FC Santa Coloma vs Ordino
Match result probability Model pick: FC Santa Coloma win
FC Santa Coloma winPick
62.6%
Draw
19.6%
Ordino win
17.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.2%
No44.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.562.9%
Under 2.537.1%
How much we know
FC Santa Coloma history51 matches
Ordino history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours FC Santa Coloma
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why FC Santa Coloma are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
FC Santa Coloma are rated 110 Elo points higher
Elo 1,573 against 1,463. On rating alone FC Santa Coloma would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.
-
FC Santa Coloma score more
1.75 goals a game over 51 matches for FC Santa Coloma, against 1.20 over 40 for Ordino.
-
FC Santa Coloma concede fewer
FC Santa Coloma concede 1.12 a game, Ordino 1.80.
-
Ordino games more often go over 2.5 goals
53% of FC Santa Coloma matches, against 65% for Ordino. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 30 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ordino@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1573.5
ELO
1463.4
51
ELO · Matches
40
1573.5
Current Team ELO
1463.4
1463.4
Current Opponent ELO
1573.5
110.1
Current ELO Difference
-110.1
0.65
Expected score
0.35
51
History Matches
40
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.05
55.74
Overperformance
46.83
-0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.40
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
2.40
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.10
1.30
Goals for per game
1.20
1.50
Goals against per game
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.47
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.91
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.33
Overall performance9 signals 90
51
Matches
40
1.76
PPG
1.10
52.9%
Win rate
30.0%
17.6%
Draw rate
20.0%
29.4%
Loss rate
50.0%
68.6%
Over 1.5 rate
82.5%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
37.3%
Over 3.5 rate
37.5%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals 100
28
Matches
21
1.68
PPG
1.05
50.0%
Win rate
28.6%
17.9%
Draw rate
19.0%
32.1%
Loss rate
52.4%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
46.4%
Over 3.5 rate
38.1%
2.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
28
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.75
Goals for per game
1.20
78.4%
Scoring rate
62.5%
45.1%
BTTS rate
55.0%
1.82
Goals for per game
1.00
78.6%
Scoring rate
61.9%
42.9%
BTTS rate
52.4%
51
History Matches
40
1.75
Goals Mean
1.20
1.59
Goals Std
1.31
78.4%
Scored 1+ rate
62.5%
45.1%
Scored 2+ rate
35.0%
25.5%
Scored 3+ rate
10.0%
1.82
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.12
Goals against per game
1.80
58.8%
Conceding rate
87.5%
1.18
Goals against per game
1.95
57.1%
Conceding rate
85.7%
51
History Matches
40
1.12
Conceded Mean
1.80
1.34
Conceded Std
1.21
29.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.5%
11.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
27.5%
1.18
Venue Conceded Mean
1.95
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
38.1%
41.2%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
51
History Matches
40
0.91
Result entropy
0.94
2.24
Goal Difference Std
2.00
8.73
Stability score
6.28
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
51
Eligible Matches
39
17
Lead Matches
9
94.1%
Lead Win Rate
55.6%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.67
9
Trailing Matches
15
33.3%
Non-loss rate
6.7%
22.2%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals 50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
39
0.63
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.72
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.79
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.05
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
101.8
Rest days
176.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
27
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.67
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.06
21
Long Rest History Matches
19
2.10
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
6
Competition Season Count
3
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.16
Portability PPG Std
0.22
0.36
Portability PPG Range
0.44
76.03
Portability Score
69.42
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
51
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO110.1
PPG0.66
GF0.55
GA-0.68
PPG0.63
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate28.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate28.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches11
Goals Mean0.55
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate15.9%
Scored 2+ rate10.1%
Scored 3+ rate15.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.82
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.12
History Matches11
Conceded Mean-0.68
Conceded Std0.13
Clean-sheet rate28.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.23
Conceded 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Conceded Mean-0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.63
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std0.24
Stability score2.45
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.05
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate38.6%
Lead Points Retention0.27
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate26.7%
Trailing Win Rate15.6%
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.31
Second Half Goals For Mean0.32
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.35
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std-0.06
Portability PPG Range-0.08
Portability Score6.61
Rest days-74.19
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.61
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.10
Current Team ELO110.1
Current Opponent ELO-110.1
Current ELO Difference220.1
Expected score0.31
History Matches11
Residual Mean0.13
Overperformance8.91
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.19
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
FC Santa Coloma
W
Ranger's0–2FC Santa Coloma1 Nov · away
Pick: FC Santa Coloma 41% · hit D
FC Santa Coloma1–1Inter Club d'Escaldes25 Oct · home
Pick: Inter Club d'Escaldes 42% · missed W
Esperança d'Andorra1–2FC Santa Coloma18 Oct · away
Pick: FC Santa Coloma 59% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Ordino
L
Ordino0–2Atlètic Club d'Escaldes1 Nov · home
Pick: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 52% · hit W
Ordino3–2Carroi25 Oct · home
Pick: Ordino 54% · hit W
Ranger's0–1Ordino17 Oct · away
Pick: Ranger's 53% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
FC Santa Coloma and Ordino meet in 1a Divisió on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: FC Santa Coloma win 62.6%, draw 19.6%, Ordino win 17.8%. The pick is FC Santa Coloma win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.9%. Both teams to score: 55.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.