Rodange 91 vs Koeppchen
Match result probability Model pick: Rodange 91 win
Rodange 91 winPick
58.3%
Draw
16.8%
Koeppchen win
24.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes42.9%
No57.1%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%
How much we know
Rodange 91 history51 matches
Koeppchen history1 match
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Rodange 91
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 17:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (58.3%). Picks in that band won 55.7% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,755 matches.
Why Rodange 91 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Koeppchen are rated 30 Elo points higher
Elo 1,492 against 1,462. On rating alone Koeppchen would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
-
Rodange 91 score far more
1.22 goals a game over 51 matches for Rodange 91, against 0.00 over 1 for Koeppchen.
-
Koeppchen concede fewer
Rodange 91 concede 1.76 a game, Koeppchen 1.00.
-
Rodange 91 games more often go over 2.5 goals
55% of Rodange 91 matches, against 0% for Koeppchen. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 26 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Koeppchen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1461.6
ELO
1492.0
51
ELO · Matches
1
1461.6
Current Team ELO
1492.0
1492.0
Current Opponent ELO
1461.6
-30.36
Current ELO Difference
30.36
0.46
Expected score
0.54
51
History Matches
1
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.49
47.00
Overperformance
47.66
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.49
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
1.80
Goals for per game
0.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
1
1.10
PPG
0.00
1.20
Goals for per game
0.00
1.70
Goals against per game
1.00
30.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.00
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
—
1.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.73
Recent 10 Conceded Std
—
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.29
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
—
Overall performance9 signals 90
51
Matches
1
1.16
PPG
0.00
29.4%
Win rate
0.0%
27.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
43.1%
Loss rate
100.0%
82.4%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
54.9%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
37.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.20
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
Venue performance10 signals 100
24
Matches
1
1.00
PPG
0.00
20.8%
Win rate
0.0%
37.5%
Draw rate
0.0%
41.7%
Loss rate
100.0%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.04
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
24
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.22
Goals for per game
0.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
0.0%
51.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.25
Goals for per game
0.00
70.8%
Scoring rate
0.0%
62.5%
BTTS rate
0.0%
51
History Matches
1
1.22
Goals Mean
0.00
1.23
Goals Std
—
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
0.0%
33.3%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
11.8%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.25
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.76
Goals against per game
1.00
76.5%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.79
Goals against per game
1.00
83.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
51
History Matches
1
1.76
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.55
Conceded Std
—
47.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
31.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.79
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
23.5%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
51
History Matches
1
0.98
Result entropy
0.00
2.20
Goal Difference Std
—
1.92
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
50
Eligible Matches
1
17
Lead Matches
0
70.6%
Lead Win Rate
—
0.76
Lead Points Retention
—
15
Trailing Matches
0
6.7%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals 50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
1
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
0.68
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.12
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
104.1
Rest days
108.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
30
Normal Rest History Matches
0
1.17
Normal Rest Points Per Match
—
19
Long Rest History Matches
0
1.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
1
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
0.65
Portability PPG Std
—
1.74
Portability PPG Range
—
43.40
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
51
Clean History Matches
1
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-30.36
PPG1.16
GF1.22
GA0.76
PPG1.00
PPG1.00
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches50
Clean-sheet rate23.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.67
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate16.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.71
History Matches50
Goals Mean1.22
Scored 1+ rate66.7%
Scored 2+ rate33.3%
Scored 3+ rate11.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
History Matches50
Conceded Mean0.76
Clean-sheet rate23.5%
Conceded 2+ rate47.1%
Conceded 3+ rate31.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.79
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.70
History Matches50
Result entropy0.98
Stability score-98.08
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.94
Eligible Matches49
Lead Matches17
Trailing Matches15
Halftime Coverage Matches49
First Half Goals For Mean0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean0.68
Second Half Goals For Mean0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.12
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count4
Rest days-3.90
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches30
Long Rest History Matches19
Current Team ELO-30.36
Current Opponent ELO30.36
Current ELO Difference-60.73
Expected score-0.09
History Matches50
Residual Mean0.45
Overperformance-0.66
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.44
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Rodange 91
No earlier results with our pick yet
Koeppchen
No earlier results with our pick yet
About this match
Rodange 91 and Koeppchen meet in Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:30 UTC. The match is played at Stade Joseph Philippart, Rodange. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Rodange 91 win 58.3%, draw 16.8%, Koeppchen win 24.9%. The pick is Rodange 91 win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.4%. Both teams to score: 42.9%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.