Espanyol W vs Granad. Tenerife W
Match result probability Model pick: Granad. Tenerife W win
Espanyol W win
29.8%
Draw
29.3%
Granad. Tenerife W winPick
40.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes46.8%
No53.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.545.9%
Under 2.554.1%
How much we know
Espanyol W history45 matches
Granad. Tenerife W history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Granad. Tenerife W
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 10:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 11:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.8%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why Granad. Tenerife W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Granad. Tenerife W are rated 127 Elo points higher
Elo 1,575 against 1,449. On rating alone Granad. Tenerife W would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.
-
Granad. Tenerife W score more
1.02 goals a game over 45 matches for Espanyol W, against 1.52 over 44 for Granad. Tenerife W.
-
Granad. Tenerife W concede fewer
Espanyol W concede 1.56 a game, Granad. Tenerife W 0.86.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
38% of Espanyol W matches, against 36% for Granad. Tenerife W. The model puts this match at 46% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 1 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Granad. Tenerife W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1448.7
ELO
1575.3
45
ELO · Matches
44
1448.7
Current Team ELO
1575.3
1575.3
Current Opponent ELO
1448.7
-126.6
Current ELO Difference
126.6
0.33
Expected score
0.67
45
History Matches
44
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.08
46.26
Overperformance
55.78
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.60
1.00
Goals for per game
1.80
2.00
Goals against per game
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
1.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.60
1.50
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
0.63
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.20
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.08
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.89
Overall performance9 signals 90
45
Matches
44
1.02
PPG
1.66
22.2%
Win rate
43.2%
35.6%
Draw rate
36.4%
42.2%
Loss rate
20.5%
75.6%
Over 1.5 rate
79.5%
37.8%
Over 2.5 rate
36.4%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.81
Venue performance10 signals 100
23
Matches
22
1.17
PPG
1.59
26.1%
Win rate
40.9%
39.1%
Draw rate
36.4%
34.8%
Loss rate
22.7%
73.9%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
34.8%
Over 2.5 rate
27.3%
26.1%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
23
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.02
Goals for per game
1.52
66.7%
Scoring rate
70.5%
48.9%
BTTS rate
40.9%
1.22
Goals for per game
1.27
65.2%
Scoring rate
59.1%
43.5%
BTTS rate
31.8%
45
History Matches
44
1.02
Goals Mean
1.52
1.11
Goals Std
1.41
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
70.5%
22.2%
Scored 2+ rate
45.5%
6.7%
Scored 3+ rate
18.2%
1.22
Venue Goals Mean
1.27
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.56
Goals against per game
0.86
73.3%
Conceding rate
56.8%
1.52
Goals against per game
0.86
65.2%
Conceding rate
54.5%
45
History Matches
44
1.56
Conceded Mean
0.86
1.44
Conceded Std
0.87
42.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
27.3%
22.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.3%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
0.86
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
29.5%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
45.5%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
29.5%
34.8%
Clean-sheet rate
45.5%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
45
History Matches
44
0.97
Result entropy
0.96
1.83
Goal Difference Std
1.81
2.97
Stability score
3.96
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
45
Eligible Matches
44
12
Lead Matches
17
58.3%
Lead Win Rate
88.2%
0.69
Lead Points Retention
0.92
16
Trailing Matches
8
18.8%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.47
First Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.75
0.87
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
166.9
Rest days
167.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
21
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.24
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.05
23
Long Rest History Matches
24
0.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.29
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.02
Portability PPG Std
0.22
0.03
Portability PPG Range
0.44
96.77
Portability Score
69.31
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
45
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-126.6
PPG-0.64
GF-0.50
GA0.69
PPG-0.42
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.50
Goals Std-0.30
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate-0.23
Scored 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Goals Mean-0.06
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.57
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.69
Conceded Std0.57
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate14.9%
Conceded 3+ rate19.9%
Venue Conceded Mean0.66
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.21
History Matches1
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score-0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.46
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.30
Lead Points Retention-0.23
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.31
Trailing Win Rate-0.13
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.46
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.41
Portability Score27.47
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.81
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.47
Current Team ELO-126.6
Current Opponent ELO126.6
Current ELO Difference-253.3
Expected score-0.35
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-9.52
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Espanyol W
W
Granada0–1Espanyol W7 Nov · away
Pick: Granada 41% · missed W
Espanyol W2–1Edf Logrono W31 Oct · home
Pick: Espanyol W 55% · hit D
Real Sociedad W1–1Espanyol W24 Oct · away
Pick: Real Sociedad W 53% · missed L
Real Madrid W3–1Espanyol W17 Oct · away
Pick: Real Madrid W 67% · hit L
Eibar W1–0Espanyol W29 Aug · away
Pick: Eibar W 37% · hit Granad. Tenerife W
L
Real Madrid W3–2Granad. Tenerife W24 Oct · away
Pick: Real Madrid W 59% · hit W
FC Levante Badalona0–4Granad. Tenerife W17 Oct · away
Pick: Granad. Tenerife W 46% · hit W
Granad. Tenerife W2–1Edf Logrono W4 Oct · home
Pick: Granad. Tenerife W 63% · hit L
Barcelona W5–0Granad. Tenerife W30 Aug · away
Pick: Barcelona W 61% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Espanyol W and Granad. Tenerife W meet in Primera División Femenina on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. The match is played at Ciutat Esportiva Dani Jarque. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Espanyol W win 29.8%, draw 29.3%, Granad. Tenerife W win 40.8%. The pick is Granad. Tenerife W win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.9%. Both teams to score: 46.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.