ScoreProb
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain Group 2 - 10 2026

Reddis vs UD Logroñés II

Reddis Home · Elo 1,577
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
UD Logroñés II Away · Elo 1,697
Estadi Municipal de Reus Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Reddis win
Reddis winPick
45.4%
Draw
23.5%
UD Logroñés II win
31.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.2%
No49.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%

How much we know

Reddis history56 matches
UD Logroñés II history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Reddis are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • UD Logroñés II are rated 120 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,697 against 1,577. On rating alone UD Logroñés II would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • UD Logroñés II score far more

    1.46 goals a game over 56 matches for Reddis, against 2.94 over 49 for UD Logroñés II.

  • UD Logroñés II concede fewer

    Reddis concede 1.02 a game, UD Logroñés II 0.78.

  • UD Logroñés II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    52% of Reddis matches, against 65% for UD Logroñés II. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Reddis
UD Logroñés II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1576.5
ELO
1696.9
56
ELO · Matches
49
1576.5
Current Team ELO
1696.9
1696.9
Current Opponent ELO
1576.5
-120.4
Current ELO Difference
120.4
0.33
Expected score
0.67
56
History Matches
49
0.07
Residual Mean
0.20
54.95
Overperformance
63.95
0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
3.00
1.60
Goals for per game
4.00
0.80
Goals against per game
0.20
60.0%
Win rate
100.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
2.80
1.50
Goals for per game
4.20
0.90
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
90.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
4.20
0.81
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.04
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.30
1.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.15
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
49
1.71
PPG
2.43
50.0%
Win rate
75.5%
21.4%
Draw rate
16.3%
28.6%
Loss rate
8.2%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
87.8%
51.8%
Over 2.5 rate
65.3%
19.6%
Over 3.5 rate
42.9%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
28
Matches
25
2.00
PPG
2.12
60.7%
Win rate
64.0%
17.9%
Draw rate
20.0%
21.4%
Loss rate
16.0%
67.9%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
52.0%
21.4%
Over 3.5 rate
16.0%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
28
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.46
Goals for per game
2.94
78.6%
Scoring rate
89.8%
53.6%
BTTS rate
55.1%
1.68
Goals for per game
1.96
78.6%
Scoring rate
84.0%
46.4%
BTTS rate
52.0%
56
History Matches
49
1.46
Goals Mean
2.94
1.15
Goals Std
2.04
78.6%
Scored 1+ rate
89.8%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
75.5%
17.9%
Scored 3+ rate
46.9%
1.68
Venue Goals Mean
1.96
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.02
Goals against per game
0.78
64.3%
Conceding rate
59.2%
0.86
Goals against per game
0.72
57.1%
Conceding rate
60.0%
56
History Matches
49
1.02
Conceded Mean
0.78
0.95
Conceded Std
0.76
30.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
16.3%
5.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.0%
0.86
Venue Conceded Mean
0.72
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.8%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.2%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.8%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
10.2%
42.9%
Clean-sheet rate
40.0%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.0%
35.7%
Clean-sheet rate
40.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
49
0.94
Result entropy
0.65
1.44
Goal Difference Std
2.09
5.83
Stability score
35.14
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
55
Eligible Matches
49
13
Lead Matches
22
92.3%
Lead Win Rate
95.5%
0.95
Lead Points Retention
0.97
7
Trailing Matches
7
14.3%
Non-loss rate
71.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
57.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
55
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
1.10
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
0.98
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.84
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.39
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.96
Rest days
182.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
35
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.83
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.73
19
Long Rest History Matches
22
1.47
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.05
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.58
Portability PPG Std
0.23
1.38
Portability PPG Range
0.45
46.18
Portability Score
68.93
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-120.4
PPG-0.71
GF-1.47
GA0.24
PPG-0.12
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate11.2%
History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate2.9%
Failed-to-score rate5.4%
History Matches7
Goals Mean-1.47
Goals Std-0.90
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.33
Scored 3+ rate-0.29
Venue Goals Mean-0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean-2.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.23
History Matches7
Conceded Mean0.24
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate14.0%
Conceded 3+ rate3.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches7
Result entropy0.29
Goal Difference Std-0.65
Stability score-29.32
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.57
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.04
Eligible Matches6
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate-0.03
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate-0.57
Trailing Win Rate-0.57
Halftime Coverage Matches6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.65
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.36
Portability PPG Range0.93
Portability Score-22.75
Rest days-104.3
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.90
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.57
Current Team ELO-120.4
Current Opponent ELO120.4
Current ELO Difference-240.7
Expected score-0.33
History Matches7
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.00
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Reddis

L
Terrassa2–1Reddis1 Nov · away
Pick: Reddis 40% · missed
D
Peña Sport1–1Reddis24 Oct · away
Pick: Peña Sport 35% · missed
D
Reddis1–1Espanyol II18 Oct · home
Pick: Reddis 38% · missed
L
Reddis1–4Manresa4 Oct · home
Pick: Reddis 39% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

UD Logroñés II

L
UD Logroñés II1–3Espanyol II1 Nov · home
Pick: Espanyol II 45% · hit
D
Utebo1–1UD Logroñés II24 Oct · away
Pick: Utebo 51% · missed
L
Terrassa3–0UD Logroñés II18 Oct · away
Pick: Terrassa 38% · hit
L
UD Logroñés II2–4Olot4 Oct · home
Pick: Olot 42% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Reddis and UD Logroñés II meet in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Estadi Municipal de Reus. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Reddis win 45.4%, draw 23.5%, UD Logroñés II win 31.1%. The pick is Reddis win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.7%. Both teams to score: 50.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.