Levante W vs Eibar W
Match result probability Model pick: Eibar W win
Levante W win
28.8%
Draw
26.7%
Eibar W winPick
44.5%
No match played
If the match is played on a new date, this page updates by itself.
Both teams to score
Yes47.9%
No52.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
How much we know
Levante W history44 matches
Eibar W history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
Share this match
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Eibar W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Eibar W are rated 96 Elo points higher
Elo 1,442 against 1,346. On rating alone Eibar W would be expected to take 63% of the points on offer.
-
Levante W score more
0.82 goals a game over 44 matches for Levante W, against 0.70 over 44 for Eibar W.
-
Eibar W concede fewer
Levante W concede 1.80 a game, Eibar W 1.55.
-
Levante W games more often go over 2.5 goals
55% of Levante W matches, against 43% for Eibar W. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 31 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eibar W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1346.5
ELO
1442.4
44
ELO · Matches
44
1346.5
Current Team ELO
1442.4
1442.4
Current Opponent ELO
1346.5
-95.94
Current ELO Difference
95.94
0.37
Expected score
0.63
44
History Matches
44
-0.17
Residual Mean
-0.07
38.16
Overperformance
45.27
-0.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
2.00
0.80
Goals for per game
1.20
2.80
Goals against per game
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.10
PPG
1.10
0.50
Goals for per game
0.70
2.30
Goals against per game
1.20
0.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
0.67
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.90
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.42
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.17
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.63
Overall performance9 signals 90
44
Matches
44
0.68
PPG
1.11
18.2%
Win rate
31.8%
13.6%
Draw rate
15.9%
68.2%
Loss rate
52.3%
65.9%
Over 1.5 rate
61.4%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
43.2%
27.3%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
1.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.89
Venue performance10 signals 100
22
Matches
23
0.55
PPG
1.30
13.6%
Win rate
39.1%
13.6%
Draw rate
13.0%
72.7%
Loss rate
47.8%
59.1%
Over 1.5 rate
56.5%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
39.1%
18.2%
Over 3.5 rate
17.4%
1.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.76
22
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.82
Goals for per game
0.70
52.3%
Scoring rate
54.5%
47.7%
BTTS rate
31.8%
0.77
Goals for per game
0.70
54.5%
Scoring rate
56.5%
50.0%
BTTS rate
26.1%
44
History Matches
44
0.82
Goals Mean
0.70
0.91
Goals Std
0.76
52.3%
Scored 1+ rate
54.5%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
13.6%
4.5%
Scored 3+ rate
2.3%
0.77
Venue Goals Mean
0.70
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.80
Goals against per game
1.55
90.9%
Conceding rate
68.2%
1.59
Goals against per game
1.35
86.4%
Conceding rate
60.9%
44
History Matches
44
1.80
Conceded Mean
1.55
1.25
Conceded Std
1.59
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.5%
18.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.7%
1.59
Venue Conceded Mean
1.35
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
47.7%
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
39.1%
45.5%
Failed-to-score rate
43.5%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
47.7%
Failed-to-score rate
45.5%
13.6%
Clean-sheet rate
39.1%
45.5%
Failed-to-score rate
43.5%
9.1%
Clean-sheet rate
31.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
44
History Matches
44
0.77
Result entropy
0.91
1.53
Goal Difference Std
1.89
23.29
Stability score
9.35
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
44
Eligible Matches
44
4
Lead Matches
15
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.67
22
Trailing Matches
13
13.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.39
First Half Goals For Mean
0.48
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.48
0.43
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.23
0.93
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.07
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
157.1
Rest days
157.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
19
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.68
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.95
24
Long Rest History Matches
24
0.58
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.60
Portability PPG Std
0.28
1.20
Portability PPG Range
0.57
45.45
Portability Score
63.83
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
44
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-95.94
PPG-0.43
GF0.11
GA0.25
PPG-0.76
PPG-1.80
PPG-1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Failed-to-score rate2.3%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate2.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean0.11
Goals Std0.16
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate11.4%
Scored 3+ rate2.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.23
History Matches0
Conceded Mean0.25
Conceded Std-0.33
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Conceded 2+ rate4.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean0.24
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.25
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.14
Goal Difference Std-0.36
Stability score13.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.09
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate13.6%
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.09
First Half Goals Against Mean0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.32
Portability PPG Range0.63
Portability Score-18.38
Rest days-0.17
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.26
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.58
Current Team ELO-95.94
Current Opponent ELO95.94
Current ELO Difference-191.9
Expected score-0.27
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-7.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.27
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Levante W
No earlier results with our pick yet
Eibar W
L
Valencia W2–1Eibar W31 Oct · away
Pick: Valencia W 41% · hit D
Eibar W2–2Madrid CFF W25 Oct · home
Pick: Eibar W 44% · missed L
Eibar W2–3Deportivo de La Coruña W18 Oct · home
Pick: Eibar W 36% · missed D
Granada0–0Eibar W4 Oct · away
Pick: Granada 43% · missed W
Eibar W1–0Espanyol W29 Aug · home
Pick: Eibar W 37% · hit About this match
Levante W and Eibar W were due to play in Copa de la Reina on Wednesday 4 November 2026, but the match was not played.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.