ScoreProb
Girabola Angola Round 10 2026

Bravos do Maquis FC vs Interclube

Bravos do Maquis FC Home · Elo 1,521
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Interclube Away · Elo 1,533
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bravos do Maquis FC win
Bravos do Maquis FC winPick
45.8%
Draw
31.3%
Interclube win
22.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.1%
No53.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.9%
Under 2.564.1%

How much we know

Bravos do Maquis FC history46 matches
Interclube history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Bravos do Maquis FC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,521 against 1,533. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.24 goals a game over 46 matches for Bravos do Maquis FC, against 1.16 over 45 for Interclube.

  • Defences are close

    Bravos do Maquis FC concede 0.85 a game, Interclube 0.82.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    35% of Bravos do Maquis FC matches, against 36% for Interclube. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bravos do Maquis FC
Interclube
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1520.9
ELO
1533.0
46
ELO · Matches
45
1520.9
Current Team ELO
1533.0
1533.0
Current Opponent ELO
1520.9
-12.11
Current ELO Difference
12.11
0.48
Expected score
0.52
46
History Matches
45
0.02
Residual Mean
0.04
51.73
Overperformance
52.67
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.80
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
0.60
0.60
Goals against per game
0.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
0.90
Goals for per game
0.70
0.90
Goals against per game
0.60
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.83
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
45
1.59
PPG
1.44
43.5%
Win rate
35.6%
28.3%
Draw rate
37.8%
28.3%
Loss rate
26.7%
67.4%
Over 1.5 rate
62.2%
34.8%
Over 2.5 rate
35.6%
13.0%
Over 3.5 rate
8.9%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
22
1.96
PPG
1.09
54.2%
Win rate
22.7%
33.3%
Draw rate
40.9%
12.5%
Loss rate
36.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
63.6%
37.5%
Over 2.5 rate
31.8%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
4.5%
1.52
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.93
24
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.24
Goals for per game
1.16
73.9%
Scoring rate
73.3%
43.5%
BTTS rate
53.3%
1.42
Goals for per game
0.95
79.2%
Scoring rate
72.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
59.1%
3.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
46
History Matches
45
1.24
Goals Mean
1.16
1.11
Goals Std
1.05
73.9%
Scored 1+ rate
73.3%
32.6%
Scored 2+ rate
24.4%
10.9%
Scored 3+ rate
13.3%
1.42
Venue Goals Mean
0.95
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.85
Goals against per game
0.82
58.7%
Conceding rate
64.4%
0.79
Goals against per game
1.00
58.3%
Conceding rate
72.7%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.00
0.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
46
History Matches
45
0.85
Conceded Mean
0.82
0.91
Conceded Std
0.71
17.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
17.8%
8.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.79
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.6%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.6%
26.1%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
41.7%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.3%
41.3%
Clean-sheet rate
35.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
45
0.98
Result entropy
0.99
1.57
Goal Difference Std
1.17
2.02
Stability score
0.98
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
45
14
Lead Matches
14
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.81
15
Trailing Matches
10
33.3%
Non-loss rate
30.0%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.55
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
0.64
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.42
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.00
Rest days
76.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
4
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
27
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.15
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.32
18
Long Rest History Matches
18
2.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.67
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.04
0.47
Portability PPG Range
0.09
68.18
Portability Score
91.97
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-12.11
PPG0.14
GF0.08
GA0.03
PPG0.00
PPG0.87
PPG0.40
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate14.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.08
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate0.6%
Scored 2+ rate8.2%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.46
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.04
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.03
Conceded Std0.20
Clean-sheet rate5.7%
Conceded 2+ rate0.00
Conceded 3+ rate8.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.38
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.39
Stability score1.05
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.72
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate28.6%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate3.3%
Trailing Win Rate6.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.10
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.19
Portability PPG Range0.38
Portability Score-23.78
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.50
Current Team ELO-12.11
Current Opponent ELO12.11
Current ELO Difference-24.22
Expected score-0.03
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.95
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bravos do Maquis FC

W
Académica do Lobito0–1Bravos do Maquis FC31 Oct · away
Pick: Bravos do Maquis FC 41% · hit
D
Bravos do Maquis FC1–1Petro de Luanda27 Oct · home
Pick: Bravos do Maquis FC 39% · missed
D
Bravos do Maquis FC0–0CD Lunda-Sul17 Oct · home
Pick: Bravos do Maquis FC 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Interclube

D
Interclube0–0Desportivo Huíla30 Oct · home
Pick: Interclube 50% · missed
L
CD Lunda-Sul3–1Interclube25 Oct · away
Pick: Interclube 36% · missed
L
1º de Agosto2–1Interclube1 Sep · away
Pick: 1º de Agosto 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Bravos do Maquis FC and Interclube meet in Girabola on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Bravos do Maquis FC win 45.8%, draw 31.3%, Interclube win 22.9%. The pick is Bravos do Maquis FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 35.9%. Both teams to score: 46.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.