ScoreProb
Serie A Women Italy Round 6 2026

Juventus W vs Sassuolo W

Juventus W Home · Elo 1,600
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Sassuolo W Away · Elo 1,455
Stadio Vittorio Pozzo, Biella Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Juventus W win
Juventus W winPick
66.0%
Draw
18.4%
Sassuolo W win
15.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.2%
No47.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.539.4%

How much we know

Juventus W history51 matches
Sassuolo W history36 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (66.0%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Juventus W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Juventus W are rated 145 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,600 against 1,455. On rating alone Juventus W would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Juventus W score far more

    1.84 goals a game over 51 matches for Juventus W, against 1.14 over 36 for Sassuolo W.

  • Juventus W concede fewer

    Juventus W concede 1.10 a game, Sassuolo W 1.72.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Juventus W matches, against 61% for Sassuolo W. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Juventus W
Sassuolo W
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1600.4
ELO
1455.0
51
ELO · Matches
36
1600.4
Current Team ELO
1455.0
1455.0
Current Opponent ELO
1600.4
145.4
Current ELO Difference
-145.4
0.70
Expected score
0.30
51
History Matches
36
0.10
Residual Mean
-0.07
57.40
Overperformance
45.72
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.60
1.60
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.90
1.80
Goals for per game
0.90
1.20
Goals against per game
1.70
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.89
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
36
1.80
PPG
1.08
52.9%
Win rate
30.6%
21.6%
Draw rate
16.7%
25.5%
Loss rate
52.8%
76.5%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
61.1%
31.4%
Over 3.5 rate
30.6%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.01
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
19
1.74
PPG
1.16
51.9%
Win rate
31.6%
18.5%
Draw rate
21.1%
29.6%
Loss rate
47.4%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
18.5%
Over 3.5 rate
36.8%
1.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
27
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.84
Goals for per game
1.14
78.4%
Scoring rate
61.1%
54.9%
BTTS rate
41.7%
1.52
Goals for per game
1.32
66.7%
Scoring rate
73.7%
40.7%
BTTS rate
52.6%
51
History Matches
36
1.84
Goals Mean
1.14
1.54
Goals Std
1.25
78.4%
Scored 1+ rate
61.1%
58.8%
Scored 2+ rate
30.6%
23.5%
Scored 3+ rate
13.9%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.32
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.10
Goals against per game
1.72
70.6%
Conceding rate
75.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.89
70.4%
Conceding rate
78.9%
51
History Matches
36
1.10
Conceded Mean
1.72
0.93
Conceded Std
1.30
29.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
58.3%
9.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.6%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.89
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
21.6%
Failed-to-score rate
38.9%
29.6%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
36
0.92
Result entropy
0.91
1.81
Goal Difference Std
2.01
7.52
Stability score
9.14
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
36
20
Lead Matches
11
80.0%
Lead Win Rate
72.7%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.76
8
Trailing Matches
15
37.5%
Non-loss rate
6.7%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
36
1.04
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.78
0.80
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.94
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.04
Rest days
76.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
28
Normal Rest History Matches
13
1.93
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.15
16
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.69
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.09
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
7
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.63
Portability PPG Std
0.49
1.63
Portability PPG Range
0.98
44.39
Portability Score
50.46
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
36
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO145.4
PPG0.72
GF0.70
GA-0.62
PPG0.58
PPG0.40
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches15
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.17
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate8.6%
Failed-to-score rate7.0%
History Matches15
Goals Mean0.70
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate17.3%
Scored 2+ rate28.3%
Scored 3+ rate9.6%
Venue Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.03
History Matches15
Conceded Mean-0.62
Conceded Std-0.37
Clean-sheet rate4.4%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.29
Conceded 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Conceded Mean-0.89
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.44
History Matches15
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score-1.62
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.87
Eligible Matches15
Lead Matches9
Lead Win Rate7.3%
Lead Points Retention0.09
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate30.8%
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches15
First Half Goals For Mean0.46
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count3
Portability PPG Std0.14
Portability PPG Range0.64
Portability Score-6.07
Rest days2.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest History Matches15
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.77
Long Rest History Matches-6
Long Rest Points Per Match0.60
Current Team ELO145.4
Current Opponent ELO-145.4
Current ELO Difference290.8
Expected score0.40
History Matches15
Residual Mean0.17
Overperformance11.68
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Juventus W

W
Fiorentina W1–2Juventus W2 Nov · away
Pick: Juventus W 46% · hit
W
Austria Wien W1–4Juventus W29 Oct · away
Pick: Austria Wien W 52% · missed
L
Juventus W2–5Roma W24 Oct · home
Pick: Juventus W 40% · missed
L
Juventus W2–4Como 1907 W18 Oct · home
Pick: Juventus W 74% · missed
L
AC Milan W2–1Juventus W4 Oct · away
Pick: Juventus W 49% · missed

Sassuolo W

D
Sassuolo W0–0Parma W31 Oct · home
Pick: Sassuolo W 51% · missed
D
Como 1907 W2–2Sassuolo W25 Oct · away
Pick: Como 1907 W 39% · missed
L
Sassuolo W1–4Napoli W17 Oct · home
Pick: Napoli W 37% · hit
W
Roma W0–1Sassuolo W30 Aug · away
Pick: Roma W 69% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Juventus W and Sassuolo W meet in Serie A Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadio Vittorio Pozzo, Biella. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Juventus W win 66.0%, draw 18.4%, Sassuolo W win 15.6%. The pick is Juventus W win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.6%. Both teams to score: 52.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.