.8%
Draw
18.3%
Opava II win
17.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes67.0%
No33.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.0%
Under 2.524.0%

How much we know

Bospor Bohumín history53 matches
Opava II history47 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.8%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Bospor Bohumín are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Bospor Bohumín are rated 96 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,595 against 1,499. On rating alone Bospor Bohumín would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Bospor Bohumín score more

    2.42 goals a game over 53 matches for Bospor Bohumín, against 1.79 over 47 for Opava II.

  • Bospor Bohumín concede fewer

    Bospor Bohumín concede 1.47 a game, Opava II 1.81.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    74% of Bospor Bohumín matches, against 68% for Opava II. The model puts this match at 76% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bospor Bohumín
Opava II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1595.1
ELO
1498.6
53
ELO · Matches
47
1595.1
Current Team ELO
1498.6
1498.6
Current Opponent ELO
1595.1
96.48
Current ELO Difference
-96.48
0.64
Expected score
0.36
53
History Matches
47
0.09
Residual Mean
0.00
56.54
Overperformance
50.15
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.35
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.20
3.60
Goals for per game
2.60
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.40
PPG
2.30
3.80
Goals for per game
2.90
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
80.0%
Win rate
70.0%
3.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
1.66
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.51
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.68
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
47
1.83
PPG
1.23
52.8%
Win rate
31.9%
24.5%
Draw rate
27.7%
22.6%
Loss rate
40.4%
88.7%
Over 1.5 rate
89.4%
73.6%
Over 2.5 rate
68.1%
58.5%
Over 3.5 rate
51.1%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
23
2.00
PPG
1.35
59.3%
Win rate
34.8%
22.2%
Draw rate
30.4%
18.5%
Loss rate
34.8%
96.3%
Over 1.5 rate
82.6%
85.2%
Over 2.5 rate
60.9%
70.4%
Over 3.5 rate
52.2%
1.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
27
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.42
Goals for per game
1.79
92.5%
Scoring rate
85.1%
77.4%
BTTS rate
70.2%
2.52
Goals for per game
1.83
100.0%
Scoring rate
78.3%
85.2%
BTTS rate
60.9%
3.67
Goals for per game
3.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
47
2.42
Goals Mean
1.79
1.63
Goals Std
1.32
92.5%
Scored 1+ rate
85.1%
62.3%
Scored 2+ rate
55.3%
43.4%
Scored 3+ rate
19.1%
2.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.83
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.47
Goals against per game
1.81
83.0%
Conceding rate
80.9%
1.56
Goals against per game
1.57
85.2%
Conceding rate
73.9%
0.67
Goals against per game
1.33
33.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
47
1.47
Conceded Mean
1.81
1.16
Conceded Std
1.44
39.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.2%
17.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.4%
1.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
7.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.9%
14.8%
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
7.5%
Failed-to-score rate
14.9%
14.8%
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.7%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
47
0.93
Result entropy
0.99
1.95
Goal Difference Std
2.04
7.33
Stability score
1.14
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
46
21
Lead Matches
10
95.2%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.97
Lead Points Retention
0.87
15
Trailing Matches
16
53.3%
Non-loss rate
18.8%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
1.13
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.83
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.91
1.28
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.64
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
77.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
33
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.18
19
Long Rest History Matches
23
2.05
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
2.33
100.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.33
3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.67
6
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.63
Portability PPG Std
0.53
1.67
Portability PPG Range
1.13
44.44
Portability Score
48.76
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
47
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO96.48
PPG0.60
GF0.63
GA-0.34
PPG0.67
PPG0.65
PPG0.20
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches6
Goals Mean0.63
Goals Std0.31
Scored 1+ rate7.3%
Scored 2+ rate6.9%
Scored 3+ rate24.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.69
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.15
History Matches6
Conceded Mean-0.34
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.33
History Matches6
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.09
Stability score6.19
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.36
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate15.2%
Lead Points Retention0.10
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate34.6%
Trailing Win Rate0.4%
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.30
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.10
Portability PPG Range0.54
Portability Score-4.32
Rest days-1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.48
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.66
Current Team ELO96.48
Current Opponent ELO-96.48
Current ELO Difference193.0
Expected score0.27
History Matches6
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance6.38
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bospor Bohumín

W
Frýdlant0–5Bospor Bohumín31 Oct · away
Pick: Bospor Bohumín 68% · hit
W
Bospor Bohumín4–1Stonava25 Oct · home
Pick: Bospor Bohumín 69% · hit
L
Valašské Meziříčí2–1Bospor Bohumín17 Oct · away
Pick: Bospor Bohumín 64% · missed
W
Bospor Bohumín4–1Pustá Polom30 Aug · home
Pick: Bospor Bohumín 73% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Opava II

L
Opava II2–3Zabreh1 Nov · home
Pick: Opava II 52% · missed
L
Opava II1–3Hlučín24 Oct · home
Pick: Opava II 48% · missed
W
Frýdlant1–4Opava II17 Oct · away
Pick: Opava II 48% · hit
L
Opava II0–3Kravare29 Aug · home
Pick: Opava II 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Bospor Bohumín and Opava II meet in 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Bospor Bohumín win 63.8%, draw 18.3%, Opava II win 17.9%. The pick is Bospor Bohumín win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.0%. Both teams to score: 67.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.