ScoreProb
Football League - Lowland League Scotland Regular Season 2026

Johnstone Burgh vs Clydebank

Johnstone Burgh Home · Elo 1,479
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Clydebank Away · Elo 1,624
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Clydebank win
Johnstone Burgh win
26.9%
Draw
23.3%
Clydebank winPick
49.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes64.7%
No35.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.9%
Under 2.525.1%

How much we know

Johnstone Burgh history8 matches
Clydebank history48 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.8%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Clydebank are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Clydebank are rated 146 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,624 against 1,479. On rating alone Clydebank would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Clydebank score far more

    1.63 goals a game over 8 matches for Johnstone Burgh, against 2.75 over 48 for Clydebank.

  • Clydebank concede fewer

    Johnstone Burgh concede 1.75 a game, Clydebank 1.19.

  • Clydebank games more often go over 2.5 goals

    63% of Johnstone Burgh matches, against 79% for Clydebank. The model puts this match at 75% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Johnstone Burgh
Clydebank
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1478.7
ELO
1624.4
8
ELO · Matches
48
1478.7
Current Team ELO
1624.4
1624.4
Current Opponent ELO
1478.7
-145.8
Current ELO Difference
145.8
0.30
Expected score
0.70
8
History Matches
48
-0.13
Residual Mean
0.13
46.18
Overperformance
58.94
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.60
1.60
Goals for per game
4.00
1.80
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
8
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
2.10
1.63
Goals for per game
2.90
1.75
Goals against per game
1.70
25.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.63
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.90
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
1.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
1.39
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.62
0.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
8
Matches
48
1.00
PPG
2.13
25.0%
Win rate
64.6%
25.0%
Draw rate
18.8%
50.0%
Loss rate
16.7%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
89.6%
62.5%
Over 2.5 rate
79.2%
62.5%
Over 3.5 rate
62.5%
2.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.58
Venue performance10 signals
100
4
Matches
24
1.75
PPG
2.08
50.0%
Win rate
66.7%
25.0%
Draw rate
8.3%
25.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
95.8%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
87.5%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.06
4
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.63
Goals for per game
2.75
87.5%
Scoring rate
93.8%
62.5%
BTTS rate
58.3%
2.50
Goals for per game
2.92
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
58.3%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.60
100.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
8
History Matches
48
1.63
Goals Mean
2.75
1.11
Goals Std
1.82
87.5%
Scored 1+ rate
93.8%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
70.8%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
45.8%
2.50
Venue Goals Mean
2.92
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.75
Goals against per game
1.19
75.0%
Conceding rate
58.3%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.42
50.0%
Conceding rate
58.3%
1.50
Goals against per game
2.20
75.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
8
History Matches
48
1.75
Conceded Mean
1.19
1.39
Conceded Std
1.35
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
35.4%
37.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.6%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
1.42
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
6.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
6.3%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
8
History Matches
48
0.95
Result entropy
0.81
2.09
Goal Difference Std
2.58
5.36
Stability score
18.55
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
46
2
Lead Matches
20
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
95.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.95
2
Trailing Matches
11
0.0%
Non-loss rate
54.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
18.2%
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
46
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
1.09
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.61
0.83
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.61
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
79.84
Rest days
73.84
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.75
1
Normal Rest History Matches
32
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.22
5
Long Rest History Matches
11
0.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
5
1.25
PPG
1.60
25.0%
Win rate
40.0%
50.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
80.0%
1.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.50
4
Current Competition Matches
5
1.25
Current Competition PPG
1.60
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.40
3
Competition Season Count
5
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
—
Portability PPG Std
0.34
—
Portability PPG Range
0.90
—
Portability Score
59.56
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
8
Clean History Matches
48
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-145.8
PPG-1.13
GF-1.13
GA0.56
PPG-0.35
PPG-0.33
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-40
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate6.3%
History Matches-20
Clean-sheet rate8.3%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-40
Goals Mean-1.13
Goals Std-0.71
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.21
Scored 3+ rate-0.33
Venue Goals Mean-0.42
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.76
History Matches-40
Conceded Mean0.56
Conceded Std0.04
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate14.6%
Conceded 3+ rate22.9%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.22
History Matches-40
Result entropy0.13
Goal Difference Std-0.49
Stability score-13.19
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.70
Eligible Matches-40
Lead Matches-18
Lead Win Rate-0.45
Lead Points Retention-0.28
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate-0.55
Trailing Win Rate-0.18
Halftime Coverage Matches-40
First Half Goals For Mean-0.25
First Half Goals Against Mean0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean-1.28
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.22
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-0.35
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.40
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Rest days6.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Normal Rest History Matches-31
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.22
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.49
Current Team ELO-145.8
Current Opponent ELO145.8
Current ELO Difference-291.5
Expected score-0.40
History Matches-40
Residual Mean-0.26
Overperformance-12.76
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Johnstone Burgh

D
Gretna 20082–2Johnstone Burgh17 Oct · away
Pick: Johnstone Burgh 62% · missed
W
Johnstone Burgh4–0Dalbeattie Star29 Aug · home
Pick: Johnstone Burgh 60% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Clydebank

W
Clydebank1–0Alloa Athletic3 Nov · home
Pick: Clydebank 40% · hit
W
Dalbeattie Star2–8Clydebank31 Oct · away
Pick: Clydebank 69% · hit
L
Clydebank2–3Celtic II27 Oct · home
Pick: Celtic II 47% · hit
W
Clydebank2–1Tranent Juniors24 Oct · home
Pick: Tranent Juniors 41% · missed
W
Clydebank2–0Beith17 Oct · home
Pick: Clydebank 82% · hit

About this match

Johnstone Burgh and Clydebank meet in Football League - Lowland League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Johnstone Burgh win 26.9%, draw 23.3%, Clydebank win 49.8%. The pick is Clydebank win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.9%. Both teams to score: 64.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.