Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W vs Vasas Femina W
Match result probability Model pick: Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W winPick
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Vasas Femina W win
3.8%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.4%
No47.6%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.589.4%
Under 2.510.6%
How much we know
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W history28 matches
Vasas Femina W history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 08:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 09:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (92.2%). Picks in that band won 83.5% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 164 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.
Why Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W are rated 145 Elo points higher
Elo 1,520 against 1,376. On rating alone Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.
-
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W score far more
2.54 goals a game over 28 matches for Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W, against 1.21 over 33 for Vasas Femina W.
-
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W concede fewer
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W concede 1.54 a game, Vasas Femina W 3.76.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
79% of Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W matches, against 79% for Vasas Femina W. The model puts this match at 89% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Vasas Femina W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1520.4
ELO
1375.8
28
ELO · Matches
33
1520.4
Current Team ELO
1375.8
1375.8
Current Opponent ELO
1520.4
144.6
Current ELO Difference
-144.6
0.70
Expected score
0.30
28
History Matches
33
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.18
52.90
Overperformance
38.49
0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.28
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.00
4.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.60
Goals against per game
6.20
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
0.20
3.60
Goals for per game
1.20
1.30
Goals against per game
4.50
70.0%
Win rate
0.0%
3.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
2.80
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
4.50
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
3.85
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
3.44
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.93
Overall performance9 signals 90
28
Matches
33
1.61
PPG
0.76
50.0%
Win rate
21.2%
10.7%
Draw rate
12.1%
39.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
96.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.9%
78.6%
Over 2.5 rate
78.8%
57.1%
Over 3.5 rate
63.6%
3.07
Goal difference · Standard deviation
4.17
Venue performance10 signals 100
16
Matches
16
1.63
PPG
0.75
50.0%
Win rate
25.0%
12.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
37.5%
Loss rate
75.0%
93.8%
Over 1.5 rate
87.5%
87.5%
Over 2.5 rate
81.3%
68.8%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
3.35
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.88
16
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.54
Goals for per game
1.21
85.7%
Scoring rate
51.5%
57.1%
BTTS rate
48.5%
3.06
Goals for per game
1.13
93.8%
Scoring rate
50.0%
62.5%
BTTS rate
43.8%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
28
History Matches
33
2.54
Goals Mean
1.21
2.23
Goals Std
1.57
85.7%
Scored 1+ rate
51.5%
57.1%
Scored 2+ rate
39.4%
42.9%
Scored 3+ rate
12.1%
3.06
Venue Goals Mean
1.13
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.54
Goals against per game
3.76
71.4%
Conceding rate
90.9%
1.56
Goals against per game
3.88
68.8%
Conceding rate
93.8%
4.00
Goals against per game
14.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
28
History Matches
33
1.54
Conceded Mean
3.76
1.27
Conceded Std
3.40
53.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.7%
17.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
51.5%
1.56
Venue Conceded Mean
3.88
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
48.5%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
6.3%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
48.5%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
6.3%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
28
History Matches
33
0.87
Result entropy
0.78
3.07
Goal Difference Std
4.17
13.26
Stability score
22.17
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
25
Eligible Matches
27
13
Lead Matches
6
92.3%
Lead Win Rate
83.3%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.89
3
Trailing Matches
15
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
25
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
1.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.64
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.63
1.24
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.85
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
77.96
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
9
Normal Rest History Matches
18
2.44
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.94
18
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.36
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-14.00
3
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.06
Portability PPG Std
0.74
0.13
Portability PPG Range
1.48
88.61
Portability Score
40.29
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
28
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO144.6
PPG0.85
GF1.32
GA-2.22
PPG0.00
PPG0.88
PPG2.40
PPG2.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate19.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.34
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.44
History Matches-5
Goals Mean1.32
Goals Std0.66
Scored 1+ rate34.2%
Scored 2+ rate17.7%
Scored 3+ rate30.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.94
Recent 10 Goals Mean2.40
Recent 10 Goals Std1.82
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean-2.22
Conceded Std-2.14
Clean-sheet rate19.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.13
Conceded 3+ rate-0.34
Venue Conceded Mean-2.31
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-3.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-2.67
History Matches-5
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std-1.10
Stability score-8.91
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.49
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate9.0%
Lead Points Retention0.06
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.99
Second Half Goals For Mean0.65
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean12.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.68
Portability PPG Range-1.35
Portability Score48.31
Rest days0.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.50
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.75
Current Team ELO144.6
Current Opponent ELO-144.6
Current ELO Difference289.3
Expected score0.39
History Matches-5
Residual Mean0.23
Overperformance14.40
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.51
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W
L
Farul Constanţa W2–1Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W1 Nov · away
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 71% · hit W
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W1–0SSU Poli Timişoara W25 Oct · home
Pick: Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W 51% · hit L
Csikszereda MC W2–1Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W21 Oct · away
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 56% · hit W
SSU Poli Timişoara W0–1Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W30 Aug · away
Pick: SSU Poli Timişoara W 50% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Vasas Femina W
L
FC Rapid Bucuresti W1–0Vasas Femina W1 Nov · away
Pick: FC Rapid Bucuresti W 69% · hit L
Vasas Femina W0–12Farul Constanţa W25 Oct · home
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 89% · hit L
SSU Poli Timişoara W4–1Vasas Femina W20 Oct · away
Pick: SSU Poli Timişoara W 86% · hit D
Farul Constanţa W0–0Vasas Femina W30 Aug · away
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 93% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W and Vasas Femina W meet in Liga 1 Feminin on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 09:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win 92.2%, draw 3.9%, Vasas Femina W win 3.8%. The pick is Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W win. Over 2.5 goals: 89.4%. Both teams to score: 52.4%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.