Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt vs Ironi Nesher
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ironi Nesher
Match result probability Model pick: Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt winPick
36.7%
Draw
30.7%
Ironi Nesher win
32.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes52.8%
No47.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.553.0%
Under 2.547.0%
How much we know
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt history0 matches
Ironi Nesher history26 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 2 d 4 h ahead4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 10:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre6 Nov · 11:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,500 against 1,478. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
Ironi Nesher
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1478.0
0
ELO · Matches
26
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1478.0
1478.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
21.98
Current ELO Difference
-21.98
0.53
Expected score
0.47
0
History Matches
26
—
Residual Mean
-0.04
—
Overperformance
47.66
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.07
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
1.20
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.10
—
Goals for per game
1.20
—
Goals against per game
1.90
—
Win rate
30.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.95
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
26
—
PPG
1.19
—
Win rate
30.8%
—
Draw rate
26.9%
—
Loss rate
42.3%
—
Over 1.5 rate
80.8%
—
Over 2.5 rate
57.7%
—
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.65
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
13
—
PPG
1.15
—
Win rate
30.8%
—
Draw rate
23.1%
—
Loss rate
46.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
—
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.87
0
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.15
—
Scoring rate
73.1%
—
BTTS rate
57.7%
—
Goals for per game
0.85
—
Scoring rate
61.5%
—
BTTS rate
38.5%
0
History Matches
26
—
Goals Mean
1.15
—
Goals Std
0.91
—
Scored 1+ rate
73.1%
—
Scored 2+ rate
34.6%
—
Scored 3+ rate
7.7%
—
Venue Goals Mean
0.85
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.62
—
Conceding rate
76.9%
—
Goals against per game
1.69
—
Conceding rate
69.2%
0
History Matches
26
—
Conceded Mean
1.62
—
Conceded Std
1.24
—
Conceded 2+ rate
46.2%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
34.6%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.69
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
—
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
—
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
—
Clean-sheet rate
23.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
26
—
Result entropy
0.98
—
Goal Difference Std
1.65
—
Stability score
1.71
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
26
0
Lead Matches
5
—
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.60
0
Trailing Matches
9
—
Non-loss rate
22.2%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.38
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.77
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
—
Rest days
252.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
0
Normal Rest History Matches
11
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
13
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.46
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.37
—
Portability PPG Range
0.73
—
Portability Score
57.69
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
26
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO21.98
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-26
History Matches-13
History Matches-26
History Matches-26
History Matches-26
Eligible Matches-26
Lead Matches-5
Trailing Matches-9
Halftime Coverage Matches-26
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Long Rest History Matches-13
Current Team ELO21.98
Current Opponent ELO-21.98
Current ELO Difference43.96
Expected score0.06
History Matches-26
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
D
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt1–1Hapoel Migdal HaEmek19 Oct · home
Pick: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 41% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Ironi Nesher
L
Ironi Nesher0–2Kiryat Haim12 Oct · home
Pick: Ironi Nesher 53% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt and Ironi Nesher meet in Liga Alef on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 11:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 4 Nov, 06:57 UTC: Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win 36.7%, draw 30.7%, Ironi Nesher win 32.6%. The pick is Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.0%. Both teams to score: 52.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.