ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie F Czechia Group F - 15 2026

Zabreh vs Hlučín

Zabreh Home · Elo 1,527
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hlučín Away · Elo 1,443
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hlučín win
Zabreh win
36.0%
Draw
21.9%
Hlučín winPick
42.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.2%
No36.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%

How much we know

Zabreh history33 matches
Hlučín history59 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hlučín are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Zabreh are rated 83 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,527 against 1,443. On rating alone Zabreh would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Zabreh score more

    1.88 goals a game over 33 matches for Zabreh, against 1.41 over 59 for Hlučín.

  • Zabreh concede fewer

    Zabreh concede 1.58 a game, Hlučín 1.92.

  • Hlučín games more often go over 2.5 goals

    61% of Zabreh matches, against 71% for Hlučín. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Zabreh
Hlučín
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1526.8
ELO
1443.4
33
ELO · Matches
59
1526.8
Current Team ELO
1443.4
1443.4
Current Opponent ELO
1526.8
83.41
Current ELO Difference
-83.41
0.62
Expected score
0.38
33
History Matches
59
0.04
Residual Mean
-0.05
52.72
Overperformance
46.07
0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.80
2.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.60
3.10
Goals for per game
1.80
1.60
Goals against per game
1.30
50.0%
Win rate
50.0%
3.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
2.51
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.83
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.73
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.38
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
59
1.45
PPG
1.02
36.4%
Win rate
28.8%
36.4%
Draw rate
15.3%
27.3%
Loss rate
55.9%
75.8%
Over 1.5 rate
84.7%
60.6%
Over 2.5 rate
71.2%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
44.1%
2.08
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
32
1.35
PPG
1.06
35.3%
Win rate
31.3%
29.4%
Draw rate
12.5%
35.3%
Loss rate
56.3%
70.6%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
52.9%
Over 3.5 rate
46.9%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
17
History Matches
32
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
1.41
75.8%
Scoring rate
72.9%
69.7%
BTTS rate
62.7%
1.76
Goals for per game
1.47
70.6%
Scoring rate
75.0%
64.7%
BTTS rate
68.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
33
History Matches
59
1.88
Goals Mean
1.41
1.93
Goals Std
1.39
75.8%
Scored 1+ rate
72.9%
51.5%
Scored 2+ rate
35.6%
18.2%
Scored 3+ rate
15.3%
1.76
Venue Goals Mean
1.47
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.58
Goals against per game
1.92
87.9%
Conceding rate
88.1%
1.76
Goals against per game
1.91
88.2%
Conceding rate
90.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
33
History Matches
59
1.58
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.10
Conceded Std
1.38
42.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.2%
18.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.5%
1.76
Venue Conceded Mean
1.91
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.1%
Clean-sheet rate
11.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
27.1%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.4%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
12.1%
Clean-sheet rate
11.9%
24.2%
Failed-to-score rate
27.1%
11.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.4%
29.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
12.1%
Clean-sheet rate
11.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
59
0.99
Result entropy
0.88
2.08
Goal Difference Std
2.27
0.78
Stability score
11.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
33
Eligible Matches
59
9
Lead Matches
13
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
76.9%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.82
9
Trailing Matches
26
55.6%
Non-loss rate
7.7%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
3.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
33
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
1.15
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.86
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.97
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
78.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
17
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.47
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.22
14
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.36
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.68
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.33
PPG
2.00
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.45
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.33
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
4
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.54
1.03
Portability PPG Range
1.18
49.37
Portability Score
48.22
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
59
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO83.41
PPG0.44
GF0.47
GA-0.34
PPG0.33
PPG0.29
PPG0.40
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-26
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate2.4%
Failed-to-score rate4.4%
History Matches-26
Goals Mean0.47
Goals Std0.54
Scored 1+ rate2.9%
Scored 2+ rate15.9%
Scored 3+ rate2.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.67
History Matches-26
Conceded Mean-0.34
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.21
History Matches-26
Result entropy0.11
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score-10.90
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.35
Eligible Matches-26
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-17
Non-loss rate47.9%
Trailing Win Rate29.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-26
First Half Goals For Mean0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean0.29
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range-0.16
Portability Score1.14
Rest days-1.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Normal Rest History Matches-10
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.25
Long Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest Points Per Match0.68
Current Team ELO83.41
Current Opponent ELO-83.41
Current ELO Difference166.8
Expected score0.24
History Matches-26
Residual Mean0.10
Overperformance6.65
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Zabreh

W
Opava II2–3Zabreh1 Nov · away
Pick: Opava II 52% · missed
W
Zabreh2–1Frýdlant25 Oct · home
Pick: Zabreh 56% · hit
W
Stonava0–2Zabreh17 Oct · away
Pick: Zabreh 39% · hit
L
Frydek-Mistek B2–1Zabreh4 Oct · away
Pick: Zabreh 62% · missed
L
Zabreh0–1Nový Jičín30 Aug · home
Pick: Zabreh 51% · missed

Hlučín

L
Hlučín1–2Šumperk30 Oct · home
Pick: Hlučín 60% · missed
W
Opava II1–3Hlučín24 Oct · away
Pick: Opava II 48% · missed
D
Hlučín0–0Kravare16 Oct · home
Pick: Hlučín 44% · missed
W
Frydek-Mistek B1–2Hlučín29 Aug · away
Pick: Hlučín 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Zabreh and Hlučín meet in 4. liga - Divizie F on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Zabreh win 36.0%, draw 21.9%, Hlučín win 42.1%. The pick is Hlučín win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.5%. Both teams to score: 63.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.