UJ Krakow W vs UKS Łódź W
Match result probability Model pick: UJ Krakow W win
UJ Krakow W winPick
43.2%
Draw
23.5%
UKS Łódź W win
33.3%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.8%
No44.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.554.3%
Under 2.545.7%
How much we know
UJ Krakow W history26 matches
UKS Łódź W history35 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours UJ Krakow W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 10:45 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 11:45 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.2%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.
Why UJ Krakow W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,490 against 1,472. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
UKS Łódź W score more
1.23 goals a game over 26 matches for UJ Krakow W, against 1.37 over 35 for UKS Łódź W.
-
UKS Łódź W concede fewer
UJ Krakow W concede 1.69 a game, UKS Łódź W 1.40.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
50% of UJ Krakow W matches, against 54% for UKS Łódź W. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
UKS Łódź W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1490.3
ELO
1472.4
26
ELO · Matches
35
1490.3
Current Team ELO
1472.4
1472.4
Current Opponent ELO
1490.3
17.85
Current ELO Difference
-17.85
0.53
Expected score
0.47
26
History Matches
35
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.04
49.02
Overperformance
47.73
0.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.40
2.00
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.10
1.00
Goals against per game
1.50
60.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.18
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.74
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.80
Overall performance9 signals 90
26
Matches
35
1.19
PPG
1.20
30.8%
Win rate
31.4%
26.9%
Draw rate
25.7%
42.3%
Loss rate
42.9%
73.1%
Over 1.5 rate
74.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
54.3%
34.6%
Over 3.5 rate
25.7%
2.32
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
Venue performance10 signals 100
13
Matches
17
1.23
PPG
1.29
30.8%
Win rate
35.3%
30.8%
Draw rate
23.5%
38.5%
Loss rate
41.2%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
88.2%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
64.7%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
29.4%
2.41
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.74
13
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.23
Goals for per game
1.37
65.4%
Scoring rate
71.4%
42.3%
BTTS rate
48.6%
1.54
Goals for per game
1.59
76.9%
Scoring rate
76.5%
53.8%
BTTS rate
52.9%
1.50
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
26
History Matches
35
1.23
Goals Mean
1.37
1.34
Goals Std
1.35
65.4%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
30.8%
Scored 2+ rate
34.3%
11.5%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.54
Venue Goals Mean
1.59
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.69
Goals against per game
1.40
73.1%
Conceding rate
74.3%
2.00
Goals against per game
1.59
76.9%
Conceding rate
76.5%
1.75
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
26
History Matches
35
1.69
Conceded Mean
1.40
1.64
Conceded Std
1.31
38.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.3%
30.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
20.0%
2.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.59
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
34.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
34.6%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
23.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
23.1%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
25.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
26
History Matches
35
0.98
Result entropy
0.98
2.32
Goal Difference Std
2.16
1.71
Stability score
2.05
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
26
Eligible Matches
35
5
Lead Matches
12
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
58.3%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.69
10
Trailing Matches
10
20.0%
Non-loss rate
10.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
26
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.96
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.69
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
83.86
Rest days
83.91
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
10
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.10
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.19
15
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.13
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.18
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
1.75
PPG
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
0.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.06
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.75
Current Competition PPG
0.50
-0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.37
0.66
Portability PPG Range
0.82
60.27
Portability Score
57.79
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
26
Clean History Matches
35
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO17.85
PPG-0.01
GF-0.14
GA0.29
PPG1.25
PPG-0.06
PPG1.60
PPG0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate1.2%
Failed-to-score rate6.0%
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate0.00
Failed-to-score rate0.00
History Matches-9
Goals Mean-0.14
Goals Std-0.02
Scored 1+ rate-0.06
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.32
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean0.29
Conceded Std0.32
Clean-sheet rate1.2%
Conceded 2+ rate4.2%
Conceded 3+ rate10.8%
Venue Conceded Mean0.41
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.32
History Matches-9
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.17
Stability score-0.34
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.06
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches-7
Lead Win Rate41.7%
Lead Points Retention0.31
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate10.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean0.01
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.25
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.04
Portability PPG Range-0.16
Portability Score2.48
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Current Team ELO17.85
Current Opponent ELO-17.85
Current ELO Difference35.71
Expected score0.05
History Matches-9
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.25
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
UJ Krakow W
D
UJ Krakow W0–0Legia W31 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 45% · missed L
UJ Krakow W0–2Lech Poznan W21 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 59% · missed L
GKS Katowice W3–0UJ Krakow W18 Oct · away
Pick: GKS Katowice W 76% · hit W
UJ Krakow W4–1Sleza Wroclaw W4 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
UKS Łódź W
L
Górnik Łęczna W3–0UKS Łódź W30 Oct · away
Pick: Górnik Łęczna W 76% · hit D
UKS Łódź W1–1Rekord Bielsko-Biala W17 Oct · home
Pick: UKS Łódź W 51% · missed W
Legia W1–2UKS Łódź W4 Oct · away
Pick: Legia W 48% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
UJ Krakow W and UKS Łódź W meet in Ekstraliga Women on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 11:45 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: UJ Krakow W win 43.2%, draw 23.5%, UKS Łódź W win 33.3%. The pick is UJ Krakow W win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.3%. Both teams to score: 55.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.