ScoreProb
Division 1 United Arab Emirates Round 9 2026

Gulf United vs Dibba Al Hisn

Gulf United Home · Elo 1,410
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dibba Al Hisn Away · Elo 1,552
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Dibba Al Hisn win
Gulf United win
30.8%
Draw
19.8%
Dibba Al Hisn winPick
49.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.6%
No45.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.3%
Under 2.537.7%

How much we know

Gulf United history43 matches
Dibba Al Hisn history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:50 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Dibba Al Hisn are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Dibba Al Hisn are rated 142 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,552 against 1,410. On rating alone Dibba Al Hisn would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.

  • Dibba Al Hisn score more

    1.44 goals a game over 43 matches for Gulf United, against 1.82 over 45 for Dibba Al Hisn.

  • Dibba Al Hisn concede fewer

    Gulf United concede 1.84 a game, Dibba Al Hisn 1.16.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    58% of Gulf United matches, against 58% for Dibba Al Hisn. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Gulf United
Dibba Al Hisn@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1410.3
ELO
1551.9
43
ELO · Matches
45
1410.3
Current Team ELO
1551.9
1551.9
Current Opponent ELO
1410.3
-141.6
Current ELO Difference
141.6
0.31
Expected score
0.69
43
History Matches
45
-0.10
Residual Mean
0.07
43.09
Overperformance
54.74
-0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
2.60
1.20
Goals for per game
2.40
1.60
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.50
PPG
2.30
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.70
Goals against per game
0.40
10.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.34
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.41
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.40
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
45
1.02
PPG
1.60
25.6%
Win rate
48.9%
25.6%
Draw rate
13.3%
48.8%
Loss rate
37.8%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
58.1%
Over 2.5 rate
57.8%
41.9%
Over 3.5 rate
37.8%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
20
1.41
PPG
1.40
36.4%
Win rate
40.0%
31.8%
Draw rate
20.0%
31.8%
Loss rate
40.0%
81.8%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
45.5%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
22
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.44
Goals for per game
1.82
79.1%
Scoring rate
77.8%
62.8%
BTTS rate
40.0%
1.77
Goals for per game
1.75
81.8%
Scoring rate
75.0%
63.6%
BTTS rate
45.0%
—
Goals for per game
4.00
—
Scoring rate
100.0%
—
BTTS rate
0.0%
43
History Matches
45
1.44
Goals Mean
1.82
1.24
Goals Std
1.30
79.1%
Scored 1+ rate
77.8%
34.9%
Scored 2+ rate
62.2%
18.6%
Scored 3+ rate
28.9%
1.77
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.84
Goals against per game
1.16
81.4%
Conceding rate
60.0%
1.45
Goals against per game
1.20
77.3%
Conceding rate
65.0%
—
Goals against per game
0.00
—
Conceding rate
0.0%
43
History Matches
45
1.84
Conceded Mean
1.16
1.33
Conceded Std
1.11
53.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.0%
34.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.6%
1.45
Venue Conceded Mean
1.20
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
20.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
18.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
20.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
22.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.6%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
45
0.95
Result entropy
0.90
1.81
Goal Difference Std
1.89
4.65
Stability score
10.23
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
43
Eligible Matches
45
12
Lead Matches
16
41.7%
Lead Win Rate
81.3%
0.56
Lead Points Retention
0.81
12
Trailing Matches
10
8.3%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
43
Halftime Coverage Matches
45
0.65
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.13
1.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
161.9
Rest days
75.90
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
18
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.56
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.84
24
Long Rest History Matches
25
1.42
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.48
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
1
—
PPG
3.00
—
Win rate
100.0%
—
Draw rate
0.0%
—
Loss rate
0.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0
Current Competition Matches
1
—
Current Competition PPG
3.00
—
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
4.00
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.69
0.46
Portability PPG Range
1.46
68.29
Portability Score
42.05
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-141.6
PPG-0.58
GF-0.38
GA0.68
PPG0.01
PPG-2.00
PPG-1.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.38
Goals Std-0.06
Scored 1+ rate1.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.27
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.07
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.68
Conceded Std0.21
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate13.5%
Conceded 3+ rate19.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.25
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.44
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.08
Stability score-5.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.44
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.40
Lead Points Retention-0.26
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.32
Trailing Win Rate-0.10
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.50
Current Competition Matches-1
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.46
Portability PPG Range-1.00
Portability Score26.24
Rest days86.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.29
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.06
Current Team ELO-141.6
Current Opponent ELO141.6
Current ELO Difference-283.2
Expected score-0.39
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.17
Overperformance-11.66
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.47

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Gulf United

D
Al Hamriyah1–1Gulf United31 Oct · away
Pick: Al Hamriyah 55% · missed
L
Gulf United1–7Emirates Club16 Oct · home
Pick: Gulf United 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Dibba Al Hisn

W
Dibba Al Hisn4–1Dubai City30 Oct · home
Pick: Dibba Al Hisn 82% · hit
D
Al Urooba1–1Dibba Al Hisn16 Oct · away
Pick: Dibba Al Hisn 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Gulf United and Dibba Al Hisn meet in Division 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:50 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Gulf United win 30.8%, draw 19.8%, Dibba Al Hisn win 49.4%. The pick is Dibba Al Hisn win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.3%. Both teams to score: 54.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.