ScoreProb
1st League - RS Bosnia & Herzegovina RS - 12 2026

FK Majevica Lopare vs Sutjeska Foča

FK Majevica Lopare Home · Elo 1,488
Wed 4 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sutjeska Foča Away · Elo 1,452
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
FK Majevica Lopare win
31.9%
DrawPick
34.4%
Sutjeska Foča win
33.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.3%
No51.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.546.3%
Under 2.553.7%

How much we know

FK Majevica Lopare history1 match
Sutjeska Foča history46 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    4 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (34.4%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FK Majevica Lopare are rated 36 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,488 against 1,452. On rating alone FK Majevica Lopare would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Sutjeska Foča score far more

    0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for FK Majevica Lopare, against 1.26 over 46 for Sutjeska Foča.

  • FK Majevica Lopare concede fewer

    FK Majevica Lopare concede 1.00 a game, Sutjeska Foča 1.54.

  • Sutjeska Foča games more often go over 2.5 goals

    0% of FK Majevica Lopare matches, against 50% for Sutjeska Foča. The model puts this match at 46% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 4 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FK Majevica Lopare
Sutjeska Foča
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.6
ELO
1451.8
1
ELO · Matches
46
1487.6
Current Team ELO
1451.8
1451.8
Current Opponent ELO
1487.6
35.81
Current ELO Difference
-35.81
0.55
Expected score
0.45
1
History Matches
46
-0.53
Residual Mean
-0.05
47.48
Overperformance
46.31
-0.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.36
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
0.60
0.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
0.40
0.00
Goals for per game
0.70
1.00
Goals against per game
2.40
0.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.56
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
46
0.00
PPG
1.30
0.0%
Win rate
39.1%
0.0%
Draw rate
13.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
47.8%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
73.9%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
26.1%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
23
0.00
PPG
0.91
0.0%
Win rate
26.1%
0.0%
Draw rate
13.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
60.9%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
82.6%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
56.5%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
30.4%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.26
1
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.00
Goals for per game
1.26
0.0%
Scoring rate
63.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
39.1%
0.00
Goals for per game
1.09
0.0%
Scoring rate
60.9%
0.0%
BTTS rate
43.5%
1
History Matches
46
0.00
Goals Mean
1.26
—
Goals Std
1.34
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
63.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
15.2%
0.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.09
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
1.54
100.0%
Conceding rate
69.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.17
100.0%
Conceding rate
82.6%
1
History Matches
46
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.54
—
Conceded Std
1.50
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
41.3%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.1%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.17
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.4%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
39.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
46
0.00
Result entropy
0.90
—
Goal Difference Std
2.14
100.0
Stability score
10.29
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
46
0
Lead Matches
12
—
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.86
0
Trailing Matches
10
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.76
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
372.0
Rest days
153.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
7
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.86
0
Normal Rest History Matches
20
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.80
0
Long Rest History Matches
18
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.56
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.27
—
Portability PPG Range
0.54
—
Portability Score
64.78
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
46
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO35.81
PPG-1.30
GF-1.26
GA-0.54
PPG-0.91
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-45
Clean-sheet rate-0.30
Failed-to-score rate63.0%
History Matches-22
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate60.9%
History Matches-45
Goals Mean-1.26
Scored 1+ rate-0.63
Scored 2+ rate-0.37
Scored 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Goals Mean-1.09
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
History Matches-45
Conceded Mean-0.54
Clean-sheet rate-0.30
Conceded 2+ rate-0.41
Conceded 3+ rate-0.26
Venue Conceded Mean-1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.40
History Matches-45
Result entropy-0.90
Stability score89.71
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.58
Eligible Matches-45
Lead Matches-12
Trailing Matches-10
Halftime Coverage Matches-45
First Half Goals For Mean-0.50
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.54
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Rest days218.1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest History Matches-20
Long Rest History Matches-18
Current Team ELO35.81
Current Opponent ELO-35.81
Current ELO Difference71.62
Expected score0.10
History Matches-45
Residual Mean-0.48
Overperformance1.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.17

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FK Majevica Lopare

L
Bosna Visoko5–2FK Majevica Lopare28 Oct · away
Pick: Bosna Visoko 45% · hit
L
Drina Zvornik2–0FK Majevica Lopare24 Oct · away
Pick: Drina Zvornik 66% · hit
D
Slavija1–1FK Majevica Lopare17 Oct · away
Pick: Slavija 65% · missed
D
Omarska0–0FK Majevica Lopare30 Aug · away
Pick: Omarska 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Sutjeska Foča

L
Sutjeska Foča0–3FK Romanija Pale24 Oct · home
Pick: Sutjeska Foča 37% · missed
W
Sutjeska Foča2–1Potkozarje17 Oct · home
Pick: Sutjeska Foča 54% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FK Majevica Lopare and Sutjeska Foča meet in 1st League - RS on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: FK Majevica Lopare win 31.9%, draw 34.4%, Sutjeska Foča win 33.6%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 46.3%. Both teams to score: 48.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.