Spartak Myjava W vs Tatran Prešov W
Match result probability Model pick: Spartak Myjava W win
Spartak Myjava W winPick
89.1%
Draw
5.8%
Tatran Prešov W win
5.1%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.0%
No48.0%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.581.5%
Under 2.518.5%
How much we know
Spartak Myjava W history45 matches
Tatran Prešov W history36 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Spartak Myjava W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (89.1%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.
Why Spartak Myjava W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Spartak Myjava W are rated 180 Elo points higher
Elo 1,695 against 1,515. On rating alone Spartak Myjava W would be expected to take 74% of the points on offer.
-
Spartak Myjava W score far more
4.51 goals a game over 45 matches for Spartak Myjava W, against 1.92 over 36 for Tatran Prešov W.
-
Spartak Myjava W concede fewer
Spartak Myjava W concede 0.76 a game, Tatran Prešov W 1.94.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
80% of Spartak Myjava W matches, against 72% for Tatran Prešov W. The model puts this match at 81% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Tatran Prešov W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1695.2
ELO
1514.7
45
ELO · Matches
36
1695.2
Current Team ELO
1514.7
1514.7
Current Opponent ELO
1695.2
180.4
Current ELO Difference
-180.4
0.74
Expected score
0.26
45
History Matches
36
0.22
Residual Mean
0.02
65.36
Overperformance
51.03
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.20
5.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
4.00
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.70
PPG
1.50
6.80
Goals for per game
2.40
1.00
Goals against per game
2.80
90.0%
Win rate
50.0%
6.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
3.31
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.46
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.80
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
3.12
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
3.99
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
4.52
Overall performance9 signals 90
45
Matches
36
2.53
PPG
1.44
82.2%
Win rate
44.4%
6.7%
Draw rate
11.1%
11.1%
Loss rate
44.4%
97.8%
Over 1.5 rate
88.9%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
72.2%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.01
Venue performance10 signals 100
25
Matches
19
2.68
PPG
1.58
88.0%
Win rate
52.6%
4.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
8.0%
Loss rate
47.4%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
92.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.7%
80.0%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
3.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.28
25
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
4.51
Goals for per game
1.92
97.8%
Scoring rate
75.0%
51.1%
BTTS rate
55.6%
5.48
Goals for per game
1.74
100.0%
Scoring rate
73.7%
44.0%
BTTS rate
47.4%
8.00
Goals for per game
1.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
45
History Matches
36
4.51
Goals Mean
1.92
3.12
Goals Std
1.69
97.8%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
86.7%
Scored 2+ rate
61.1%
66.7%
Scored 3+ rate
27.8%
5.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.74
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.76
Goals against per game
1.94
53.3%
Conceding rate
77.8%
0.72
Goals against per game
2.16
44.0%
Conceding rate
73.7%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
45
History Matches
36
0.76
Conceded Mean
1.94
0.92
Conceded Std
2.11
13.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
47.2%
6.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.8%
0.72
Venue Conceded Mean
2.16
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
46.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
2.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
46.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
2.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
46.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
45
History Matches
36
0.53
Result entropy
0.88
3.47
Goal Difference Std
3.01
46.69
Stability score
12.17
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
43
Eligible Matches
35
32
Lead Matches
15
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.87
2
Trailing Matches
15
50.0%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
2.26
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
2.35
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.17
0.49
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.09
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.00
Rest days
76.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
2
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
16
Normal Rest History Matches
12
2.69
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
20
Long Rest History Matches
21
2.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals 170
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
1.50
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
3.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.50
7.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
5
Competition Season Count
3
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.69
Portability PPG Std
0.33
1.80
Portability PPG Range
0.65
42.00
Portability Score
60.53
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
45
Clean History Matches
36
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO180.4
PPG1.09
GF2.59
GA-1.19
PPG1.50
PPG1.10
PPG1.20
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate24.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate29.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.26
History Matches9
Goals Mean2.59
Goals Std1.43
Scored 1+ rate22.8%
Scored 2+ rate25.6%
Scored 3+ rate38.9%
Venue Goals Mean3.74
Recent 10 Goals Mean4.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.85
History Matches9
Conceded Mean-1.19
Conceded Std-1.18
Clean-sheet rate24.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.34
Conceded 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Conceded Mean-1.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-2.03
History Matches9
Result entropy-0.35
Goal Difference Std0.45
Stability score34.53
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.53
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches17
Lead Win Rate13.3%
Lead Points Retention0.13
Trailing Matches-13
Non-loss rate30.0%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean1.54
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.63
Second Half Goals For Mean1.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.60
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean7.50
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Portability PPG Std0.36
Portability PPG Range1.15
Portability Score-18.53
Rest days0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches6
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.69
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.89
Current Team ELO180.4
Current Opponent ELO-180.4
Current ELO Difference360.9
Expected score0.48
History Matches9
Residual Mean0.21
Overperformance14.33
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Spartak Myjava W
L
Spartak Myjava W1–3Hammarby W28 Oct · home
Pick: Hammarby W 45% · hit W
Dukla Banská Bystrica W1–4Spartak Myjava W24 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 93% · hit W
Trenčín W0–4Spartak Myjava W21 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 70% · hit W
Z. Moravce-Vrable W0–5Spartak Myjava W17 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 80% · hit W
Tatran Prešov W1–7Spartak Myjava W29 Aug · away
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 86% · hit Tatran Prešov W
D
Tatran Prešov W1–1Z. Moravce-Vrable W31 Oct · home
Pick: Tatran Prešov W 65% · missed L
Spartak Trnava W2–1Tatran Prešov W24 Oct · away
Pick: Spartak Trnava W 60% · hit L
Trenčín W3–1Tatran Prešov W17 Oct · away
Pick: Trenčín W 57% · hit L
Tatran Prešov W1–7Spartak Myjava W29 Aug · home
Pick: Spartak Myjava W 86% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Spartak Myjava W and Tatran Prešov W meet in I Liga - Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Spartak Myjava W win 89.1%, draw 5.8%, Tatran Prešov W win 5.1%. The pick is Spartak Myjava W win. Over 2.5 goals: 81.5%. Both teams to score: 52.0%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.