ScoreProb
NB I Hungary Round 13 2026

Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC

Nyiregyhaza Home · Elo 1,511
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Gyori ETO FC Away · Elo 1,659
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Gyori ETO FC win
Nyiregyhaza win
16.7%
Draw
20.1%
Gyori ETO FC winPick
63.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.1%
No46.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%

How much we know

Nyiregyhaza history67 matches
Gyori ETO FC history76 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (63.2%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Gyori ETO FC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Gyori ETO FC are rated 148 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,659 against 1,511. On rating alone Gyori ETO FC would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Gyori ETO FC score far more

    1.10 goals a game over 67 matches for Nyiregyhaza, against 1.93 over 76 for Gyori ETO FC.

  • Gyori ETO FC concede fewer

    Nyiregyhaza concede 1.66 a game, Gyori ETO FC 1.04.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    52% of Nyiregyhaza matches, against 51% for Gyori ETO FC. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Nyiregyhaza
Gyori ETO FC@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1511.2
ELO
1659.3
67
ELO · Matches
76
1511.2
Current Team ELO
1659.3
1659.3
Current Opponent ELO
1511.2
-148.0
Current ELO Difference
148.0
0.30
Expected score
0.70
67
History Matches
76
0.01
Residual Mean
0.10
50.91
Overperformance
58.26
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.02
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.60
1.00
Goals for per game
1.80
1.80
Goals against per game
0.60
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
1.10
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.79
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.10
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
2.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
76
1.18
PPG
1.89
29.9%
Win rate
52.6%
28.4%
Draw rate
31.6%
41.8%
Loss rate
15.8%
71.6%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
52.2%
Over 2.5 rate
51.3%
34.3%
Over 3.5 rate
34.2%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.94
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
37
1.38
PPG
1.73
35.3%
Win rate
45.9%
32.4%
Draw rate
35.1%
32.4%
Loss rate
18.9%
64.7%
Over 1.5 rate
81.1%
47.1%
Over 2.5 rate
54.1%
32.4%
Over 3.5 rate
40.5%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.53
34
History Matches
37
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.10
Goals for per game
1.93
64.2%
Scoring rate
86.8%
49.3%
BTTS rate
53.9%
1.09
Goals for per game
2.00
67.6%
Scoring rate
89.2%
50.0%
BTTS rate
67.6%
1.00
Goals for per game
2.50
60.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
67
History Matches
76
1.10
Goals Mean
1.93
1.05
Goals Std
1.58
64.2%
Scored 1+ rate
86.8%
34.3%
Scored 2+ rate
53.9%
9.0%
Scored 3+ rate
28.9%
1.09
Venue Goals Mean
2.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.66
Goals against per game
1.04
74.6%
Conceding rate
61.8%
1.41
Goals against per game
1.24
70.6%
Conceding rate
75.7%
1.80
Goals against per game
0.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
67
History Matches
76
1.66
Conceded Mean
1.04
1.62
Conceded Std
1.14
43.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.3%
22.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.6%
1.41
Venue Conceded Mean
1.24
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
35.8%
Failed-to-score rate
13.2%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.8%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
35.8%
Failed-to-score rate
13.2%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
24.3%
32.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.8%
25.4%
Clean-sheet rate
38.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
76
0.99
Result entropy
0.90
1.99
Goal Difference Std
1.94
1.43
Stability score
9.59
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
65
Eligible Matches
76
13
Lead Matches
34
69.2%
Lead Win Rate
73.5%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.80
24
Trailing Matches
13
25.0%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
65
Halftime Coverage Matches
76
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.72
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.11
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.86
Rest days
76.86
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
10
0.80
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
29
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.28
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.79
32
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.04
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
4
1.20
PPG
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
60.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
80.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
5
Current Competition Matches
4
1.20
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
1.75
7
Competition Season Count
9
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
7
0.08
Portability PPG Std
0.45
0.21
Portability PPG Range
1.20
85.56
Portability Score
52.37
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
76
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-148.0
PPG-0.72
GF-0.83
GA0.62
PPG-0.80
PPG-0.35
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate22.7%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate5.1%
Failed-to-score rate21.5%
History Matches-9
Goals Mean-0.83
Goals Std-0.52
Scored 1+ rate-0.23
Scored 2+ rate-0.20
Scored 3+ rate-0.20
Venue Goals Mean-0.91
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.71
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean0.62
Conceded Std0.48
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Conceded 2+ rate13.0%
Conceded 3+ rate15.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.50
History Matches-9
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.04
Stability score-8.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.24
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-21
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention-0.03
Trailing Matches11
Non-loss rate-0.21
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean-0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.55
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.37
Portability PPG Range-0.99
Portability Score33.19
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.20
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.51
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.85
Current Team ELO-148.0
Current Opponent ELO148.0
Current ELO Difference-296.1
Expected score-0.40
History Matches-9
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-7.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Nyiregyhaza

L
Ujpest2–1Nyiregyhaza1 Nov · away
Pick: Ujpest 53% · hit
L
Nyiregyhaza0–1Budapest Honved17 Oct · home
Pick: Budapest Honved 46% · hit
D
Nyiregyhaza1–1Paks29 Aug · home
Pick: Paks 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Gyori ETO FC

L
Zalaegerszegi TE3–1Gyori ETO FC28 Oct · away
Pick: Gyori ETO FC 50% · missed
W
Gyori ETO FC1–0Ujpest24 Oct · home
Pick: Gyori ETO FC 66% · hit
W
Paks1–2Gyori ETO FC17 Oct · away
Pick: Gyori ETO FC 43% · hit
D
Kisvarda FC1–1Gyori ETO FC30 Aug · away
Pick: Gyori ETO FC 53% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC meet in NB I on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Nyiregyhaza win 16.7%, draw 20.1%, Gyori ETO FC win 63.2%. The pick is Gyori ETO FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.5%. Both teams to score: 53.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.