ScoreProb
Regionalliga - Nord Germany North - 17 2026

Hannover 96 II vs Weiche Flensburg

Hannover 96 II Home · Elo 1,552
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Weiche Flensburg Away · Elo 1,555
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hannover 96 II win
Hannover 96 II winPick
44.5%
Draw
23.3%
Weiche Flensburg win
32.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.7%
No37.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.3%
Under 2.529.7%

How much we know

Hannover 96 II history65 matches
Weiche Flensburg history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hannover 96 II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,552 against 1,555. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.91 goals a game over 65 matches for Hannover 96 II, against 1.92 over 61 for Weiche Flensburg.

  • Hannover 96 II concede fewer

    Hannover 96 II concede 1.58 a game, Weiche Flensburg 1.82.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    68% of Hannover 96 II matches, against 72% for Weiche Flensburg. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hannover 96 II
Weiche Flensburg
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1552.2
ELO
1555.3
65
ELO · Matches
61
1552.2
Current Team ELO
1555.3
1555.3
Current Opponent ELO
1552.2
-3.08
Current ELO Difference
3.08
0.50
Expected score
0.50
65
History Matches
61
0.04
Residual Mean
0.05
53.42
Overperformance
53.42
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.32
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.60
2.00
Goals for per game
3.40
0.60
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.30
2.20
Goals for per game
2.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.70
60.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.80
2.18
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.94
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
3.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.81
Overall performance9 signals
90
65
Matches
61
1.49
PPG
1.38
43.1%
Win rate
37.7%
20.0%
Draw rate
24.6%
36.9%
Loss rate
37.7%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
86.9%
67.7%
Over 2.5 rate
72.1%
50.8%
Over 3.5 rate
55.7%
2.27
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.21
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
31
1.62
PPG
1.29
47.1%
Win rate
35.5%
20.6%
Draw rate
22.6%
32.4%
Loss rate
41.9%
85.3%
Over 1.5 rate
87.1%
61.8%
Over 2.5 rate
71.0%
44.1%
Over 3.5 rate
45.2%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
34
History Matches
31
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.91
Goals for per game
1.92
83.1%
Scoring rate
82.0%
63.1%
BTTS rate
70.5%
1.97
Goals for per game
1.68
85.3%
Scoring rate
87.1%
67.6%
BTTS rate
74.2%
1.75
Goals for per game
3.40
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
25.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
65
History Matches
61
1.91
Goals Mean
1.92
1.58
Goals Std
1.51
83.1%
Scored 1+ rate
82.0%
52.3%
Scored 2+ rate
54.1%
29.2%
Scored 3+ rate
31.1%
1.97
Venue Goals Mean
1.68
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.58
Goals against per game
1.82
76.9%
Conceding rate
83.6%
1.41
Goals against per game
1.65
79.4%
Conceding rate
83.9%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.40
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
65
History Matches
61
1.58
Conceded Mean
1.82
1.32
Conceded Std
1.41
47.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.8%
20.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.9%
1.41
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
16.9%
Failed-to-score rate
18.0%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
14.7%
Failed-to-score rate
12.9%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
16.9%
Failed-to-score rate
18.0%
20.6%
Clean-sheet rate
16.1%
14.7%
Failed-to-score rate
12.9%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
65
History Matches
61
0.96
Result entropy
0.98
2.27
Goal Difference Std
2.21
4.19
Stability score
1.65
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
65
Eligible Matches
57
24
Lead Matches
15
70.8%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.75
Lead Points Retention
0.84
15
Trailing Matches
19
13.3%
Non-loss rate
21.1%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
21.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
65
Halftime Coverage Matches
57
0.85
First Half Goals For Mean
0.74
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
1.06
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.12
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.08
Rest days
76.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.80
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
31
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.19
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.44
28
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.82
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.28
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
5
2.25
PPG
2.60
75.0%
Win rate
80.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.26
4
Current Competition Matches
5
2.25
Current Competition PPG
2.60
1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
5
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.46
Portability PPG Std
0.59
1.31
Portability PPG Range
1.81
51.90
Portability Score
45.73
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
65
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-3.08
PPG0.12
GF-0.01
GA-0.24
PPG-0.35
PPG0.33
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate6.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate4.5%
Failed-to-score rate1.8%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.01
Goals Std0.07
Scored 1+ rate1.1%
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.29
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.24
Conceded Std-0.09
Clean-sheet rate6.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.03
Conceded 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.15
History Matches4
Result entropy-0.03
Goal Difference Std0.07
Stability score2.54
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.22
Eligible Matches8
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate-0.09
Lead Points Retention-0.09
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.14
Halftime Coverage Matches8
First Half Goals For Mean0.11
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.22
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.35
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.75
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.13
Portability PPG Range-0.51
Portability Score6.17
Rest days7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.24
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.54
Current Team ELO-3.08
Current Opponent ELO3.08
Current ELO Difference-6.16
Expected score-0.01
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.24

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hannover 96 II

L
Hamburger SV II4–2Hannover 96 II1 Nov · away
Pick: Hannover 96 II 50% · missed
W
Hannover 96 II4–3Eintracht Norderstedt24 Oct · home
Pick: Hannover 96 II 63% · hit
W
Hannover 96 II4–2Schöningen17 Oct · home
Pick: Hannover 96 II 41% · hit
W
Werder Bremen II0–2Hannover 96 II6 Oct · away
Pick: Hannover 96 II 50% · hit
D
Kickers Emden1–1Hannover 96 II29 Aug · away
Pick: Hannover 96 II 55% · missed

Weiche Flensburg

D
Weiche Flensburg1–1Kickers Emden31 Oct · home
Pick: Weiche Flensburg 60% · missed
L
St. Pauli II3–0Weiche Flensburg25 Oct · away
Pick: Weiche Flensburg 52% · missed
W
Weiche Flensburg3–0SV Drochtersen/Assel16 Oct · home
Pick: Weiche Flensburg 52% · hit
W
Weiche Flensburg1–0Atlas Delmenhorst29 Aug · home
Pick: Weiche Flensburg 55% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hannover 96 II and Weiche Flensburg meet in Regionalliga - Nord on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hannover 96 II win 44.5%, draw 23.3%, Weiche Flensburg win 32.2%. The pick is Hannover 96 II win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.3%. Both teams to score: 62.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.