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Liga III - Serie 2 Romania Group 2 - 13 2026

Săcele vs Inter Sibiu

Săcele Home · Elo 1,472
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Inter Sibiu Away · Elo 1,476
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Săcele win
Săcele winPick
54.6%
Draw
21.0%
Inter Sibiu win
24.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.1%
No40.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%

How much we know

Săcele history26 matches
Inter Sibiu history12 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.6%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.

Why Săcele are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,472 against 1,476. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.46 goals a game over 26 matches for Săcele, against 1.50 over 12 for Inter Sibiu.

  • Defences are close

    Săcele concede 1.65 a game, Inter Sibiu 1.67.

  • Inter Sibiu games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Săcele matches, against 75% for Inter Sibiu. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Săcele
Inter Sibiu@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1472.2
ELO
1475.6
26
ELO · Matches
12
1472.2
Current Team ELO
1475.6
1475.6
Current Opponent ELO
1472.2
-3.40
Current ELO Difference
3.40
0.50
Expected score
0.50
26
History Matches
12
-0.04
Residual Mean
-0.12
47.83
Overperformance
45.60
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.80
2.60
Goals for per game
2.20
2.60
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.50
Goals against per game
1.60
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.15
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.36
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
2.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
26
Matches
12
1.23
PPG
1.08
34.6%
Win rate
33.3%
19.2%
Draw rate
8.3%
46.2%
Loss rate
58.3%
73.1%
Over 1.5 rate
91.7%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
38.5%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
Venue performance10 signals
100
15
Matches
7
1.73
PPG
0.86
53.3%
Win rate
28.6%
13.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
71.4%
86.7%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
85.7%
53.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
15
History Matches
7
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.46
Goals for per game
1.50
61.5%
Scoring rate
75.0%
53.8%
BTTS rate
58.3%
2.07
Goals for per game
1.29
73.3%
Scoring rate
71.4%
60.0%
BTTS rate
71.4%
26
History Matches
12
1.46
Goals Mean
1.50
1.65
Goals Std
1.26
61.5%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
42.3%
Scored 2+ rate
41.7%
23.1%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
2.07
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.65
Goals against per game
1.67
73.1%
Conceding rate
83.3%
1.67
Goals against per game
2.00
73.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
26
History Matches
12
1.65
Conceded Mean
1.67
1.41
Conceded Std
1.03
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
58.3%
23.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.0%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
38.5%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
26.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
26
History Matches
12
0.95
Result entropy
0.81
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.91
5.23
Stability score
19.20
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
22
Eligible Matches
6
7
Lead Matches
2
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
1.00
8
Trailing Matches
4
12.5%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
22
Halftime Coverage Matches
6
0.59
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.64
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.17
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
1.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
100.9
Rest days
107.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
14
Normal Rest History Matches
5
0.93
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.80
11
Long Rest History Matches
6
1.45
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
26
Clean History Matches
12
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-3.40
PPG0.15
GF-0.04
GA-0.01
PPG0.88
PPG-0.60
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches14
Clean-sheet rate10.3%
Failed-to-score rate13.5%
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate26.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches14
Goals Mean-0.04
Goals Std0.39
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate0.6%
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean0.78
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.80
History Matches14
Conceded Mean-0.01
Conceded Std0.39
Clean-sheet rate10.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.33
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.26
History Matches14
Result entropy0.14
Goal Difference Std0.09
Stability score-13.97
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.12
Eligible Matches16
Lead Matches5
Lead Win Rate-0.14
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate12.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches16
First Half Goals For Mean-0.08
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.53
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.47
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-7.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.87
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.95
Current Team ELO-3.40
Current Opponent ELO3.40
Current ELO Difference-6.81
Expected score-0.01
History Matches14
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance2.22
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Săcele

L
Kids Tâmpa Braşov2–1Săcele6 Nov · away
Pick: Kids Tâmpa Braşov 56% · hit
W
Săcele4–2Baicoi31 Oct · home
Pick: Baicoi 47% · missed
W
Tricolorul Breaza0–2Săcele24 Oct · away
Pick: Tricolorul Breaza 45% · missed
W
Săcele4–0Carpati Covasna17 Oct · home
Pick: Săcele 61% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Inter Sibiu

W
Inter Sibiu5–0Tricolorul Breaza6 Nov · home
Pick: Tricolorul Breaza 48% · missed
W
Inter Sibiu5–0Carpati Covasna30 Oct · home
Pick: Inter Sibiu 57% · hit
W
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung1–2Inter Sibiu23 Oct · away
Pick: ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 63% · missed
L
Inter Sibiu2–3ACS Mediaş 202216 Oct · home
Pick: ACS Mediaş 2022 43% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Săcele and Inter Sibiu meet in Liga III - Serie 2 on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Săcele win 54.6%, draw 21.0%, Inter Sibiu win 24.4%. The pick is Săcele win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.0%. Both teams to score: 59.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.