UEFA Youth League World Semi-finals 2026

Super Nova U19 vs Hammarby U19

Super Nova U19 Home · Elo 1,500
Half time
0–0
Half time 0–0
Wed 4 Nov · 16:00 UTC
Hammarby U19 Away · Elo 1,500
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga Referee: M. Rusz Pick published 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff
Pre-match probability, unchanged Model pick: Super Nova U19 win
Super Nova U19 winPick
50.0%
Draw
26.0%
Hammarby U19 win
24.1%

Timeline

Newest at the bottom

Nothing has happened yet. Goals, cards and substitutions appear here as they happen.

Our pre-match picks, right now

Updates with every goal. There is no in-play model: this is the pre-match pick against the live score.

Match resultPick: Super Nova U19 win · 50.0%
Level: 0–0
Both teams to scorePick: Yes · 53.4%
Needs both teams to score
Over 2.5 goalsPick: Over · 50.9%
Needs 3 more goals
The pre-match numbers never change after kickoff. That is what makes the record verifiable.

Both teams to score

Yes53.4%
No46.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%

How much we know

Super Nova U19 history0 matches
Hammarby U19 history0 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Life of this match

Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
  2. Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
  3. Kickoff
    4 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

Share this match

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The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
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How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (50.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Super Nova U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals
  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,500 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Super Nova U19
Hammarby U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Residual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
1500.0
ELO
1500.0
0
ELO · Matches
0
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
0.00
Current ELO Difference
0.00
0.50
Expected score
0.50
0
History Matches
0
Recent form16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGoals for per gameGoals against per gameWin ratePPGGoals for per gameGoals against per gameWin rateRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference Std
0
Matches
0
0
Matches
0
Overall performance9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
0
Venue performance10 signals
100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
0
0
History Matches
0
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals Mean
0
History Matches
0
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rateGoals against per gameConceding rateGoals against per gameConceding rateConceded MeanConceded StdConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded Mean
0
History Matches
0
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rate
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Result entropyGoal Difference StdStability score
0
History Matches
0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
0
Eligible Matches
0
0
Lead Matches
0
0
Trailing Matches
0
Goal timing5 signals
50
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
First Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against Mean
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
0
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Rest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
0
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
0
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
0
Clean History Matches
0
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
History Matches0
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Halftime Coverage Matches0
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches0
Current Team ELO0.00
Current Opponent ELO0.00
Current ELO Difference0.00
Expected score0.00
History Matches0

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Super Nova U19

L
Hammarby U191–0Super Nova U1928 Oct · away
Pick: Hammarby U19 50% · hit
W
Super Nova U191–0Cliftonville U1914 Oct · home
Pick: Super Nova U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hammarby U19

W
Hammarby U191–0Super Nova U1928 Oct · home
Pick: Hammarby U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Super Nova U19 and Hammarby U19 meet in UEFA Youth League on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Jana Skredela stadions, Riga. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC: Super Nova U19 win 50.0%, draw 26.0%, Hammarby U19 win 24.1%. The pick is Super Nova U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.9%. Both teams to score: 53.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.