ScoreProb
Superettan Sweden Round 30 2026

Ljungskile SK vs Landskrona BoIS

Ljungskile SK Home · Elo 1,580
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Landskrona BoIS Away · Elo 1,529
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Ljungskile SK win
Ljungskile SK winPick
42.9%
Draw
24.5%
Landskrona BoIS win
32.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.2%
No41.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%

How much we know

Ljungskile SK history61 matches
Landskrona BoIS history71 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Ljungskile SK are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Ljungskile SK are rated 51 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,580 against 1,529. On rating alone Ljungskile SK would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Ljungskile SK score far more

    2.16 goals a game over 61 matches for Ljungskile SK, against 1.39 over 71 for Landskrona BoIS.

  • Ljungskile SK concede fewer

    Ljungskile SK concede 1.13 a game, Landskrona BoIS 1.52.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    62% of Ljungskile SK matches, against 58% for Landskrona BoIS. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Ljungskile SK
Landskrona BoIS
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1579.9
ELO
1529.1
61
ELO · Matches
71
1579.9
Current Team ELO
1529.1
1529.1
Current Opponent ELO
1579.9
50.82
Current ELO Difference
-50.82
0.57
Expected score
0.43
61
History Matches
71
0.06
Residual Mean
0.02
54.76
Overperformance
51.48
-0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
1.70
1.40
Goals for per game
1.20
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
0.98
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.77
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
0.75
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
61
Matches
71
1.90
PPG
1.39
57.4%
Win rate
38.0%
18.0%
Draw rate
25.4%
24.6%
Loss rate
36.6%
83.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
62.3%
Over 2.5 rate
57.7%
44.3%
Over 3.5 rate
36.6%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
36
2.26
PPG
1.14
74.2%
Win rate
33.3%
3.2%
Draw rate
13.9%
22.6%
Loss rate
52.8%
87.1%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
67.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.8%
45.2%
Over 3.5 rate
30.6%
2.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
31
History Matches
36
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.16
Goals for per game
1.39
83.6%
Scoring rate
74.6%
59.0%
BTTS rate
56.3%
2.52
Goals for per game
1.14
87.1%
Scoring rate
63.9%
54.8%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.35
Goals for per game
1.30
65.0%
Scoring rate
85.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
55.0%
61
History Matches
71
2.16
Goals Mean
1.39
1.75
Goals Std
1.11
83.6%
Scored 1+ rate
74.6%
63.9%
Scored 2+ rate
43.7%
39.3%
Scored 3+ rate
18.3%
2.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.14
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.13
Goals against per game
1.52
72.1%
Conceding rate
77.5%
1.03
Goals against per game
1.72
67.7%
Conceding rate
83.3%
1.35
Goals against per game
1.05
85.0%
Conceding rate
70.0%
61
History Matches
71
1.13
Conceded Mean
1.52
0.97
Conceded Std
1.22
29.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.1%
9.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
19.7%
1.03
Venue Conceded Mean
1.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
27.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.5%
16.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
36.1%
15.0%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
35.0%
Failed-to-score rate
15.0%
27.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.5%
16.4%
Failed-to-score rate
25.4%
32.3%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
12.9%
Failed-to-score rate
36.1%
27.9%
Clean-sheet rate
22.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
61
History Matches
71
0.89
Result entropy
0.99
2.12
Goal Difference Std
1.73
11.47
Stability score
1.38
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
61
Eligible Matches
71
27
Lead Matches
19
92.6%
Lead Win Rate
73.7%
0.94
Lead Points Retention
0.79
16
Trailing Matches
26
43.8%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
25.0%
Trailing Win Rate
11.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
61
Halftime Coverage Matches
71
0.98
First Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
1.18
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.75
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
74.88
Rest days
74.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
4
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.75
38
Normal Rest History Matches
40
1.89
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.58
21
Long Rest History Matches
26
1.81
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.27
Competition & season17 signals
170
20
Matches
20
1.20
PPG
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
30.0%
Draw rate
30.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
30.0%
65.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
20
Current Competition Matches
20
1.20
Current Competition PPG
1.50
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.25
4
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.50
Portability PPG Std
0.23
1.10
Portability PPG Range
0.56
50.17
Portability Score
68.16
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
61
Clean History Matches
71
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO50.82
PPG0.51
GF0.77
GA-0.39
PPG-0.30
PPG1.12
PPG0.00
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate15.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.23
History Matches-10
Goals Mean0.77
Goals Std0.64
Scored 1+ rate9.0%
Scored 2+ rate20.3%
Scored 3+ rate21.0%
Venue Goals Mean1.38
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std0.24
History Matches-10
Conceded Mean-0.39
Conceded Std-0.25
Clean-sheet rate5.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.16
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.69
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.21
History Matches-10
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.39
Stability score10.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.42
Eligible Matches-10
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate18.9%
Lead Points Retention0.15
Trailing Matches-10
Non-loss rate-0.02
Trailing Win Rate13.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches-10
First Half Goals For Mean0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals For Mean0.38
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.21
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.30
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.25
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std0.26
Portability PPG Range0.54
Portability Score-17.99
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Short Rest Points Per Match2.25
Normal Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.32
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.54
Current Team ELO50.82
Current Opponent ELO-50.82
Current ELO Difference101.6
Expected score0.15
History Matches-10
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance3.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Ljungskile SK

D
Varbergs BoIS FC2–2Ljungskile SK1 Nov · away
Pick: Varbergs BoIS FC 55% · missed
D
Helsingborg1–1Ljungskile SK25 Oct · away
Pick: Ljungskile SK 39% · missed
W
Ljungskile SK2–0IK brage17 Oct · home
Pick: Ljungskile SK 50% · hit
L
Ljungskile SK0–1IFK Varnamo29 Aug · home
Pick: Ljungskile SK 62% · missed
D
Ostersunds FK0–0Ljungskile SK24 Aug · away
Pick: Ostersunds FK 45% · missed

Landskrona BoIS

W
Landskrona BoIS2–1Orebro SK2 Nov · home
Pick: Landskrona BoIS 47% · hit
D
Landskrona BoIS1–1Varbergs BoIS FC27 Oct · home
Pick: Landskrona BoIS 39% · missed
L
Falkenbergs FF4–3Landskrona BoIS17 Oct · away
Pick: Falkenbergs FF 54% · hit
D
Landskrona BoIS1–1Ostersunds FK29 Aug · home
Pick: Landskrona BoIS 47% · missed
D
IFK Varnamo1–1Landskrona BoIS24 Aug · away
Pick: Landskrona BoIS 41% · missed

About this match

Ljungskile SK and Landskrona BoIS meet in Superettan on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Ljungskile SK win 42.9%, draw 24.5%, Landskrona BoIS win 32.6%. The pick is Ljungskile SK win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.0%. Both teams to score: 58.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.