ScoreProb
Elite Two Cameroon Round 3 2027

Jeunes Fauves vs FAP

Jeunes Fauves Home · Elo 1,381
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
FAP Away · Elo 1,461
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FAP win
Jeunes Fauves win
34.0%
Draw
26.1%
FAP winPick
39.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.7%
No53.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%

How much we know

Jeunes Fauves history43 matches
FAP history32 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why FAP are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • FAP are rated 80 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,461 against 1,381. On rating alone FAP would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • FAP score far more

    0.67 goals a game over 43 matches for Jeunes Fauves, against 1.09 over 32 for FAP.

  • FAP concede fewer

    Jeunes Fauves concede 1.77 a game, FAP 1.22.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    40% of Jeunes Fauves matches, against 34% for FAP. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 29 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jeunes Fauves
FAP@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1381.1
ELO
1460.7
43
ELO · Matches
32
1381.1
Current Team ELO
1460.7
1460.7
Current Opponent ELO
1381.1
-79.63
Current ELO Difference
79.63
0.39
Expected score
0.61
43
History Matches
32
-0.13
Residual Mean
-0.06
40.96
Overperformance
46.58
-0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.20
1.40
Goals for per game
1.00
4.00
Goals against per game
0.60
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
1.20
1.10
Goals for per game
1.30
3.40
Goals against per game
1.40
10.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.19
3.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.91
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.43
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.37
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.45
Overall performance9 signals
90
43
Matches
32
0.72
PPG
1.16
20.9%
Win rate
28.1%
9.3%
Draw rate
31.3%
69.8%
Loss rate
40.6%
51.2%
Over 1.5 rate
59.4%
39.5%
Over 2.5 rate
34.4%
27.9%
Over 3.5 rate
18.8%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
15
1.00
PPG
0.80
27.3%
Win rate
20.0%
18.2%
Draw rate
20.0%
54.5%
Loss rate
60.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
36.4%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
22.7%
Over 3.5 rate
26.7%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.40
22
History Matches
15
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.67
Goals for per game
1.09
48.8%
Scoring rate
62.5%
27.9%
BTTS rate
46.9%
0.86
Goals for per game
1.27
59.1%
Scoring rate
60.0%
31.8%
BTTS rate
53.3%
43
History Matches
32
0.67
Goals Mean
1.09
0.86
Goals Std
1.13
48.8%
Scored 1+ rate
62.5%
14.0%
Scored 2+ rate
31.3%
2.3%
Scored 3+ rate
9.4%
0.86
Venue Goals Mean
1.27
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.77
Goals against per game
1.22
74.4%
Conceding rate
71.9%
1.27
Goals against per game
1.67
63.6%
Conceding rate
93.3%
43
History Matches
32
1.77
Conceded Mean
1.22
1.72
Conceded Std
1.14
46.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
31.3%
25.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.4%
1.27
Venue Conceded Mean
1.67
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
51.2%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
40.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
51.2%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
6.7%
40.9%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
25.6%
Clean-sheet rate
28.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
43
History Matches
32
0.73
Result entropy
0.99
1.99
Goal Difference Std
1.22
27.23
Stability score
1.13
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
31
5
Lead Matches
5
60.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.67
19
Trailing Matches
12
0.0%
Non-loss rate
8.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
31
0.24
First Half Goals For Mean
0.39
0.76
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.61
1.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
132.0
Rest days
139.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
6
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
22
Normal Rest History Matches
11
0.95
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.27
17
Long Rest History Matches
14
0.41
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.93
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.08
Portability PPG Std
0.18
0.17
Portability PPG Range
0.36
85.49
Portability Score
73.68
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
43
Clean History Matches
32
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-79.63
PPG-0.44
GF-0.42
GA0.55
PPG0.20
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Failed-to-score rate13.7%
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate29.7%
Failed-to-score rate0.9%
History Matches11
Goals Mean-0.42
Goals Std-0.27
Scored 1+ rate-0.14
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.36
History Matches11
Conceded Mean0.55
Conceded Std0.58
Clean-sheet rate-0.03
Conceded 2+ rate15.3%
Conceded 3+ rate16.2%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.39
Recent 10 Conceded Mean2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.48
History Matches11
Result entropy-0.26
Goal Difference Std0.77
Stability score26.10
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.41
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.92
Eligible Matches11
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate-0.08
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.09
Portability PPG Range-0.19
Portability Score11.81
Rest days-7.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Normal Rest History Matches11
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.32
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Current Team ELO-79.63
Current Opponent ELO79.63
Current ELO Difference-159.3
Expected score-0.23
History Matches11
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-5.62
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jeunes Fauves

L
Jeunes Fauves0–2Bamboutos24 Oct · home
Pick: Bamboutos 36% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

FAP

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Jeunes Fauves and FAP meet in Elite Two on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Jeunes Fauves win 34.0%, draw 26.1%, FAP win 39.9%. The pick is FAP win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.8%. Both teams to score: 46.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.