Spartak Trnava W vs Ružomberok W
Match result probability Model pick: Spartak Trnava W win
Spartak Trnava W winPick
62.5%
Draw
15.8%
Ružomberok W win
21.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.9%
No47.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.3%
Under 2.531.7%
How much we know
Spartak Trnava W history38 matches
Ružomberok W history37 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Spartak Trnava W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 09:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.5%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Spartak Trnava W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Spartak Trnava W are rated 30 Elo points higher
Elo 1,484 against 1,454. On rating alone Spartak Trnava W would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.45 goals a game over 38 matches for Spartak Trnava W, against 1.54 over 37 for Ružomberok W.
-
Spartak Trnava W concede fewer
Spartak Trnava W concede 1.79 a game, Ružomberok W 2.22.
-
Ružomberok W games more often go over 2.5 goals
53% of Spartak Trnava W matches, against 73% for Ružomberok W. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ružomberok W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1484.1
ELO
1453.6
38
ELO · Matches
37
1484.1
Current Team ELO
1453.6
1453.6
Current Opponent ELO
1484.1
30.49
Current ELO Difference
-30.49
0.54
Expected score
0.46
38
History Matches
37
-0.03
Residual Mean
-0.06
48.00
Overperformance
46.16
0.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
0.60
Goals against per game
2.20
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
1.60
1.30
Goals for per game
1.80
0.50
Goals against per game
2.10
70.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.66
0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.87
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.79
Overall performance9 signals 90
38
Matches
37
1.32
PPG
1.19
36.8%
Win rate
37.8%
21.1%
Draw rate
5.4%
42.1%
Loss rate
56.8%
73.7%
Over 1.5 rate
86.5%
52.6%
Over 2.5 rate
73.0%
36.8%
Over 3.5 rate
37.8%
2.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.41
Venue performance10 signals 100
17
Matches
18
1.41
PPG
0.94
41.2%
Win rate
27.8%
17.6%
Draw rate
11.1%
41.2%
Loss rate
61.1%
76.5%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
64.7%
Over 2.5 rate
72.2%
47.1%
Over 3.5 rate
38.9%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
17
History Matches
18
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.45
Goals for per game
1.54
78.9%
Scoring rate
73.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
59.5%
1.94
Goals for per game
1.22
88.2%
Scoring rate
72.2%
58.8%
BTTS rate
61.1%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
38
History Matches
37
1.45
Goals Mean
1.54
1.33
Goals Std
1.46
78.9%
Scored 1+ rate
73.0%
31.6%
Scored 2+ rate
43.2%
18.4%
Scored 3+ rate
18.9%
1.94
Venue Goals Mean
1.22
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.79
Goals against per game
2.22
65.8%
Conceding rate
86.5%
1.47
Goals against per game
2.50
64.7%
Conceding rate
88.9%
0.00
Goals against per game
4.50
0.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
38
History Matches
37
1.79
Conceded Mean
2.22
2.44
Conceded Std
1.74
42.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
62.2%
23.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.4%
1.47
Venue Conceded Mean
2.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
34.2%
Clean-sheet rate
13.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.8%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
34.2%
Clean-sheet rate
13.5%
21.1%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
35.3%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
27.8%
34.2%
Clean-sheet rate
13.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
38
History Matches
37
0.96
Result entropy
0.77
2.97
Goal Difference Std
2.41
3.50
Stability score
22.91
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
38
Eligible Matches
37
15
Lead Matches
7
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.76
10
Trailing Matches
17
20.0%
Non-loss rate
17.6%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
17.6%
Goal timing5 signals 50
38
Halftime Coverage Matches
37
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
0.74
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.95
1.13
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.27
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
76.85
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
15
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.47
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.15
20
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.19
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-4.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.36
Portability PPG Std
0.05
0.73
Portability PPG Range
0.11
57.89
Portability Score
90.10
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
38
Clean History Matches
37
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO30.49
PPG0.13
GF-0.09
GA-0.43
PPG3.00
PPG0.47
PPG1.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate20.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate24.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.09
Goals Std-0.13
Scored 1+ rate6.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate0.00
Venue Goals Mean0.72
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.32
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.43
Conceded Std0.70
Clean-sheet rate20.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.20
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-1.03
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.06
History Matches1
Result entropy0.19
Goal Difference Std0.56
Stability score-19.41
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.26
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate-0.11
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate2.4%
Trailing Win Rate-0.18
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.21
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.31
Portability PPG Range0.62
Portability Score-32.21
Rest days0.19
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.31
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Current Team ELO30.49
Current Opponent ELO-30.49
Current ELO Difference60.98
Expected score0.09
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance1.83
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Spartak Trnava W
W
Spartak Trnava W2–1Tatran Prešov W24 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 60% · hit L
Spartak Trnava W2–5Slovan Bratislava W18 Oct · home
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 56% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Ružomberok W
W
Ružomberok W2–0Trenčín W31 Oct · home
Pick: Trenčín W 47% · missed L
Komárno W3–0Ružomberok W24 Oct · away
Pick: Komárno W 59% · hit W
Ružomberok W2–0Dukla Banská Bystrica W17 Oct · home
Pick: Ružomberok W 79% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Spartak Trnava W and Ružomberok W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. The match is played at City Arena Trnava. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Spartak Trnava W win 62.5%, draw 15.8%, Ružomberok W win 21.7%. The pick is Spartak Trnava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.3%. Both teams to score: 52.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.