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Regionalliga - West Austria West - 16 2026

Lauterach vs Röthis

Lauterach Home · Elo 1,364
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Röthis Away · Elo 1,509
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Lauterach win
Lauterach winPick
42.7%
Draw
19.8%
Röthis win
37.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.3%
No36.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.574.4%
Under 2.525.6%

How much we know

Lauterach history53 matches
Röthis history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 13:30 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.7%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Lauterach are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Röthis are rated 144 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,509 against 1,364. On rating alone Röthis would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Röthis score more

    1.30 goals a game over 53 matches for Lauterach, against 1.53 over 38 for Röthis.

  • Röthis concede fewer

    Lauterach concede 2.42 a game, Röthis 2.08.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    75% of Lauterach matches, against 74% for Röthis. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Lauterach
Röthis@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1364.1
ELO
1508.5
53
ELO · Matches
38
1364.1
Current Team ELO
1508.5
1508.5
Current Opponent ELO
1364.1
-144.4
Current ELO Difference
144.4
0.30
Expected score
0.70
53
History Matches
38
-0.12
Residual Mean
0.01
41.00
Overperformance
50.80
-0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
3.20
Goals against per game
2.00
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.40
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
1.70
3.10
Goals against per game
1.60
10.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.74
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.49
3.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.43
0.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.16
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.70
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
38
0.77
PPG
1.37
20.8%
Win rate
42.1%
15.1%
Draw rate
10.5%
64.2%
Loss rate
47.4%
86.8%
Over 1.5 rate
92.1%
75.5%
Over 2.5 rate
73.7%
50.9%
Over 3.5 rate
47.4%
2.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
27
Matches
19
1.22
PPG
1.05
33.3%
Win rate
31.6%
22.2%
Draw rate
10.5%
44.4%
Loss rate
57.9%
92.6%
Over 1.5 rate
89.5%
81.5%
Over 2.5 rate
73.7%
59.3%
Over 3.5 rate
42.1%
2.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.60
27
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.30
Goals for per game
1.53
64.2%
Scoring rate
65.8%
58.5%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.70
Goals for per game
1.05
77.8%
Scoring rate
57.9%
66.7%
BTTS rate
42.1%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.50
75.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
53
History Matches
38
1.30
Goals Mean
1.53
1.35
Goals Std
1.50
64.2%
Scored 1+ rate
65.8%
39.6%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
13.2%
Scored 3+ rate
18.4%
1.70
Venue Goals Mean
1.05
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.42
Goals against per game
2.08
92.5%
Conceding rate
81.6%
2.26
Goals against per game
2.37
88.9%
Conceding rate
78.9%
2.75
Goals against per game
2.25
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
53
History Matches
38
2.42
Conceded Mean
2.08
1.42
Conceded Std
1.64
67.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
63.2%
50.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.9%
2.26
Venue Conceded Mean
2.37
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
7.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
35.8%
Failed-to-score rate
34.2%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
7.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
35.8%
Failed-to-score rate
34.2%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
21.1%
22.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.1%
7.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
38
0.82
Result entropy
0.87
2.10
Goal Difference Std
2.50
18.39
Stability score
13.06
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
38
10
Lead Matches
10
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.87
29
Trailing Matches
16
10.3%
Non-loss rate
6.3%
3.4%
Trailing Win Rate
6.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
38
0.55
First Half Goals For Mean
0.68
1.17
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.87
0.75
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.84
1.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.21
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
82.90
Rest days
82.94
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
2
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
25
Normal Rest History Matches
20
0.72
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.35
23
Long Rest History Matches
15
0.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.40
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.25
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.25
Current Competition PPG
1.50
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.75
7
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.42
Portability PPG Std
0.47
1.04
Portability PPG Range
1.12
54.13
Portability Score
51.59
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-144.4
PPG-0.59
GF-0.22
GA0.34
PPG-1.25
PPG0.17
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches15
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate1.6%
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches15
Goals Mean-0.22
Goals Std-0.15
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.65
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.26
History Matches15
Conceded Mean0.34
Conceded Std-0.22
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate4.8%
Conceded 3+ rate22.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.38
History Matches15
Result entropy-0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.40
Stability score5.33
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.03
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.54
Eligible Matches15
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches13
Non-loss rate4.1%
Trailing Win Rate-0.03
Halftime Coverage Matches15
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.30
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.25
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.08
Portability Score2.54
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.63
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.57
Current Team ELO-144.4
Current Opponent ELO144.4
Current ELO Difference-288.8
Expected score-0.39
History Matches15
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-9.80
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.25

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Lauterach

L
Lauterach1–5Fügen7 Nov · home
Pick: Fügen 64% · hit
D
Lustenau1–1Lauterach31 Oct · away
Pick: Lauterach 47% · missed
W
Lauterach2–0Lochau24 Oct · home
Pick: Lauterach 49% · hit
W
SK St. Johann1–3Lauterach18 Oct · away
Pick: SK St. Johann 56% · missed
L
Swarovski Tirol II6–1Lauterach4 Oct · away
Pick: Swarovski Tirol II 59% · hit

Röthis

L
Fügen2–1Röthis31 Oct · away
Pick: Fügen 53% · hit
W
Röthis4–3Lustenau24 Oct · home
Pick: Röthis 58% · hit
W
Lochau1–2Röthis17 Oct · away
Pick: Lochau 42% · missed
D
Röthis0–0Kufstein30 Aug · home
Pick: Röthis 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Lauterach and Röthis meet in Regionalliga - West on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Lauterach win 42.7%, draw 19.8%, Röthis win 37.4%. The pick is Lauterach win. Over 2.5 goals: 74.4%. Both teams to score: 63.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.