ScoreProb
Premier League 2 Division One England Regular Season 2026

Brentford U21 vs Wolves U21

Brentford U21 Home · Elo 1,626
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wolves U21 Away · Elo 1,457
Wheatsheaf Park, Staines Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Brentford U21 win
Brentford U21 winPick
78.3%
Draw
10.9%
Wolves U21 win
10.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.9%
No43.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.578.7%
Under 2.521.3%

How much we know

Brentford U21 history61 matches
Wolves U21 history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (78.3%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Brentford U21 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Brentford U21 are rated 169 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,626 against 1,457. On rating alone Brentford U21 would be expected to take 73% of the points on offer.

  • Brentford U21 score far more

    2.26 goals a game over 61 matches for Brentford U21, against 1.42 over 53 for Wolves U21.

  • Brentford U21 concede fewer

    Brentford U21 concede 1.31 a game, Wolves U21 2.19.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    74% of Brentford U21 matches, against 70% for Wolves U21. The model puts this match at 79% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Brentford U21
Wolves U21
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1626.1
ELO
1456.7
61
ELO · Matches
53
1626.1
Current Team ELO
1456.7
1456.7
Current Opponent ELO
1626.1
169.4
Current ELO Difference
-169.4
0.73
Expected score
0.27
61
History Matches
53
0.09
Residual Mean
-0.05
57.04
Overperformance
46.38
0.14
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.40
2.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.80
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.30
PPG
1.10
2.70
Goals for per game
1.10
1.20
Goals against per game
2.10
70.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.58
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.96
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.41
Overall performance9 signals
90
61
Matches
53
2.02
PPG
1.06
62.3%
Win rate
28.3%
14.8%
Draw rate
20.8%
23.0%
Loss rate
50.9%
90.2%
Over 1.5 rate
88.7%
73.8%
Over 2.5 rate
69.8%
44.3%
Over 3.5 rate
52.8%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
30
2.32
PPG
0.83
71.4%
Win rate
23.3%
17.9%
Draw rate
13.3%
10.7%
Loss rate
63.3%
92.9%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
56.7%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.24
28
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.26
Goals for per game
1.42
91.8%
Scoring rate
73.6%
60.7%
BTTS rate
64.2%
2.71
Goals for per game
1.27
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
53.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
61
History Matches
53
2.26
Goals Mean
1.42
1.44
Goals Std
1.11
91.8%
Scored 1+ rate
73.6%
67.2%
Scored 2+ rate
47.2%
37.7%
Scored 3+ rate
18.9%
2.71
Venue Goals Mean
1.27
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.31
Goals against per game
2.19
67.2%
Conceding rate
90.6%
0.93
Goals against per game
2.53
53.6%
Conceding rate
93.3%
2.00
Goals against per game
4.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
61
History Matches
53
1.31
Conceded Mean
2.19
1.41
Conceded Std
1.52
36.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.4%
16.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.1%
0.93
Venue Conceded Mean
2.53
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.4%
8.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.4%
46.4%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.4%
8.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.4%
46.4%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
32.8%
Clean-sheet rate
9.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
61
History Matches
53
0.83
Result entropy
0.93
2.24
Goal Difference Std
2.05
16.72
Stability score
6.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
51
32
Lead Matches
15
78.1%
Lead Win Rate
53.3%
0.83
Lead Points Retention
0.62
13
Trailing Matches
15
30.8%
Non-loss rate
13.3%
23.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
1.08
First Half Goals For Mean
0.78
0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
1.18
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
74.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
34
Normal Rest History Matches
33
1.88
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.30
19
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.95
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.65
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-4.00
7
Competition Season Count
13
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.52
0.35
Portability PPG Range
1.75
78.72
Portability Score
49.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
61
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO169.4
PPG0.96
GF0.85
GA-0.88
PPG3.00
PPG1.49
PPG0.60
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate23.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate39.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.33
History Matches8
Goals Mean0.85
Goals Std0.33
Scored 1+ rate18.2%
Scored 2+ rate20.0%
Scored 3+ rate18.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.45
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches8
Conceded Mean-0.88
Conceded Std-0.11
Clean-sheet rate23.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.24
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.41
History Matches8
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.18
Stability score10.21
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.45
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches17
Lead Win Rate24.8%
Lead Points Retention0.21
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate17.4%
Trailing Win Rate23.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean0.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.00
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.38
Portability PPG Range-1.40
Portability Score29.62
Rest days3.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches5
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.58
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.30
Current Team ELO169.4
Current Opponent ELO-169.4
Current ELO Difference338.8
Expected score0.45
History Matches8
Residual Mean0.14
Overperformance10.66
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Brentford U21

W
Wycombe U211–2Brentford U212 Nov · away
Pick: Brentford U21 59% · hit
W
AFC Bournemouth U213–4Brentford U2126 Oct · away
Pick: Brentford U21 42% · hit
L
Brentford U211–2Fulham U2118 Oct · home
Pick: Brentford U21 54% · missed
L
Milton Keynes Dons7–1Brentford U216 Oct · away
Pick: Milton Keynes Dons 59% · hit
W
Brentford U215–1Sunderland U2131 Aug · home
Pick: Brentford U21 44% · hit

Wolves U21

W
Wolves U212–1West Bromwich Albion U2119 Oct · home
Pick: Wolves U21 40% · hit
L
Manchester City U214–0Wolves U2124 Aug · away
Pick: Manchester City U21 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Brentford U21 and Wolves U21 meet in Premier League 2 Division One on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. The match is played at Wheatsheaf Park, Staines. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Brentford U21 win 78.3%, draw 10.9%, Wolves U21 win 10.8%. The pick is Brentford U21 win. Over 2.5 goals: 78.7%. Both teams to score: 56.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.