ScoreProb
I Liga - Women Slovakia Round 12 2026

Dukla Banská Bystrica W vs Slovan Bratislava W

Dukla Banská Bystrica W Home · Elo 1,426
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slovan Bratislava W Away · Elo 1,636
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slovan Bratislava W win
Dukla Banská Bystrica W win
4.3%
Draw
7.2%
Slovan Bratislava W winPick
88.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.4%
No50.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.582.4%
Under 2.517.6%

How much we know

Dukla Banská Bystrica W history13 matches
Slovan Bratislava W history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (88.5%). Picks in that band won 83.5% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 164 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Slovan Bratislava W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Slovan Bratislava W are rated 210 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,636 against 1,426. On rating alone Slovan Bratislava W would be expected to take 77% of the points on offer.

  • Slovan Bratislava W score far more

    0.62 goals a game over 13 matches for Dukla Banská Bystrica W, against 3.55 over 33 for Slovan Bratislava W.

  • Slovan Bratislava W concede fewer

    Dukla Banská Bystrica W concede 3.31 a game, Slovan Bratislava W 1.27.

  • Slovan Bratislava W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    69% of Dukla Banská Bystrica W matches, against 79% for Slovan Bratislava W. The model puts this match at 82% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Dukla Banská Bystrica W
Slovan Bratislava W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1426.1
ELO
1636.1
13
ELO · Matches
33
1426.1
Current Team ELO
1636.1
1636.1
Current Opponent ELO
1426.1
-210.0
Current ELO Difference
210.0
0.23
Expected score
0.77
13
History Matches
33
-0.29
Residual Mean
0.21
38.69
Overperformance
62.84
-0.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.80
0.40
Goals for per game
4.40
5.40
Goals against per game
1.80
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
2.20
0.60
Goals for per game
4.90
3.80
Goals against per game
1.70
10.0%
Win rate
70.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
4.90
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
4.06
3.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
2.86
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.79
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
3.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
5.15
Overall performance9 signals
90
13
Matches
33
0.38
PPG
2.30
7.7%
Win rate
72.7%
15.4%
Draw rate
12.1%
76.9%
Loss rate
15.2%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
90.9%
69.2%
Over 2.5 rate
78.8%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
63.6%
3.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.53
Venue performance10 signals
100
6
Matches
16
0.67
PPG
2.13
16.7%
Win rate
68.8%
16.7%
Draw rate
6.3%
66.7%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
93.8%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
87.5%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.26
6
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.62
Goals for per game
3.55
46.2%
Scoring rate
93.9%
46.2%
BTTS rate
54.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.25
66.7%
Scoring rate
93.8%
66.7%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
13
History Matches
33
0.62
Goals Mean
3.55
0.74
Goals Std
2.90
46.2%
Scored 1+ rate
93.9%
15.4%
Scored 2+ rate
72.7%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
51.5%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
3.25
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
3.31
Goals against per game
1.27
100.0%
Conceding rate
60.6%
2.17
Goals against per game
1.63
100.0%
Conceding rate
68.8%
7.00
Goals against per game
2.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
13
History Matches
33
3.31
Conceded Mean
1.27
2.70
Conceded Std
1.40
69.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
33.3%
53.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.2%
2.17
Venue Conceded Mean
1.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
39.4%
53.8%
Failed-to-score rate
6.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
6.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
39.4%
53.8%
Failed-to-score rate
6.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
6.3%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
39.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
13
History Matches
33
0.63
Result entropy
0.70
3.10
Goal Difference Std
3.53
37.46
Stability score
29.61
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
13
Eligible Matches
32
1
Lead Matches
19
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
89.5%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.93
7
Trailing Matches
3
14.3%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
13
Halftime Coverage Matches
32
0.31
First Half Goals For Mean
1.38
1.31
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean
2.22
2.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.88
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
4
Normal Rest History Matches
11
0.75
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.91
7
Long Rest History Matches
21
0.14
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.48
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
5.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
0.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-6.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
2
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.26
—
Portability PPG Range
0.52
—
Portability Score
65.63
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
13
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-210.0
PPG-1.92
GF-2.93
GA2.03
PPG-1.50
PPG-1.46
PPG-1.80
PPG-1.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-20
Clean-sheet rate-0.39
Failed-to-score rate47.8%
History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.31
Failed-to-score rate27.1%
History Matches-20
Goals Mean-2.93
Goals Std-2.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.48
Scored 2+ rate-0.57
Scored 3+ rate-0.52
Venue Goals Mean-2.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean-4.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-3.26
History Matches-20
Conceded Mean2.03
Conceded Std1.30
Clean-sheet rate-0.39
Conceded 2+ rate35.9%
Conceded 3+ rate32.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.54
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.06
History Matches-20
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.43
Stability score7.85
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.81
Eligible Matches-19
Lead Matches-18
Lead Win Rate10.5%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-19
First Half Goals For Mean-1.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean1.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.16
Long Rest History Matches-14
Long Rest Points Per Match-2.33
Current Team ELO-210.0
Current Opponent ELO210.0
Current ELO Difference-420.1
Expected score-0.54
History Matches-20
Residual Mean-0.49
Overperformance-24.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.40

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Dukla Banská Bystrica W

L
Komárno W3–1Dukla Banská Bystrica W31 Oct · away
Pick: Komárno W 87% · hit
L
Dukla Banská Bystrica W1–4Spartak Myjava W24 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 93% · hit
L
Ružomberok W2–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W17 Oct · away
Pick: Ružomberok W 79% · hit
L
Slovan Bratislava W7–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W29 Aug · away
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 95% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Slovan Bratislava W

W
Z. Moravce-Vrable W2–5Slovan Bratislava W24 Oct · away
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 47% · hit
W
Spartak Trnava W2–5Slovan Bratislava W18 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 56% · missed
W
Slovan Bratislava W7–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W29 Aug · home
Pick: Slovan Bratislava W 95% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Dukla Banská Bystrica W and Slovan Bratislava W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Dukla Banská Bystrica W win 4.3%, draw 7.2%, Slovan Bratislava W win 88.5%. The pick is Slovan Bratislava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 82.4%. Both teams to score: 49.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.