Rekord Bielsko-Biala W vs Sleza Wroclaw W
Match result probability Model pick: Sleza Wroclaw W win
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W win
36.2%
Draw
23.8%
Sleza Wroclaw W winPick
39.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.7%
No50.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.553.9%
Under 2.546.1%
How much we know
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W history35 matches
Sleza Wroclaw W history3 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Sleza Wroclaw W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Sleza Wroclaw W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Sleza Wroclaw W are rated 39 Elo points higher
Elo 1,485 against 1,446. On rating alone Sleza Wroclaw W would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.
-
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W score far more
1.14 goals a game over 35 matches for Rekord Bielsko-Biala W, against 0.67 over 3 for Sleza Wroclaw W.
-
Sleza Wroclaw W concede fewer
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W concede 1.77 a game, Sleza Wroclaw W 1.33.
-
Sleza Wroclaw W games more often go over 2.5 goals
51% of Rekord Bielsko-Biala W matches, against 67% for Sleza Wroclaw W. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Sleza Wroclaw W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1446.2
ELO
1484.8
35
ELO · Matches
3
1446.2
Current Team ELO
1484.8
1484.8
Current Opponent ELO
1446.2
-38.55
Current ELO Difference
38.55
0.44
Expected score
0.56
35
History Matches
3
-0.07
Residual Mean
-0.28
45.44
Overperformance
46.36
-0.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.28
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
3
0.20
PPG
0.33
1.00
Goals for per game
0.67
3.00
Goals against per game
1.33
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
0.33
1.40
Goals for per game
0.67
2.00
Goals against per game
1.33
30.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.67
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.47
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.33
1.48
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.47
Overall performance9 signals 90
35
Matches
3
1.09
PPG
0.33
31.4%
Win rate
0.0%
14.3%
Draw rate
33.3%
54.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
51.4%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
37.1%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
Venue performance10 signals 100
18
Matches
2
0.83
PPG
0.50
22.2%
Win rate
0.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
50.0%
61.1%
Loss rate
50.0%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
55.6%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
18
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.14
Goals for per game
0.67
62.9%
Scoring rate
66.7%
45.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
0.89
Goals for per game
0.50
55.6%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
0.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
35
History Matches
3
1.14
Goals Mean
0.67
1.29
Goals Std
0.47
62.9%
Scored 1+ rate
66.7%
25.7%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
14.3%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
0.89
Venue Goals Mean
0.50
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.77
Goals against per game
1.33
77.1%
Conceding rate
66.7%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.00
88.9%
Conceding rate
50.0%
3.25
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
35
History Matches
3
1.77
Conceded Mean
1.33
1.46
Conceded Std
0.94
48.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
66.7%
31.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
22.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
37.1%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
22.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
37.1%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
22.9%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
35
History Matches
3
0.89
Result entropy
0.58
2.00
Goal Difference Std
0.47
11.40
Stability score
42.06
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
35
Eligible Matches
3
6
Lead Matches
0
83.3%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.83
Lead Points Retention
—
14
Trailing Matches
0
0.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
3
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
0.60
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.90
Rest days
83.98
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
13
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0.62
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
20
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.35
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.50
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
3
0.25
PPG
0.33
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
75.0%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
75.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
4
Current Competition Matches
3
0.25
Current Competition PPG
0.33
-2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.67
3
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.43
Portability PPG Std
—
1.02
Portability PPG Range
—
53.62
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
35
Clean History Matches
3
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO-38.55
PPG0.75
GF0.48
GA0.44
PPG-0.08
PPG0.33
PPG-0.13
PPG0.67
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches32
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate-0.39
Failed-to-score rate-0.06
History Matches32
Goals Mean0.48
Goals Std0.82
Scored 1+ rate-0.04
Scored 2+ rate25.7%
Scored 3+ rate14.3%
Venue Goals Mean0.39
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.73
Recent 10 Goals Std0.96
History Matches32
Conceded Mean0.44
Conceded Std0.51
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate31.4%
Venue Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.54
History Matches32
Result entropy0.31
Goal Difference Std1.53
Stability score-30.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.24
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.82
Eligible Matches32
Lead Matches6
Trailing Matches14
Halftime Coverage Matches32
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean0.27
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-0.08
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.58
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days-0.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches13
Long Rest History Matches18
Long Rest Points Per Match0.85
Current Team ELO-38.55
Current Opponent ELO38.55
Current ELO Difference-77.09
Expected score-0.11
History Matches32
Residual Mean0.21
Overperformance-0.92
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
D
UKS Łódź W1–1Rekord Bielsko-Biala W17 Oct · away
Pick: UKS Łódź W 51% · missed W
Pogon Szczecin W1–2Rekord Bielsko-Biala W4 Oct · away
Pick: Pogon Szczecin W 77% · missed D
Slask Wroclaw W1–1Rekord Bielsko-Biala W30 Aug · away
Pick: Slask Wroclaw W 47% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Sleza Wroclaw W
D
Akademia Piłkarska LG W2–2Sleza Wroclaw W31 Oct · away
Pick: Akademia Piłkarska LG W 54% · missed W
Sleza Wroclaw W4–2Czarni Sosnowiec W21 Oct · home
Pick: Czarni Sosnowiec W 74% · missed W
Sleza Wroclaw W3–2Slask Wroclaw W17 Oct · home
Pick: Sleza Wroclaw W 52% · hit L
UJ Krakow W4–1Sleza Wroclaw W4 Oct · away
Pick: UJ Krakow W 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W and Sleza Wroclaw W meet in Ekstraliga Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Rekord Bielsko-Biala W win 36.2%, draw 23.8%, Sleza Wroclaw W win 39.9%. The pick is Sleza Wroclaw W win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.9%. Both teams to score: 49.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.