Pyramids FC vs El Dakhleya
Match result probability Model pick: Pyramids FC win
Pyramids FC winPick
65.7%
Draw
20.8%
El Dakhleya win
13.5%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes50.1%
No49.9%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.560.6%
Under 2.539.4%
How much we know
Pyramids FC history85 matches
El Dakhleya history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Pyramids FC
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 4 d 10 h ahead3 Nov · 07:46 UTC
- Re-published 4 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 17:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 18:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.7%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.
Why Pyramids FC are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Pyramids FC are rated 231 Elo points higher
Elo 1,676 against 1,444. On rating alone Pyramids FC would be expected to take 79% of the points on offer.
-
Pyramids FC score far more
1.76 goals a game over 85 matches for Pyramids FC, against 0.93 over 54 for El Dakhleya.
-
Pyramids FC concede fewer
Pyramids FC concede 0.98 a game, El Dakhleya 1.35.
-
Pyramids FC games more often go over 2.5 goals
55% of Pyramids FC matches, against 39% for El Dakhleya. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
El Dakhleya@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1675.6
ELO
1444.1
85
ELO · Matches
54
1675.6
Current Team ELO
1444.1
1444.1
Current Opponent ELO
1675.6
231.5
Current ELO Difference
-231.5
0.79
Expected score
0.21
85
History Matches
54
0.09
Residual Mean
-0.05
57.49
Overperformance
46.33
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.01
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.80
1.80
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.10
2.00
Goals for per game
1.00
0.90
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.00
1.18
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.77
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals 90
85
Matches
54
2.04
PPG
1.11
61.2%
Win rate
27.8%
20.0%
Draw rate
27.8%
18.8%
Loss rate
44.4%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
68.5%
55.3%
Over 2.5 rate
38.9%
27.1%
Over 3.5 rate
16.7%
1.93
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.44
Venue performance10 signals 100
39
Matches
27
2.33
PPG
1.19
74.4%
Win rate
25.9%
10.3%
Draw rate
40.7%
15.4%
Loss rate
33.3%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
74.1%
64.1%
Over 2.5 rate
40.7%
23.1%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
2.18
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
39
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.76
Goals for per game
0.93
84.7%
Scoring rate
68.5%
47.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.96
92.3%
Scoring rate
70.4%
43.6%
BTTS rate
63.0%
85
History Matches
54
1.76
Goals Mean
0.93
1.17
Goals Std
0.79
84.7%
Scored 1+ rate
68.5%
56.5%
Scored 2+ rate
20.4%
27.1%
Scored 3+ rate
3.7%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.96
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.98
Goals against per game
1.35
56.5%
Conceding rate
72.2%
0.92
Goals against per game
1.30
48.7%
Conceding rate
81.5%
85
History Matches
54
0.98
Conceded Mean
1.35
1.27
Conceded Std
1.22
23.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.0%
7.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.7%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.5%
51.3%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.6%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
15.3%
Failed-to-score rate
31.5%
51.3%
Clean-sheet rate
18.5%
7.7%
Failed-to-score rate
29.6%
43.5%
Clean-sheet rate
27.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
85
History Matches
54
0.85
Result entropy
0.98
1.93
Goal Difference Std
1.44
14.72
Stability score
2.42
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
85
Eligible Matches
53
37
Lead Matches
8
86.5%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.91
Lead Points Retention
0.92
14
Trailing Matches
21
14.3%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
9.5%
Goal timing5 signals 50
85
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.67
First Half Goals For Mean
0.26
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
1.09
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.51
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
77.04
Rest days
177.2
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
11
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.09
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
61
Normal Rest History Matches
33
2.05
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.94
12
Long Rest History Matches
19
2.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.42
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
13
Competition Season Count
2
8
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.68
Portability PPG Std
0.09
2.50
Portability PPG Range
0.18
42.25
Portability Score
85.00
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
85
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO231.5
PPG0.92
GF0.84
GA-0.38
PPG1.15
PPG0.20
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches31
Clean-sheet rate15.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches12
Clean-sheet rate32.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches31
Goals Mean0.84
Goals Std0.38
Scored 1+ rate16.2%
Scored 2+ rate36.1%
Scored 3+ rate23.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.04
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.41
History Matches31
Conceded Mean-0.38
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate15.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.14
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.37
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.58
History Matches31
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std0.50
Stability score12.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.02
Eligible Matches32
Lead Matches29
Lead Win Rate-0.01
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-7
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches32
First Half Goals For Mean0.41
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count11
Eligible Competition Season Count6
Portability PPG Std0.60
Portability PPG Range2.32
Portability Score-42.75
Rest days-100.1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches10
Short Rest Points Per Match1.09
Normal Rest History Matches28
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.11
Long Rest History Matches-7
Long Rest Points Per Match0.58
Current Team ELO231.5
Current Opponent ELO-231.5
Current ELO Difference462.9
Expected score0.58
History Matches31
Residual Mean0.14
Overperformance11.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.04
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Pyramids FC
W
Smouha SC0–1Pyramids FC3 Nov · away
Pick: Pyramids FC 47% · hit W
Pyramids FC2–1Wadi Degla29 Oct · home
Pick: Pyramids FC 68% · hit W
Pyramids FC4–0EL Merriekh Bentiu24 Oct · home
Pick: Pyramids FC 65% · hit W
El Geish1–4Pyramids FC20 Oct · away
Pick: Pyramids FC 47% · hit W
EL Merriekh Bentiu0–1Pyramids FC16 Oct · away
Pick: Pyramids FC 64% · hit El Dakhleya
D
AL Nasr SC2–2El Dakhleya22 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 39% · hit L
El Dakhleya1–3Itesalat15 Oct · home
Pick: Itesalat 41% · hit L
Masar3–1El Dakhleya8 Oct · away
Pick: Masar 40% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Pyramids FC and El Dakhleya meet in Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. The match is played at 30 June Stadium, Cairo. ScoreProb published its prediction on 3 Nov, 07:46 UTC: Pyramids FC win 65.7%, draw 20.8%, El Dakhleya win 13.5%. The pick is Pyramids FC win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.6%. Both teams to score: 50.1%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.