ScoreProb
Superliga Albania Round 11 2026

Laci vs Partizani

Laci Home · Elo 1,649
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Partizani Away · Elo 1,519
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Laci win
Laci winPick
42.6%
Draw
32.1%
Partizani win
25.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.0%
No54.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.541.6%
Under 2.558.4%

How much we know

Laci history58 matches
Partizani history65 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Laci are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Laci are rated 131 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,649 against 1,519. On rating alone Laci would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.

  • Laci score far more

    1.52 goals a game over 58 matches for Laci, against 0.94 over 65 for Partizani.

  • Laci concede fewer

    Laci concede 0.84 a game, Partizani 1.15.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    47% of Laci matches, against 40% for Partizani. The model puts this match at 42% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Laci
Partizani
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1649.2
ELO
1518.6
58
ELO · Matches
65
1649.2
Current Team ELO
1518.6
1518.6
Current Opponent ELO
1649.2
130.6
Current ELO Difference
-130.6
0.68
Expected score
0.32
58
History Matches
65
0.13
Residual Mean
0.01
59.45
Overperformance
50.64
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.80
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.70
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
58
Matches
65
1.91
PPG
1.32
55.2%
Win rate
35.4%
25.9%
Draw rate
26.2%
19.0%
Loss rate
38.5%
69.0%
Over 1.5 rate
64.6%
46.6%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
17.2%
Over 3.5 rate
13.8%
1.47
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
35
2.24
PPG
1.17
65.5%
Win rate
31.4%
27.6%
Draw rate
22.9%
6.9%
Loss rate
45.7%
79.3%
Over 1.5 rate
68.6%
55.2%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
20.7%
Over 3.5 rate
14.3%
1.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
29
History Matches
35
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.52
Goals for per game
0.94
75.9%
Scoring rate
60.0%
48.3%
BTTS rate
38.5%
1.86
Goals for per game
0.86
86.2%
Scoring rate
54.3%
58.6%
BTTS rate
37.1%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.00
100.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
58
History Matches
65
1.52
Goals Mean
0.94
1.24
Goals Std
0.89
75.9%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
30.8%
15.5%
Scored 3+ rate
3.1%
1.86
Venue Goals Mean
0.86
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.84
Goals against per game
1.15
62.1%
Conceding rate
63.1%
0.76
Goals against per game
1.31
62.1%
Conceding rate
68.6%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
0.0%
58
History Matches
65
0.84
Conceded Mean
1.15
0.87
Conceded Std
1.13
15.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
35.4%
5.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.8%
0.76
Venue Conceded Mean
1.31
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
36.9%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
31.4%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.7%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
100.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
36.9%
24.1%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
31.4%
13.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.7%
37.9%
Clean-sheet rate
36.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
58
History Matches
65
0.90
Result entropy
0.99
1.47
Goal Difference Std
1.48
9.60
Stability score
1.16
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
58
Eligible Matches
65
25
Lead Matches
17
88.0%
Lead Win Rate
76.5%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.78
7
Trailing Matches
15
42.9%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
58
Halftime Coverage Matches
65
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.51
0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.79
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.43
0.53
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.94
Rest days
76.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
38
Normal Rest History Matches
49
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.33
18
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
100.0%
Draw rate
100.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1
Current Competition Matches
1
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
7
Competition Season Count
8
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.65
Portability PPG Std
0.32
1.39
Portability PPG Range
0.81
43.46
Portability Score
60.69
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
58
Clean History Matches
65
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO130.6
PPG0.59
GF0.58
GA-0.31
PPG0.00
PPG1.07
PPG0.00
PPG1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate6.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.32
History Matches-7
Goals Mean0.58
Goals Std0.34
Scored 1+ rate15.9%
Scored 2+ rate19.2%
Scored 3+ rate12.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.45
History Matches-7
Conceded Mean-0.31
Conceded Std-0.26
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.20
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-0.56
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.41
History Matches-7
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std-0.02
Stability score8.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.05
Eligible Matches-7
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate11.5%
Lead Points Retention0.14
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate9.5%
Trailing Win Rate-0.06
Halftime Coverage Matches-7
First Half Goals For Mean0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Second Half Goals For Mean0.36
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.33
Portability PPG Range0.58
Portability Score-17.23
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-11
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.57
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.62
Current Team ELO130.6
Current Opponent ELO-130.6
Current ELO Difference261.3
Expected score0.36
History Matches-7
Residual Mean0.12
Overperformance8.81
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Laci

L
AF Elbasani2–1Laci1 Nov · away
Pick: AF Elbasani 40% · hit
D
Skenderbeu Korce1–1Laci28 Oct · away
Pick: Skenderbeu Korce 39% · missed
W
Laci1–0Vora24 Oct · home
Pick: Laci 48% · hit
L
Tirana1–0Laci17 Oct · away
Pick: Laci 51% · missed
W
Laci8–2Këlcyra7 Oct · home
Pick: Laci 75% · hit

Partizani

W
Teuta Durrës0–1Partizani2 Nov · away
Pick: Teuta Durrës 34% · missed
L
AF Elbasani2–1Partizani28 Oct · away
Pick: AF Elbasani 38% · hit
L
Partizani0–2Skenderbeu Korce24 Oct · home
Pick: Partizani 36% · missed
L
Vora4–1Partizani18 Oct · away
Pick: Vora 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Laci and Partizani meet in Superliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Laci win 42.6%, draw 32.1%, Partizani win 25.3%. The pick is Laci win. Over 2.5 goals: 41.6%. Both teams to score: 46.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.