Kirivong Sok Sen Chey vs Kompong Dewa
Match result probability Model pick: Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey winPick
44.6%
Draw
25.2%
Kompong Dewa win
30.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes58.5%
No41.5%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%
How much we know
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey history42 matches
Kompong Dewa history30 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 07:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 08:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Kirivong Sok Sen Chey are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Kompong Dewa are rated 95 Elo points higher
Elo 1,522 against 1,427. On rating alone Kompong Dewa would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
Scoring rates are level
1.31 goals a game over 42 matches for Kirivong Sok Sen Chey, against 1.43 over 30 for Kompong Dewa.
-
Kompong Dewa concede fewer
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey concede 1.93 a game, Kompong Dewa 1.50.
-
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey games more often go over 2.5 goals
69% of Kirivong Sok Sen Chey matches, against 50% for Kompong Dewa. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 18 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kompong Dewa@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1427.0
ELO
1521.6
42
ELO · Matches
30
1427.0
Current Team ELO
1521.6
1521.6
Current Opponent ELO
1427.0
-94.58
Current ELO Difference
94.58
0.37
Expected score
0.63
42
History Matches
30
-0.09
Residual Mean
0.03
44.19
Overperformance
51.91
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.08
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.20
0.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
2.00
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.00
1.10
Goals for per game
1.50
1.80
Goals against per game
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.00
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals 90
42
Matches
30
1.05
PPG
1.37
31.0%
Win rate
36.7%
11.9%
Draw rate
26.7%
57.1%
Loss rate
36.7%
83.3%
Over 1.5 rate
73.3%
69.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
16
1.10
PPG
1.75
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
9.5%
Draw rate
25.0%
57.1%
Loss rate
25.0%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
61.9%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
2.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
21
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.31
Goals for per game
1.43
73.8%
Scoring rate
73.3%
59.5%
BTTS rate
53.3%
1.19
Goals for per game
1.63
66.7%
Scoring rate
81.3%
57.1%
BTTS rate
56.3%
42
History Matches
30
1.31
Goals Mean
1.43
1.14
Goals Std
1.28
73.8%
Scored 1+ rate
73.3%
35.7%
Scored 2+ rate
40.0%
14.3%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.19
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.93
Goals against per game
1.50
81.0%
Conceding rate
70.0%
1.95
Goals against per game
1.25
85.7%
Conceding rate
68.8%
42
History Matches
30
1.93
Conceded Mean
1.50
1.42
Conceded Std
1.41
57.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
46.7%
35.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
1.95
Venue Conceded Mean
1.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
26.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
26.2%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
31.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
42
History Matches
30
0.85
Result entropy
0.99
1.96
Goal Difference Std
1.53
14.79
Stability score
0.95
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
42
Eligible Matches
30
10
Lead Matches
8
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.92
19
Trailing Matches
9
5.3%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals 50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
30
0.60
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.95
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.87
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
174.9
Rest days
173.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
14
Normal Rest History Matches
13
0.57
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.08
24
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.69
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.34
Portability PPG Std
—
0.69
Portability PPG Range
—
59.23
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
42
Clean History Matches
30
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-94.58
PPG-0.32
GF-0.12
GA0.43
PPG-0.65
PPG-0.40
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate0.00
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate14.6%
History Matches12
Goals Mean-0.12
Goals Std-0.14
Scored 1+ rate0.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.43
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.19
History Matches12
Conceded Mean0.43
Conceded Std0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate10.5%
Conceded 3+ rate15.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.23
History Matches12
Result entropy-0.14
Goal Difference Std0.44
Stability score13.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.26
Eligible Matches12
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate2.5%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate-0.28
Trailing Win Rate-0.11
Halftime Coverage Matches12
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.51
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.56
Current Team ELO-94.58
Current Opponent ELO94.58
Current ELO Difference-189.2
Expected score-0.27
History Matches12
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance-7.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
D
NagaWorld1–1Kirivong Sok Sen Chey1 Nov · away
Pick: NagaWorld 53% · missed L
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey1–2Life Sihanoukville25 Oct · home
Pick: Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 52% · missed L
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey2–3Visakha17 Oct · home
Pick: Visakha 65% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Kompong Dewa
W
Phnom Penh Crown0–1Kompong Dewa1 Nov · away
Pick: Phnom Penh Crown 68% · missed L
NagaWorld1–0Kompong Dewa17 Oct · away
Pick: NagaWorld 50% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey and Kompong Dewa meet in C-League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 08:30 UTC. The match is played at Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Stadium, Takeo. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win 44.6%, draw 25.2%, Kompong Dewa win 30.3%. The pick is Kirivong Sok Sen Chey win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.2%. Both teams to score: 58.5%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.