ScoreProb
Premier League Ghana Round 10 2026

Dreams vs Debibi United

Dreams Home · Elo 1,576
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Debibi United Away · Elo 1,528
Tuba Astro Turf, Accra Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dreams win
Dreams winPick
62.4%
Draw
21.7%
Debibi United win
15.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.7%
No52.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%

How much we know

Dreams history56 matches
Debibi United history7 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.4%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Dreams are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Dreams are rated 48 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,576 against 1,528. On rating alone Dreams would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Debibi United score more

    1.54 goals a game over 56 matches for Dreams, against 1.86 over 7 for Debibi United.

  • Debibi United concede fewer

    Dreams concede 0.98 a game, Debibi United 0.43.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    43% of Dreams matches, against 43% for Debibi United. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 1 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dreams
Debibi United@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1576.1
ELO
1528.3
56
ELO · Matches
7
1576.1
Current Team ELO
1528.3
1528.3
Current Opponent ELO
1576.1
47.86
Current ELO Difference
-47.86
0.57
Expected score
0.43
56
History Matches
7
0.07
Residual Mean
0.19
55.33
Overperformance
54.89
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
2.40
2.00
Goals for per game
2.40
1.00
Goals against per game
0.40
60.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
7
2.20
PPG
2.14
2.30
Goals for per game
1.86
0.90
Goals against per game
0.43
70.0%
Win rate
71.4%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.86
1.55
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.73
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.43
0.54
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.54
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.99
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
7
1.77
PPG
2.14
51.8%
Win rate
71.4%
21.4%
Draw rate
0.0%
26.8%
Loss rate
28.6%
69.6%
Over 1.5 rate
42.9%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
23.2%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.99
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
4
2.30
PPG
1.50
70.0%
Win rate
50.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
10.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
73.3%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
26.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.49
30
History Matches
4
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.54
Goals for per game
1.86
76.8%
Scoring rate
71.4%
50.0%
BTTS rate
14.3%
1.90
Goals for per game
2.00
90.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
53.3%
BTTS rate
25.0%
56
History Matches
7
1.54
Goals Mean
1.86
1.25
Goals Std
1.73
76.8%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
46.4%
Scored 2+ rate
42.9%
19.6%
Scored 3+ rate
42.9%
1.90
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.98
Goals against per game
0.43
67.9%
Conceding rate
42.9%
0.77
Goals against per game
0.75
60.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
56
History Matches
7
0.98
Conceded Mean
0.43
0.95
Conceded Std
0.49
19.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
7.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
0.77
Venue Conceded Mean
0.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
57.1%
23.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
57.1%
23.2%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
32.1%
Clean-sheet rate
57.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
7
0.93
Result entropy
0.54
1.57
Goal Difference Std
1.99
6.82
Stability score
45.54
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
56
Eligible Matches
6
21
Lead Matches
4
90.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
1.00
11
Trailing Matches
1
36.4%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
6
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
1.17
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
160.9
Rest days
179.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
37
Normal Rest History Matches
2
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
16
Long Rest History Matches
4
1.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
3.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.24
Portability PPG Std
—
0.53
Portability PPG Range
—
67.76
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
7
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO47.86
PPG-0.38
GF-0.32
GA0.55
PPG0.80
PPG-0.40
PPG0.06
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches49
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches26
Clean-sheet rate15.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.40
History Matches49
Goals Mean-0.32
Goals Std-0.47
Scored 1+ rate5.4%
Scored 2+ rate3.6%
Scored 3+ rate-0.23
Venue Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.44
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches49
Conceded Mean0.55
Conceded Std0.46
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Conceded 2+ rate19.6%
Conceded 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.04
History Matches49
Result entropy0.39
Goal Difference Std-0.42
Stability score-38.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.36
Eligible Matches50
Lead Matches17
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate36.4%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches50
First Half Goals For Mean-0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.57
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-18.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches35
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.39
Long Rest History Matches12
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.63
Current Team ELO47.86
Current Opponent ELO-47.86
Current ELO Difference95.72
Expected score0.14
History Matches49
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance0.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dreams

No earlier results with our pick yet

Debibi United

L
Debibi United0–1Medeama4 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dreams and Debibi United meet in Premier League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:30 UTC. The match is played at Tuba Astro Turf, Accra. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Dreams win 62.4%, draw 21.7%, Debibi United win 15.9%. The pick is Dreams win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.3%. Both teams to score: 47.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.