ScoreProb
Regionalliga - Nord Germany North - 17 2026

Eimsbütteler TV vs Todesfelde

Eimsbütteler TV Home · Elo 1,633
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Todesfelde Away · Elo 1,661
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eimsbütteler TV win
Eimsbütteler TV winPick
43.9%
Draw
23.3%
Todesfelde win
32.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.0%
No35.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%

How much we know

Eimsbütteler TV history58 matches
Todesfelde history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Eimsbütteler TV are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Todesfelde are rated 28 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,661 against 1,633. On rating alone Todesfelde would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Eimsbütteler TV score more

    2.90 goals a game over 58 matches for Eimsbütteler TV, against 2.11 over 54 for Todesfelde.

  • Todesfelde concede fewer

    Eimsbütteler TV concede 1.72 a game, Todesfelde 1.15.

  • Eimsbütteler TV games more often go over 2.5 goals

    84% of Eimsbütteler TV matches, against 61% for Todesfelde. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eimsbütteler TV
Todesfelde
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1633.1
ELO
1661.1
58
ELO · Matches
54
1633.1
Current Team ELO
1661.1
1661.1
Current Opponent ELO
1633.1
-28.01
Current ELO Difference
28.01
0.46
Expected score
0.54
58
History Matches
54
0.10
Residual Mean
0.14
57.73
Overperformance
60.32
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.07
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.80
Goals for per game
2.80
2.40
Goals against per game
2.20
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.10
3.30
Goals for per game
2.30
2.40
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
3.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.79
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.55
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.62
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.33
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
54
1.97
PPG
2.00
60.3%
Win rate
61.1%
15.5%
Draw rate
16.7%
24.1%
Loss rate
22.2%
94.8%
Over 1.5 rate
79.6%
84.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
77.6%
Over 3.5 rate
40.7%
2.39
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
29
2.08
PPG
2.07
61.5%
Win rate
62.1%
23.1%
Draw rate
20.7%
15.4%
Loss rate
17.2%
92.3%
Over 1.5 rate
82.8%
84.6%
Over 2.5 rate
58.6%
80.8%
Over 3.5 rate
31.0%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.96
26
History Matches
29
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.90
Goals for per game
2.11
96.6%
Scoring rate
81.5%
79.3%
BTTS rate
44.4%
3.19
Goals for per game
2.00
96.2%
Scoring rate
79.3%
76.9%
BTTS rate
37.9%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.75
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
58
History Matches
54
2.90
Goals Mean
2.11
1.65
Goals Std
1.51
96.6%
Scored 1+ rate
81.5%
75.9%
Scored 2+ rate
61.1%
55.2%
Scored 3+ rate
44.4%
3.19
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.72
Goals against per game
1.15
81.0%
Conceding rate
57.4%
1.58
Goals against per game
0.93
80.8%
Conceding rate
51.7%
2.25
Goals against per game
2.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
58
History Matches
54
1.72
Conceded Mean
1.15
1.42
Conceded Std
1.37
41.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.6%
32.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.8%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
0.93
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.6%
3.4%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
48.3%
3.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.6%
3.4%
Failed-to-score rate
18.5%
19.2%
Clean-sheet rate
48.3%
3.8%
Failed-to-score rate
20.7%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
54
0.85
Result entropy
0.85
2.39
Goal Difference Std
2.05
14.71
Stability score
15.00
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
51
31
Lead Matches
21
87.1%
Lead Win Rate
95.2%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.97
11
Trailing Matches
14
45.5%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
27.3%
Trailing Win Rate
35.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
1.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
0.74
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
1.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.39
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.79
Rest days
83.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
2
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
30
2.20
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.13
24
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.90
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.50
PPG
1.25
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.41
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.50
Current Competition PPG
1.25
-0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
5
Competition Season Count
6
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.80
Portability PPG Std
0.83
2.25
Portability PPG Range
2.21
38.41
Portability Score
37.50
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-28.01
PPG-0.03
GF0.79
GA0.58
PPG0.25
PPG0.01
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.29
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches4
Goals Mean0.79
Goals Std0.14
Scored 1+ rate15.1%
Scored 2+ rate14.8%
Scored 3+ rate10.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches4
Conceded Mean0.58
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.24
Conceded 2+ rate11.7%
Conceded 3+ rate17.9%
Venue Conceded Mean0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.34
History Matches4
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.35
Stability score-0.29
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.22
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.07
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.05
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean0.13
Second Half Goals For Mean0.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range0.04
Portability Score0.92
Rest days-5.21
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.07
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Current Team ELO-28.01
Current Opponent ELO28.01
Current ELO Difference-56.02
Expected score-0.08
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.59
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eimsbütteler TV

D
St. Pauli II1–1Eimsbütteler TV1 Nov · away
Pick: Eimsbütteler TV 48% · missed
D
Eimsbütteler TV1–1SSV Jeddeloh24 Oct · home
Pick: Eimsbütteler TV 56% · missed
L
VfB Oldenburg7–3Eimsbütteler TV29 Aug · away
Pick: VfB Oldenburg 61% · hit
W
Eimsbütteler TV3–1Bremer SV26 Aug · home
Pick: Eimsbütteler TV 56% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Todesfelde

W
Todesfelde4–2Eintracht Norderstedt1 Nov · home
Pick: Todesfelde 60% · hit
L
SV Drochtersen/Assel5–1Todesfelde24 Oct · away
Pick: SV Drochtersen/Assel 49% · hit
D
HSC Hannover1–1Todesfelde18 Oct · away
Pick: HSC Hannover 44% · missed
W
Todesfelde2–0SSV Jeddeloh30 Aug · home
Pick: Todesfelde 60% · hit
L
Todesfelde1–4VfB Oldenburg26 Aug · home
Pick: Todesfelde 41% · missed

About this match

Eimsbütteler TV and Todesfelde meet in Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Eimsbütteler TV win 43.9%, draw 23.3%, Todesfelde win 32.8%. The pick is Eimsbütteler TV win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.6%. Both teams to score: 65.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.