ScoreProb
I Liga - Women Slovakia Round 12 2026

Trenčín W vs Komárno W

Trenčín W Home · Elo 1,469
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Komárno W Away · Elo 1,477
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Trenčín W win
Trenčín W winPick
53.4%
Draw
20.4%
Komárno W win
26.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.3%
No46.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.7%
Under 2.537.3%

How much we know

Trenčín W history37 matches
Komárno W history36 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Trenčín W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,469 against 1,477. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Trenčín W score more

    1.46 goals a game over 37 matches for Trenčín W, against 1.08 over 36 for Komárno W.

  • Defences are close

    Trenčín W concede 1.78 a game, Komárno W 1.92.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Trenčín W matches, against 56% for Komárno W. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Trenčín W
Komárno W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1469.2
ELO
1476.9
37
ELO · Matches
36
1469.2
Current Team ELO
1476.9
1476.9
Current Opponent ELO
1469.2
-7.75
Current ELO Difference
7.75
0.49
Expected score
0.51
37
History Matches
36
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.04
47.48
Overperformance
47.74
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
3.20
Goals for per game
1.80
1.20
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.80
1.90
Goals for per game
1.60
1.30
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.27
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
3.01
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.27
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
36
1.24
PPG
1.17
35.1%
Win rate
33.3%
18.9%
Draw rate
16.7%
45.9%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.7%
Over 1.5 rate
80.6%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
37.8%
Over 3.5 rate
30.6%
2.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.25
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
19
1.68
PPG
0.79
52.6%
Win rate
21.1%
10.5%
Draw rate
15.8%
36.8%
Loss rate
63.2%
78.9%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
57.9%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
36.8%
Over 3.5 rate
42.1%
2.62
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
19
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.46
Goals for per game
1.08
64.9%
Scoring rate
58.3%
43.2%
BTTS rate
44.4%
1.74
Goals for per game
0.84
73.7%
Scoring rate
52.6%
42.1%
BTTS rate
47.4%
6.50
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
36
1.46
Goals Mean
1.08
1.72
Goals Std
1.14
64.9%
Scored 1+ rate
58.3%
35.1%
Scored 2+ rate
33.3%
18.9%
Scored 3+ rate
13.9%
1.74
Venue Goals Mean
0.84
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.78
Goals against per game
1.92
70.3%
Conceding rate
86.1%
1.26
Goals against per game
2.47
63.2%
Conceding rate
94.7%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
37
History Matches
36
1.78
Conceded Mean
1.92
1.90
Conceded Std
1.59
45.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.2%
27.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.26
Venue Conceded Mean
2.47
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.9%
35.1%
Failed-to-score rate
41.7%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
5.3%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
47.4%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.9%
35.1%
Failed-to-score rate
41.7%
36.8%
Clean-sheet rate
5.3%
26.3%
Failed-to-score rate
47.4%
29.7%
Clean-sheet rate
13.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
36
0.95
Result entropy
0.92
2.92
Goal Difference Std
2.25
5.35
Stability score
7.94
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
37
Eligible Matches
36
9
Lead Matches
6
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.89
13
Trailing Matches
18
15.4%
Non-loss rate
27.8%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
37
Halftime Coverage Matches
36
0.57
First Half Goals For Mean
0.42
0.78
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
0.89
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.85
Rest days
76.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
13
Normal Rest History Matches
15
1.62
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.13
23
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.09
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.32
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
6.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.03
Portability PPG Std
0.25
0.06
Portability PPG Range
0.51
94.62
Portability Score
66.30
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
36
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-7.75
PPG0.08
GF0.38
GA-0.13
PPG0.00
PPG0.89
PPG0.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate15.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate31.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.21
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.38
Goals Std0.58
Scored 1+ rate6.5%
Scored 2+ rate1.8%
Scored 3+ rate5.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.89
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std1.23
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.13
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate15.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.01
Conceded 3+ rate2.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-1.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.23
History Matches1
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std0.67
Stability score-2.59
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.35
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.74
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.17
Lead Points Retention-0.15
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.12
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.23
Portability PPG Range-0.45
Portability Score28.33
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.48
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.23
Current Team ELO-7.75
Current Opponent ELO7.75
Current ELO Difference-15.49
Expected score-0.02
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance-0.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Trenčín W

L
Ružomberok W2–0Trenčín W31 Oct · away
Pick: Trenčín W 47% · missed
W
Trenčín W2–1Petržalka W24 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 75% · hit
L
Trenčín W0–4Spartak Myjava W21 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 70% · hit
W
Trenčín W3–1Tatran Prešov W17 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 57% · hit
W
Komárno W1–2Trenčín W29 Aug · away
Pick: Trenčín W 44% · hit

Komárno W

W
Komárno W3–1Dukla Banská Bystrica W31 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 87% · hit
W
Komárno W3–0Ružomberok W24 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 59% · hit
W
Komárno W5–0Petržalka W17 Oct · home
Pick: Komárno W 70% · hit
L
Komárno W1–2Trenčín W29 Aug · home
Pick: Trenčín W 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Trenčín W and Komárno W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Trenčín W win 53.4%, draw 20.4%, Komárno W win 26.2%. The pick is Trenčín W win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.7%. Both teams to score: 53.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.