UEFA Youth League World Semi-finals 2026

Hradec Králové U19 vs Partizani U19

Hradec Králové U19 Home · Elo 1,583
Half time
0–0
Half time 0–0
Wed 4 Nov · 16:30 UTC
Partizani U19 Away · Elo 1,500
FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove Referee: A. Johnson Pick published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff
Pre-match probability, unchanged Model pick: Hradec Králové U19 win
Hradec Králové U19 winPick
70.2%
Draw
13.9%
Partizani U19 win
15.9%

Timeline

Newest at the bottom

24'
SubstitutionR. Balla off · E. Shkembi on
36'
Yellow cardJ. Caushi
41'
Yellow cardE. Hyka

Our pre-match picks, right now

Updates with every goal. There is no in-play model: this is the pre-match pick against the live score.

Match resultPick: Hradec Králové U19 win · 70.2%
Level: 0–0
Both teams to scorePick: Yes · 59.8%
Needs both teams to score
Over 2.5 goalsPick: Over · 67.9%
Needs 3 more goals
The pre-match numbers never change after kickoff. That is what makes the record verifiable.

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%

How much we know

Hradec Králové U19 history34 matches
Partizani U19 history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Life of this match

Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. Kickoff
    4 Nov · 16:30 UTC
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

Share this match

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How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (70.2%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Hradec Králové U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals
  • Hradec Králové U19 are rated 83 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,583 against 1,500. On rating alone Hradec Králové U19 would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hradec Králové U19
Partizani U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1583.3
ELO
1500.0
34
ELO · Matches
0
1583.3
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1583.3
83.34
Current ELO Difference
-83.34
0.62
Expected score
0.38
34
History Matches
0
0.12
Residual Mean
—
57.59
Overperformance
—
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
—
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
0
1.40
PPG
—
2.60
Goals for per game
—
1.80
Goals against per game
—
40.0%
Win rate
—
10
Matches
0
2.00
PPG
—
2.60
Goals for per game
—
1.30
Goals against per game
—
60.0%
Win rate
—
2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
—
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
—
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
—
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals
90
34
Matches
0
1.97
PPG
—
58.8%
Win rate
—
20.6%
Draw rate
—
20.6%
Loss rate
—
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
—
82.4%
Over 2.5 rate
—
58.8%
Over 3.5 rate
—
1.89
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
0
2.06
PPG
—
58.8%
Win rate
—
29.4%
Draw rate
—
11.8%
Loss rate
—
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
—
82.4%
Over 2.5 rate
—
58.8%
Over 3.5 rate
—
2.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
17
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.41
Goals for per game
—
94.1%
Scoring rate
—
76.5%
BTTS rate
—
2.59
Goals for per game
—
94.1%
Scoring rate
—
70.6%
BTTS rate
—
34
History Matches
0
2.41
Goals Mean
—
1.24
Goals Std
—
94.1%
Scored 1+ rate
—
82.4%
Scored 2+ rate
—
41.2%
Scored 3+ rate
—
2.59
Venue Goals Mean
—
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.44
Goals against per game
—
82.4%
Conceding rate
—
1.24
Goals against per game
—
76.5%
Conceding rate
—
34
History Matches
0
1.44
Conceded Mean
—
1.19
Conceded Std
—
35.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
—
14.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
—
1.24
Venue Conceded Mean
—
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
—
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
—
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
—
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
—
5.9%
Failed-to-score rate
—
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
—
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
34
History Matches
0
0.88
Result entropy
—
1.89
Goal Difference Std
—
12.35
Stability score
—
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
32
Eligible Matches
0
14
Lead Matches
0
78.6%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.86
Lead Points Retention
—
6
Trailing Matches
0
50.0%
Non-loss rate
—
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
32
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
1.28
First Half Goals For Mean
—
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
—
1.19
Second Half Goals For Mean
—
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
—
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.35
Rest days
—
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
19
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.74
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
13
Long Rest History Matches
0
2.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
0
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
34
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO83.34
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches34
History Matches17
History Matches34
History Matches34
History Matches34
Eligible Matches32
Lead Matches14
Trailing Matches6
Halftime Coverage Matches32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches19
Long Rest History Matches13
Current Team ELO83.34
Current Opponent ELO-83.34
Current ELO Difference166.7
Expected score0.24
History Matches34

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hradec Králové U19

W
Mladá Boleslav U191–3Hradec Králové U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Mladá Boleslav U19 50% · missed
W
Partizani U190–6Hradec Králové U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Partizani U19 38% · missed
W
Hradec Králové U193–0Slovácko U1924 Oct · home
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 76% · hit
W
Teplice U191–4Hradec Králové U1917 Oct · away
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 44% · hit
W
Hradec Králové U192–0Pardubice U1929 Aug · home
Pick: Hradec Králové U19 66% · hit

Partizani U19

L
Partizani U190–6Hradec Králové U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Partizani U19 38% · missed
W
Partizani U194–0Valletta U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Partizani U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hradec Králové U19 and Partizani U19 meet in UEFA Youth League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. The match is played at FINEP Arena, Hradec Kralove. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Hradec Králové U19 win 70.2%, draw 13.9%, Partizani U19 win 15.9%. The pick is Hradec Králové U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 67.9%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.