ScoreProb
3. liga - CFL A Czechia Group A - 14 2026

Jiskra Domažlice vs Písek

Jiskra Domažlice Home · Elo 1,656
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Písek Away · Elo 1,564
Mestsky stadion Strelnice, Domazlice Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Jiskra Domažlice win
Jiskra Domažlice winPick
50.9%
Draw
23.8%
Písek win
25.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.4%
No39.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.8%
Under 2.531.2%

How much we know

Jiskra Domažlice history60 matches
Písek history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Jiskra Domažlice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Jiskra Domažlice are rated 92 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,656 against 1,564. On rating alone Jiskra Domažlice would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.

  • Jiskra Domažlice score more

    2.33 goals a game over 60 matches for Jiskra Domažlice, against 1.54 over 63 for Písek.

  • Defences are close

    Jiskra Domažlice concede 1.33 a game, Písek 1.40.

  • Jiskra Domažlice games more often go over 2.5 goals

    68% of Jiskra Domažlice matches, against 57% for Písek. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jiskra Domažlice
Písek
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1655.8
ELO
1564.0
60
ELO · Matches
63
1655.8
Current Team ELO
1564.0
1564.0
Current Opponent ELO
1655.8
91.80
Current ELO Difference
-91.80
0.63
Expected score
0.37
60
History Matches
63
0.13
Residual Mean
0.04
59.64
Overperformance
52.84
0.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.60
3.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.60
PPG
1.60
3.40
Goals for per game
2.10
1.50
Goals against per game
1.60
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
3.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.30
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
63
2.03
PPG
1.57
63.3%
Win rate
42.9%
13.3%
Draw rate
28.6%
23.3%
Loss rate
28.6%
81.7%
Over 1.5 rate
79.4%
68.3%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
48.3%
Over 3.5 rate
41.3%
1.86
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
36
2.30
PPG
1.44
73.3%
Win rate
38.9%
10.0%
Draw rate
27.8%
16.7%
Loss rate
33.3%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
58.3%
63.3%
Over 3.5 rate
44.4%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.31
30
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.33
Goals for per game
1.54
90.0%
Scoring rate
73.0%
65.0%
BTTS rate
52.4%
2.63
Goals for per game
1.47
93.3%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
52.8%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
60
History Matches
63
2.33
Goals Mean
1.54
1.65
Goals Std
1.21
90.0%
Scored 1+ rate
73.0%
58.3%
Scored 2+ rate
54.0%
40.0%
Scored 3+ rate
20.6%
2.63
Venue Goals Mean
1.47
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.33
Goals against per game
1.40
71.7%
Conceding rate
73.0%
1.50
Goals against per game
1.58
73.3%
Conceding rate
77.8%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.67
50.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
60
History Matches
63
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.40
1.12
Conceded Std
1.40
41.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.5%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.3%
1.50
Venue Conceded Mean
1.58
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
28.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
6.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
28.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
10.0%
Failed-to-score rate
27.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
22.2%
6.7%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
28.3%
Clean-sheet rate
27.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
63
0.82
Result entropy
0.98
1.86
Goal Difference Std
2.06
18.31
Stability score
1.79
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
63
28
Lead Matches
22
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
77.3%
0.87
Lead Points Retention
0.83
9
Trailing Matches
14
44.4%
Non-loss rate
21.4%
33.3%
Trailing Win Rate
14.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
63
1.07
First Half Goals For Mean
0.81
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
1.27
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.87
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.00
Rest days
76.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
4
2.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
36
Normal Rest History Matches
37
2.03
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.78
19
Long Rest History Matches
21
2.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.38
Competition & season17 signals
170
2
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
1.33
50.0%
Win rate
33.3%
50.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
2
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.33
8
Competition Season Count
7
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.13
Portability PPG Std
0.33
0.33
Portability PPG Range
0.92
79.91
Portability Score
60.00
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO91.80
PPG0.46
GF0.79
GA-0.06
PPG0.67
PPG0.86
PPG0.60
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate1.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches-3
Goals Mean0.79
Goals Std0.44
Scored 1+ rate17.0%
Scored 2+ rate4.4%
Scored 3+ rate19.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.85
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean-0.06
Conceded Std-0.28
Clean-sheet rate1.3%
Conceded 2+ rate5.2%
Conceded 3+ rate2.4%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.00
History Matches-3
Result entropy-0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.20
Stability score16.52
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.39
Eligible Matches-3
Lead Matches6
Lead Win Rate8.4%
Lead Points Retention0.04
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate23.0%
Trailing Win Rate19.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-3
First Half Goals For Mean0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.20
Second Half Goals For Mean0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.17
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.21
Portability PPG Range-0.58
Portability Score19.91
Rest days7.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.50
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.24
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.72
Current Team ELO91.80
Current Opponent ELO-91.80
Current ELO Difference183.6
Expected score0.26
History Matches-3
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance6.80
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jiskra Domažlice

W
Dukla Praha II2–3Jiskra Domažlice31 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 62% · hit
L
Jiskra Domažlice1–4Viktoria Plzeň II24 Oct · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 49% · missed
L
Bohemians 1905 II7–2Jiskra Domažlice18 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 58% · missed
D
Admira Praha4–4Jiskra Domažlice4 Oct · away
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 54% · missed
L
Jiskra Domažlice0–2Loko Vltavín29 Aug · home
Pick: Jiskra Domažlice 59% · missed

Písek

W
Písek4–2Aritma Praha30 Oct · home
Pick: Písek 46% · hit
W
Sparta Praha II0–1Písek25 Oct · away
Pick: Písek 48% · hit
L
Dukla Praha II4–0Písek18 Oct · away
Pick: Písek 55% · missed
D
Bohemians 1905 II3–3Písek4 Oct · away
Pick: Písek 53% · missed
L
Písek0–2Motorlet Praha30 Aug · home
Pick: Písek 41% · missed

About this match

Jiskra Domažlice and Písek meet in 3. liga - CFL A on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Mestsky stadion Strelnice, Domazlice. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Jiskra Domažlice win 50.9%, draw 23.8%, Písek win 25.3%. The pick is Jiskra Domažlice win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.8%. Both teams to score: 60.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.