ScoreProb
Liga I Romania Round 15 2026

Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj

Csikszereda Home · Elo 1,468
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Universitatea Cluj Away · Elo 1,586
Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Universitatea Cluj win
Csikszereda win
24.3%
Draw
21.6%
Universitatea Cluj winPick
54.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.9%
No51.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.4%
Under 2.551.6%

How much we know

Csikszereda history69 matches
Universitatea Cluj history84 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Universitatea Cluj are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Universitatea Cluj are rated 119 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,586 against 1,468. On rating alone Universitatea Cluj would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Universitatea Cluj score more

    1.09 goals a game over 69 matches for Csikszereda, against 1.30 over 84 for Universitatea Cluj.

  • Universitatea Cluj concede fewer

    Csikszereda concede 1.57 a game, Universitatea Cluj 1.14.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    46% of Csikszereda matches, against 50% for Universitatea Cluj. The model puts this match at 48% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Csikszereda
Universitatea Cluj
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1467.7
ELO
1586.4
69
ELO · Matches
84
1467.7
Current Team ELO
1586.4
1586.4
Current Opponent ELO
1467.7
-118.6
Current ELO Difference
118.6
0.34
Expected score
0.66
69
History Matches
84
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.05
47.65
Overperformance
53.91
-0.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.20
0.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
1.30
0.60
Goals for per game
1.10
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.11
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.94
Overall performance9 signals
90
69
Matches
84
1.10
PPG
1.55
27.5%
Win rate
42.9%
27.5%
Draw rate
26.2%
44.9%
Loss rate
31.0%
72.5%
Over 1.5 rate
67.9%
46.4%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
26.2%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
43
1.55
PPG
1.35
38.7%
Win rate
37.2%
38.7%
Draw rate
23.3%
22.6%
Loss rate
39.5%
77.4%
Over 1.5 rate
62.8%
41.9%
Over 2.5 rate
46.5%
25.8%
Over 3.5 rate
23.3%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
31
History Matches
43
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.09
Goals for per game
1.30
63.8%
Scoring rate
71.4%
46.4%
BTTS rate
51.2%
1.29
Goals for per game
1.14
77.4%
Scoring rate
69.8%
54.8%
BTTS rate
51.2%
0.33
Goals for per game
1.40
16.7%
Scoring rate
80.0%
16.7%
BTTS rate
80.0%
69
History Matches
84
1.09
Goals Mean
1.30
1.30
Goals Std
1.11
63.8%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
26.1%
Scored 2+ rate
40.5%
8.7%
Scored 3+ rate
13.1%
1.29
Venue Goals Mean
1.14
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.57
Goals against per game
1.14
72.5%
Conceding rate
70.2%
1.19
Goals against per game
1.19
67.7%
Conceding rate
72.1%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.20
83.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
69
History Matches
84
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.14
1.39
Conceded Std
1.07
46.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.6%
24.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.7%
1.19
Venue Conceded Mean
1.19
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
36.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
30.2%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
83.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
36.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.9%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
30.2%
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
29.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
69
History Matches
84
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.60
2.63
Stability score
1.97
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
69
Eligible Matches
84
14
Lead Matches
26
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
69.2%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.78
26
Trailing Matches
28
11.5%
Non-loss rate
42.9%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
21.4%
Goal timing5 signals
50
69
Halftime Coverage Matches
84
0.52
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.84
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.57
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.58
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.90
Rest days
76.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
12
1.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.42
40
Normal Rest History Matches
44
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.34
24
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.89
Competition & season17 signals
170
6
Matches
5
0.17
PPG
1.80
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
83.3%
Loss rate
40.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.98
6
Current Competition Matches
5
0.17
Current Competition PPG
1.80
-1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.20
6
Competition Season Count
10
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.55
Portability PPG Std
0.53
1.58
Portability PPG Range
1.50
47.71
Portability Score
48.68
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
69
Clean History Matches
84
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-118.6
PPG-0.45
GF-0.21
GA0.42
PPG-1.63
PPG0.20
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Failed-to-score rate7.7%
History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.08
History Matches-15
Goals Mean-0.21
Goals Std0.19
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.03
History Matches-15
Conceded Mean0.42
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate-0.02
Conceded 2+ rate17.8%
Conceded 3+ rate13.9%
Venue Conceded Mean0.01
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-15
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.40
Stability score0.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.32
Eligible Matches-15
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate16.5%
Lead Points Retention0.12
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.31
Trailing Win Rate-0.21
Halftime Coverage Matches-15
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-1.63
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.53
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.02
Portability PPG Range0.08
Portability Score-0.97
Rest days-1.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-8
Short Rest Points Per Match0.33
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.34
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.68
Current Team ELO-118.6
Current Opponent ELO118.6
Current ELO Difference-237.3
Expected score-0.33
History Matches-15
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-6.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.26

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Csikszereda

L
Rapid2–0Csikszereda30 Oct · away
Pick: Rapid 60% · hit
L
Csikszereda1–2Bihor Oradea27 Oct · home
Pick: Csikszereda 46% · missed
W
Csikszereda2–1FC Voluntari24 Oct · home
Pick: Csikszereda 45% · hit
D
Oţelul1–1Csikszereda16 Oct · away
Pick: Oţelul 55% · missed
L
Csikszereda2–3CFR 1907 Cluj29 Aug · home
Pick: CFR 1907 Cluj 46% · hit

Universitatea Cluj

W
Universitatea Cluj1–0FCSB2 Nov · home
Pick: FCSB 37% · missed
W
CFR 1907 Cluj1–3Universitatea Cluj28 Oct · away
Pick: CFR 1907 Cluj 42% · missed
D
Universitatea Cluj2–2Arges Pitesti19 Oct · home
Pick: Universitatea Cluj 49% · missed
L
Universitatea Cluj3–4Rapid12 Oct · home
Pick: Universitatea Cluj 45% · missed
W
CFR 1907 Cluj1–3Universitatea Cluj8 Oct · away
Pick: CFR 1907 Cluj 41% · missed

About this match

Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj meet in Liga I on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadionul Municipal, Miercurea Ciuc. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Csikszereda win 24.3%, draw 21.6%, Universitatea Cluj win 54.1%. The pick is Universitatea Cluj win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.4%. Both teams to score: 48.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.