Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs LPS HD Clinceni
Match result probability Model pick: LPS HD Clinceni win
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win
28.1%
Draw
27.4%
LPS HD Clinceni winPick
44.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.9%
No49.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
How much we know
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu history35 matches
LPS HD Clinceni history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours LPS HD Clinceni
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.5%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why LPS HD Clinceni are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
LPS HD Clinceni are rated 84 Elo points higher
Elo 1,510 against 1,426. On rating alone LPS HD Clinceni would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
LPS HD Clinceni score more
1.26 goals a game over 35 matches for Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu, against 1.77 over 39 for LPS HD Clinceni.
-
LPS HD Clinceni concede fewer
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu concede 1.89 a game, LPS HD Clinceni 1.33.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
54% of Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu matches, against 56% for LPS HD Clinceni. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 13 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
LPS HD Clinceni@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1425.5
ELO
1510.0
35
ELO · Matches
39
1425.5
Current Team ELO
1510.0
1510.0
Current Opponent ELO
1425.5
-84.45
Current ELO Difference
84.45
0.38
Expected score
0.62
35
History Matches
39
-0.10
Residual Mean
0.01
43.51
Overperformance
50.81
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.35
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.60
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.80
Goals against per game
3.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.40
1.70
Goals for per game
0.40
1.30
Goals against per game
2.90
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.40
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.90
1.42
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.97
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
2.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.46
Overall performance9 signals 90
35
Matches
39
0.89
PPG
1.72
25.7%
Win rate
53.8%
11.4%
Draw rate
10.3%
62.9%
Loss rate
35.9%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
74.4%
54.3%
Over 2.5 rate
56.4%
31.4%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.79
Venue performance10 signals 100
18
Matches
19
1.17
PPG
1.37
33.3%
Win rate
42.1%
16.7%
Draw rate
10.5%
50.0%
Loss rate
47.4%
94.4%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
38.9%
Over 3.5 rate
42.1%
3.01
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.92
18
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.26
Goals for per game
1.77
60.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
40.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
1.72
Goals for per game
1.63
66.7%
Scoring rate
57.9%
38.9%
BTTS rate
31.6%
35
History Matches
39
1.26
Goals Mean
1.77
1.52
Goals Std
1.85
60.0%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
31.4%
Scored 2+ rate
46.2%
14.3%
Scored 3+ rate
28.2%
1.72
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.89
Goals against per game
1.33
80.0%
Conceding rate
59.0%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.79
72.2%
Conceding rate
63.2%
35
History Matches
39
1.89
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.58
Conceded Std
1.65
51.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.8%
28.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
17.9%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.79
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
27.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
35
History Matches
39
0.81
Result entropy
0.85
2.43
Goal Difference Std
2.79
19.08
Stability score
14.92
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
14
Eligible Matches
27
4
Lead Matches
9
75.0%
Lead Win Rate
88.9%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.89
4
Trailing Matches
3
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
14
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.96
1.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
93.90
Rest days
107.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
18
0.58
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.83
15
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.27
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.55
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.62
Portability PPG Std
0.72
1.50
Portability PPG Range
1.97
44.50
Portability Score
40.91
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
35
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-84.45
PPG-0.83
GF-0.51
GA0.55
PPG-0.20
PPG0.80
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate6.7%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-4
Goals Mean-0.51
Goals Std-0.33
Scored 1+ rate-0.07
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean0.09
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.76
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean0.55
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate20.7%
Conceded 3+ rate10.6%
Venue Conceded Mean0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.55
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.04
Goal Difference Std-0.36
Stability score4.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.08
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.14
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.48
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.10
Portability PPG Range-0.47
Portability Score3.59
Rest days-14.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.25
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.28
Current Team ELO-84.45
Current Opponent ELO84.45
Current ELO Difference-168.9
Expected score-0.24
History Matches-4
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-7.30
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.52
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
W
Cetatea2–4Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu6 Nov · away
Pick: Cetatea 54% · missed W
Dinamo Bucureşti II4–5Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu30 Oct · away
Pick: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 44% · hit W
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu5–3Voluntari II24 Oct · home
Pick: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 62% · hit W
Axi Adunații-Copăceni0–3Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu16 Oct · away
Pick: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 51% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
LPS HD Clinceni
W
LPS HD Clinceni3–2Progresul Spartac30 Oct · home
Pick: LPS HD Clinceni 47% · hit W
Alexandria0–3LPS HD Clinceni23 Oct · away
Pick: LPS HD Clinceni 46% · hit W
LPS HD Clinceni3–1Oxigen Bucuresti16 Oct · home
Pick: LPS HD Clinceni 64% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu and LPS HD Clinceni meet in Liga III - Serie 5 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu win 28.1%, draw 27.4%, LPS HD Clinceni win 44.5%. The pick is LPS HD Clinceni win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.7%. Both teams to score: 50.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.