ScoreProb
Oberliga - Nordost-Nord Germany NOFV-Nord - 11 2026

Eintracht Mahlsdorf vs Makkabi

Eintracht Mahlsdorf Home · Elo 1,541
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Makkabi Away · Elo 1,481
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Mahlsdorf win
Eintracht Mahlsdorf winPick
46.1%
Draw
21.6%
Makkabi win
32.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.1%
Under 2.529.9%

How much we know

Eintracht Mahlsdorf history47 matches
Makkabi history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.1%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Eintracht Mahlsdorf are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Eintracht Mahlsdorf are rated 60 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,541 against 1,481. On rating alone Eintracht Mahlsdorf would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Eintracht Mahlsdorf score more

    2.11 goals a game over 47 matches for Eintracht Mahlsdorf, against 1.88 over 49 for Makkabi.

  • Eintracht Mahlsdorf concede fewer

    Eintracht Mahlsdorf concede 1.45 a game, Makkabi 1.76.

  • Makkabi games more often go over 2.5 goals

    64% of Eintracht Mahlsdorf matches, against 78% for Makkabi. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 16 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eintracht Mahlsdorf
Makkabi
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1541.2
ELO
1480.8
47
ELO · Matches
49
1541.2
Current Team ELO
1480.8
1480.8
Current Opponent ELO
1541.2
60.42
Current ELO Difference
-60.42
0.59
Expected score
0.41
47
History Matches
49
0.04
Residual Mean
-0.02
52.69
Overperformance
48.42
-0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
0.40
Goals for per game
2.20
2.20
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.10
0.70
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.70
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.64
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.01
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.49
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.84
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
49
1.85
PPG
1.43
55.3%
Win rate
42.9%
19.1%
Draw rate
14.3%
25.5%
Loss rate
42.9%
87.2%
Over 1.5 rate
89.8%
63.8%
Over 2.5 rate
77.6%
48.9%
Over 3.5 rate
53.1%
2.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.35
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
25
2.04
PPG
1.12
60.9%
Win rate
32.0%
21.7%
Draw rate
16.0%
17.4%
Loss rate
52.0%
95.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
73.9%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
52.2%
Over 3.5 rate
48.0%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.58
23
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.11
Goals for per game
1.88
78.7%
Scoring rate
79.6%
51.1%
BTTS rate
65.3%
2.17
Goals for per game
1.76
87.0%
Scoring rate
76.0%
60.9%
BTTS rate
60.0%
0.50
Goals for per game
0.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
47
History Matches
49
2.11
Goals Mean
1.88
1.99
Goals Std
1.57
78.7%
Scored 1+ rate
79.6%
57.4%
Scored 2+ rate
51.0%
34.0%
Scored 3+ rate
32.7%
2.17
Venue Goals Mean
1.76
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.45
Goals against per game
1.76
70.2%
Conceding rate
81.6%
1.39
Goals against per game
2.04
73.9%
Conceding rate
84.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
47
History Matches
49
1.45
Conceded Mean
1.76
1.32
Conceded Std
1.27
42.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
53.1%
21.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.6%
1.39
Venue Conceded Mean
2.04
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
29.8%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
21.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
29.8%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
21.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
16.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
29.8%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
49
0.90
Result entropy
0.91
2.71
Goal Difference Std
2.35
9.65
Stability score
8.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
48
19
Lead Matches
17
89.5%
Lead Win Rate
70.6%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.75
12
Trailing Matches
14
41.7%
Non-loss rate
21.4%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
14.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
48
0.85
First Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
1.26
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.25
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.15
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.04
Rest days
83.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
21
2.05
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.57
23
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.65
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.26
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
2
1.50
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
2
Current Competition Matches
2
1.50
Current Competition PPG
0.50
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.50
5
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.51
Portability PPG Std
0.00
1.03
Portability PPG Range
0.00
49.28
Portability Score
100.0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO60.42
PPG0.42
GF0.23
GA-0.31
PPG1.00
PPG0.92
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate11.4%
Failed-to-score rate0.9%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate10.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.23
Goals Std0.42
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate6.4%
Scored 3+ rate1.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.41
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.37
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate11.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-0.65
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.02
History Matches-2
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.35
Stability score1.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.92
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate18.9%
Lead Points Retention0.17
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate20.2%
Trailing Win Rate19.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.42
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.51
Portability PPG Range1.03
Portability Score-50.72
Rest days1.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.47
Long Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.39
Current Team ELO60.42
Current Opponent ELO-60.42
Current ELO Difference120.8
Expected score0.17
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.06
Overperformance4.27
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eintracht Mahlsdorf

W
FC Lok Stendal0–4Eintracht Mahlsdorf1 Nov · away
Pick: Eintracht Mahlsdorf 40% · hit
W
Eintracht Mahlsdorf2–1Hertha Zehlendorf24 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Mahlsdorf 40% · hit
W
Union Klosterfelde1–3Eintracht Mahlsdorf16 Oct · away
Pick: Union Klosterfelde 46% · missed
D
Reinickendorfer Fuchse1–1Eintracht Mahlsdorf30 Aug · away
Pick: Eintracht Mahlsdorf 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Makkabi

L
Makkabi0–1BAK '071 Nov · home
Pick: Makkabi 46% · missed
L
Sparta Lichtenberg2–0Makkabi24 Oct · away
Pick: Sparta Lichtenberg 46% · hit
L
Makkabi0–2Reinickendorfer Fuchse18 Oct · home
Pick: Makkabi 52% · missed
L
Makkabi1–8Hansa Rostock II4 Oct · home
Pick: Makkabi 46% · missed
W
Anker Wismar1–2Makkabi29 Aug · away
Pick: Anker Wismar 54% · missed

About this match

Eintracht Mahlsdorf and Makkabi meet in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Eintracht Mahlsdorf win 46.1%, draw 21.6%, Makkabi win 32.3%. The pick is Eintracht Mahlsdorf win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.1%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.