ScoreProb
Regionalliga - SudWest Germany Sudwest - 15 2026

Kaiserslautern II vs Stuttgarter Kickers

Kaiserslautern II Home · Elo 1,652
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Stuttgarter Kickers Away · Elo 1,571
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kaiserslautern II win
Kaiserslautern II winPick
40.7%
Draw
20.6%
Stuttgarter Kickers win
38.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes62.9%
No37.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%

How much we know

Kaiserslautern II history54 matches
Stuttgarter Kickers history63 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Kaiserslautern II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kaiserslautern II are rated 81 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,652 against 1,571. On rating alone Kaiserslautern II would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • Kaiserslautern II score more

    2.65 goals a game over 54 matches for Kaiserslautern II, against 1.83 over 63 for Stuttgarter Kickers.

  • Kaiserslautern II concede fewer

    Kaiserslautern II concede 1.26 a game, Stuttgarter Kickers 1.48.

  • Kaiserslautern II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    80% of Kaiserslautern II matches, against 71% for Stuttgarter Kickers. The model puts this match at 71% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kaiserslautern II
Stuttgarter Kickers
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1652.3
ELO
1571.2
54
ELO · Matches
63
1652.3
Current Team ELO
1571.2
1571.2
Current Opponent ELO
1652.3
81.08
Current ELO Difference
-81.08
0.61
Expected score
0.39
54
History Matches
63
0.14
Residual Mean
0.07
60.21
Overperformance
55.06
0.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.24
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.00
1.20
Goals for per game
2.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
2.20
1.90
Goals for per game
2.30
1.50
Goals against per game
1.10
60.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.30
1.45
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.43
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.14
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.20
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.72
Overall performance9 signals
90
54
Matches
63
2.20
PPG
1.60
66.7%
Win rate
49.2%
20.4%
Draw rate
12.7%
13.0%
Loss rate
38.1%
87.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.3%
79.6%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
57.4%
Over 3.5 rate
36.5%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.14
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
28
2.04
PPG
1.07
60.7%
Win rate
32.1%
21.4%
Draw rate
10.7%
17.9%
Loss rate
57.1%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
82.1%
78.6%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
60.7%
Over 3.5 rate
32.1%
2.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
28
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.65
Goals for per game
1.83
88.9%
Scoring rate
82.5%
63.0%
BTTS rate
55.6%
2.68
Goals for per game
1.18
85.7%
Scoring rate
75.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
63
2.65
Goals Mean
1.83
1.70
Goals Std
1.43
88.9%
Scored 1+ rate
82.5%
72.2%
Scored 2+ rate
47.6%
53.7%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
2.68
Venue Goals Mean
1.18
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.26
Goals against per game
1.48
68.5%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.11
Goals against per game
1.82
57.1%
Conceding rate
78.6%
2.67
Goals against per game
2.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
54
History Matches
63
1.26
Conceded Mean
1.48
1.26
Conceded Std
1.22
31.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.8%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.0%
1.11
Venue Conceded Mean
1.82
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
31.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.5%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
31.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
11.1%
Failed-to-score rate
17.5%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
21.4%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
31.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
54
History Matches
63
0.78
Result entropy
0.89
2.29
Goal Difference Std
2.14
21.79
Stability score
10.92
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
54
Eligible Matches
62
27
Lead Matches
19
92.6%
Lead Win Rate
84.2%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.88
14
Trailing Matches
16
57.1%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
28.6%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
54
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
1.04
First Half Goals For Mean
0.87
0.54
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
1.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.92
0.72
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
44
2.03
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.48
21
Long Rest History Matches
17
2.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.06
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.67
PPG
2.33
0.0%
Win rate
66.7%
66.7%
Draw rate
33.3%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.67
Current Competition PPG
2.33
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.00
6
Competition Season Count
5
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.71
Portability PPG Std
0.46
1.74
Portability PPG Range
1.19
41.49
Portability Score
52.34
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
54
Clean History Matches
63
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO81.08
PPG0.60
GF0.82
GA-0.22
PPG-1.67
PPG0.96
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate2.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate21.4%
Failed-to-score rate-0.11
History Matches-9
Goals Mean0.82
Goals Std0.27
Scored 1+ rate6.3%
Scored 2+ rate24.6%
Scored 3+ rate20.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.35
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean-0.22
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate2.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.71
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.30
History Matches-9
Result entropy-0.11
Goal Difference Std0.15
Stability score10.87
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.48
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate8.4%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate44.6%
Trailing Win Rate16.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean0.17
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.12
Second Half Goals For Mean0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.67
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.25
Portability PPG Range0.55
Portability Score-10.85
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.56
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.27
Current Team ELO81.08
Current Opponent ELO-81.08
Current ELO Difference162.2
Expected score0.23
History Matches-9
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.23

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kaiserslautern II

L
VfR Mannheim3–2Kaiserslautern II31 Oct · away
Pick: VfR Mannheim 60% · hit
D
Kaiserslautern II2–2Freiburg II23 Oct · home
Pick: Kaiserslautern II 42% · missed
L
Eintracht Frankfurt II2–1Kaiserslautern II17 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt II 61% · hit
D
Kaiserslautern II2–2FSV Frankfurt14 Oct · home
Pick: FSV Frankfurt 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Stuttgarter Kickers

L
Stuttgarter Kickers0–1VfR Aalen31 Oct · home
Pick: Stuttgarter Kickers 56% · missed
L
Eintracht Trier2–0Stuttgarter Kickers24 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Trier 42% · hit
W
Stuttgarter Kickers3–1TSV Steinbach17 Oct · home
Pick: Stuttgarter Kickers 50% · hit
W
FC 08 Homburg0–1Stuttgarter Kickers29 Aug · away
Pick: FC 08 Homburg 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kaiserslautern II and Stuttgarter Kickers meet in Regionalliga - SudWest on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kaiserslautern II win 40.7%, draw 20.6%, Stuttgarter Kickers win 38.7%. The pick is Kaiserslautern II win. Over 2.5 goals: 70.8%. Both teams to score: 62.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.