ScoreProb
Liga 1 Feminin Romania Round 11 2026

Univ. Craiova W vs Farul Constanţa W

Univ. Craiova W Home · Elo 1,487
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Farul Constanţa W Away · Elo 1,624
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Farul Constanţa W win
Univ. Craiova W win
7.2%
Draw
10.3%
Farul Constanţa W winPick
82.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.2%
No35.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.583.4%
Under 2.516.6%

How much we know

Univ. Craiova W history1 match
Farul Constanţa W history27 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 09:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 80%+ band (82.4%). Picks in that band won 83.3% of the time, and the model said 84.5% on average, over 162 matches. This band has few matches, so treat the figures with care.

Why Farul Constanţa W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Farul Constanţa W are rated 137 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,624 against 1,487. On rating alone Farul Constanţa W would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Farul Constanţa W score more

    2.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Univ. Craiova W, against 2.78 over 27 for Farul Constanţa W.

  • Farul Constanţa W concede fewer

    Univ. Craiova W concede 6.00 a game, Farul Constanţa W 1.04.

  • Univ. Craiova W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    100% of Univ. Craiova W matches, against 63% for Farul Constanţa W. The model puts this match at 83% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Univ. Craiova W
Farul Constanţa W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.4
ELO
1624.2
1
ELO · Matches
27
1487.4
Current Team ELO
1624.2
1624.2
Current Opponent ELO
1487.4
-136.8
Current ELO Difference
136.8
0.31
Expected score
0.69
1
History Matches
27
-0.54
Residual Mean
0.22
47.44
Overperformance
62.56
-0.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.20
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
2.00
2.00
Goals for per game
3.00
6.00
Goals against per game
1.60
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
2.30
2.00
Goals for per game
2.90
6.00
Goals against per game
1.30
0.0%
Win rate
70.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.12
6.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.49
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.84
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
27
0.00
PPG
2.22
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
22.2%
100.0%
Loss rate
11.1%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
92.6%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
63.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.80
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
15
0.00
PPG
2.07
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
26.7%
100.0%
Loss rate
13.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
93.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
46.7%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
1
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.00
Goals for per game
2.78
100.0%
Scoring rate
88.9%
100.0%
BTTS rate
59.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
2.40
100.0%
Scoring rate
93.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
2.00
Goals for per game
7.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
27
2.00
Goals Mean
2.78
—
Goals Std
2.27
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
88.9%
100.0%
Scored 2+ rate
63.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
40.7%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
2.40
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
6.00
Goals against per game
1.04
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
6.00
Goals against per game
1.27
100.0%
Conceding rate
73.3%
6.00
Goals against per game
1.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
27
6.00
Conceded Mean
1.04
—
Conceded Std
1.14
100.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
18.5%
100.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.1%
6.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.27
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
11.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
6.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
11.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
6.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
27
0.00
Result entropy
0.77
—
Goal Difference Std
2.80
100.0
Stability score
22.75
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
24
0
Lead Matches
10
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
1
Trailing Matches
7
0.0%
Non-loss rate
71.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
42.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.88
3.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.42
2.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.92
3.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Normal Rest History Matches
9
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.22
0
Long Rest History Matches
15
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.40
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
1
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
0.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-4.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
6.00
1
Competition Season Count
6
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
27
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-136.8
PPG-2.22
GF-0.78
GA4.96
PPG-3.00
PPG-2.07
PPG-2.00
PPG-2.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-26
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.27
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-26
Goals Mean-0.78
Scored 1+ rate11.1%
Scored 2+ rate37.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.41
Venue Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
History Matches-26
Conceded Mean4.96
Clean-sheet rate-0.33
Conceded 2+ rate81.5%
Conceded 3+ rate88.9%
Venue Conceded Mean4.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean4.70
History Matches-26
Result entropy-0.77
Stability score77.25
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.73
Eligible Matches-23
Lead Matches-10
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate-0.71
Trailing Win Rate-0.43
Halftime Coverage Matches-23
First Half Goals For Mean-0.88
First Half Goals Against Mean2.58
Second Half Goals For Mean0.08
Second Half Goals Against Mean2.33
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-10.00
Competition Season Count-5
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-0.92
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Long Rest History Matches-15
Current Team ELO-136.8
Current Opponent ELO136.8
Current ELO Difference-273.6
Expected score-0.37
History Matches-26
Residual Mean-0.76
Overperformance-15.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.73

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Univ. Craiova W

L
SSU Poli Timişoara W5–0Univ. Craiova W1 Nov · away
Pick: SSU Poli Timişoara W 82% · hit
L
Univ. Craiova W0–2Csikszereda MC W25 Oct · home
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 68% · hit
L
Olimpia Cluj W3–0Univ. Craiova W21 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpia Cluj W 81% · hit
L
Univ. Craiova W0–4FC Rapid Bucuresti W4 Oct · home
Pick: Univ. Craiova W 65% · missed
L
Csikszereda MC W11–1Univ. Craiova W30 Aug · away
Pick: Csikszereda MC W 84% · hit

Farul Constanţa W

W
Farul Constanţa W2–1Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud W1 Nov · home
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 71% · hit
W
Vasas Femina W0–12Farul Constanţa W25 Oct · away
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 89% · hit
W
FC Rapid Bucuresti W1–3Farul Constanţa W21 Oct · away
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 78% · hit
D
Farul Constanţa W0–0Vasas Femina W30 Aug · home
Pick: Farul Constanţa W 93% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Univ. Craiova W and Farul Constanţa W meet in Liga 1 Feminin on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 09:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Univ. Craiova W win 7.2%, draw 10.3%, Farul Constanţa W win 82.4%. The pick is Farul Constanţa W win. Over 2.5 goals: 83.4%. Both teams to score: 64.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.