ScoreProb
2. Lig Türkiye 2. Lig White Group - 10 2026

Isparta 32 Spor vs Erbaaspor

Isparta 32 Spor Home · Elo 1,549
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Erbaaspor Away · Elo 1,449
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Isparta 32 Spor win
Isparta 32 Spor winPick
40.2%
Draw
21.6%
Erbaaspor win
38.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.7%
No42.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.563.3%
Under 2.536.7%

How much we know

Isparta 32 Spor history49 matches
Erbaaspor history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Isparta 32 Spor are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Isparta 32 Spor are rated 100 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,549 against 1,449. On rating alone Isparta 32 Spor would be expected to take 64% of the points on offer.

  • Isparta 32 Spor score more

    1.69 goals a game over 49 matches for Isparta 32 Spor, against 1.44 over 55 for Erbaaspor.

  • Isparta 32 Spor concede fewer

    Isparta 32 Spor concede 1.49 a game, Erbaaspor 1.80.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Isparta 32 Spor matches, against 58% for Erbaaspor. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Isparta 32 Spor
Erbaaspor
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1549.0
ELO
1448.9
49
ELO · Matches
55
1549.0
Current Team ELO
1448.9
1448.9
Current Opponent ELO
1549.0
100.1
Current ELO Difference
-100.1
0.64
Expected score
0.36
49
History Matches
55
0.05
Residual Mean
-0.04
53.20
Overperformance
46.99
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
0.20
2.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
2.40
80.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.20
1.90
Goals for per game
1.10
1.20
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.37
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.12
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
55
1.41
PPG
1.25
38.8%
Win rate
36.4%
24.5%
Draw rate
16.4%
36.7%
Loss rate
47.3%
83.7%
Over 1.5 rate
81.8%
59.2%
Over 2.5 rate
58.2%
40.8%
Over 3.5 rate
38.2%
2.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
26
1.70
PPG
1.00
47.8%
Win rate
26.9%
26.1%
Draw rate
19.2%
26.1%
Loss rate
53.8%
73.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.6%
52.2%
Over 2.5 rate
69.2%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
38.5%
2.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
23
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.69
Goals for per game
1.44
79.6%
Scoring rate
69.1%
57.1%
BTTS rate
54.5%
1.83
Goals for per game
1.42
82.6%
Scoring rate
73.1%
47.8%
BTTS rate
69.2%
49
History Matches
55
1.69
Goals Mean
1.44
1.67
Goals Std
1.46
79.6%
Scored 1+ rate
69.1%
36.7%
Scored 2+ rate
41.8%
22.4%
Scored 3+ rate
14.5%
1.83
Venue Goals Mean
1.42
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.49
Goals against per game
1.80
73.5%
Conceding rate
80.0%
0.96
Goals against per game
1.92
56.5%
Conceding rate
92.3%
49
History Matches
55
1.49
Conceded Mean
1.80
1.40
Conceded Std
1.43
38.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
49.1%
22.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
34.5%
0.96
Venue Conceded Mean
1.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.9%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
26.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.9%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
7.7%
17.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.9%
26.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
55
0.98
Result entropy
0.93
2.50
Goal Difference Std
2.09
1.71
Stability score
7.32
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
55
12
Lead Matches
15
91.7%
Lead Win Rate
86.7%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.91
15
Trailing Matches
18
6.7%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
5.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.73
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
0.90
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
196.9
Rest days
196.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
31
Normal Rest History Matches
45
1.29
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.31
15
Long Rest History Matches
9
1.73
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.78
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.61
Portability PPG Std
0.30
1.40
Portability PPG Range
0.72
45.11
Portability Score
62.81
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO100.1
PPG0.15
GF0.26
GA-0.31
PPG0.70
PPG2.20
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate6.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate35.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-6
Goals Mean0.26
Goals Std0.21
Scored 1+ rate10.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate7.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.54
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate6.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.10
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-0.97
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.52
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std0.41
Stability score-5.60
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.12
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate5.0%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean0.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.31
Portability PPG Range0.68
Portability Score-17.70
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.02
Long Rest History Matches6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.96
Current Team ELO100.1
Current Opponent ELO-100.1
Current ELO Difference200.2
Expected score0.28
History Matches-6
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance6.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Isparta 32 Spor

L
Şanlıurfaspor4–0Isparta 32 Spor1 Nov · away
Pick: Şanlıurfaspor 53% · hit
W
Düzcespor0–2Isparta 32 Spor28 Oct · away
Pick: Isparta 32 Spor 39% · hit
L
Isparta 32 Spor3–4Elazığspor24 Oct · home
Pick: Elazığspor 45% · hit
D
Kastamonuspor2–2Isparta 32 Spor18 Oct · away
Pick: Kastamonuspor 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Erbaaspor

W
Erbaaspor2–0Arnavutköy Belediyespor1 Nov · home
Pick: Erbaaspor 48% · hit
W
Hatayspor0–3Erbaaspor24 Oct · away
Pick: Erbaaspor 48% · hit
L
Erbaaspor0–1Çorluspor 194718 Oct · home
Pick: Çorluspor 1947 44% · hit
L
Pazarspor3–1Erbaaspor7 Oct · away
Pick: Pazarspor 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Isparta 32 Spor and Erbaaspor meet in 2. Lig on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Isparta 32 Spor win 40.2%, draw 21.6%, Erbaaspor win 38.3%. The pick is Isparta 32 Spor win. Over 2.5 goals: 63.3%. Both teams to score: 57.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.