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Frauenliga Austria Round 13 2026

Salzburg W vs Austria Wien W

Salzburg W Home · Elo 1,505
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Austria Wien W Away · Elo 1,668
Generali Arena, Vienna Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Austria Wien W win
Salzburg W win
8.3%
Draw
14.8%
Austria Wien W winPick
76.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes44.1%
No55.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%

How much we know

Salzburg W history28 matches
Austria Wien W history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (76.9%). Picks in that band won 76.5% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 646 matches.

Why Austria Wien W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Austria Wien W are rated 162 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,668 against 1,505. On rating alone Austria Wien W would be expected to take 72% of the points on offer.

  • Austria Wien W score more

    1.46 goals a game over 28 matches for Salzburg W, against 2.20 over 51 for Austria Wien W.

  • Austria Wien W concede fewer

    Salzburg W concede 1.86 a game, Austria Wien W 0.57.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    54% of Salzburg W matches, against 51% for Austria Wien W. The model puts this match at 56% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Salzburg W
Austria Wien W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1505.3
ELO
1667.7
28
ELO · Matches
51
1505.3
Current Team ELO
1667.7
1667.7
Current Opponent ELO
1505.3
-162.5
Current ELO Difference
162.5
0.28
Expected score
0.72
28
History Matches
51
0.01
Residual Mean
0.16
50.57
Overperformance
61.65
-0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.08
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.40
1.20
Goals for per game
3.60
2.20
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
2.00
0.60
Goals for per game
2.40
1.80
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.40
0.92
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.11
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.80
2.09
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.75
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.46
Overall performance9 signals
90
28
Matches
51
1.32
PPG
2.16
35.7%
Win rate
64.7%
25.0%
Draw rate
21.6%
39.3%
Loss rate
13.7%
78.6%
Over 1.5 rate
74.5%
53.6%
Over 2.5 rate
51.0%
35.7%
Over 3.5 rate
27.5%
2.55
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.28
Venue performance10 signals
100
14
Matches
25
1.36
PPG
2.16
35.7%
Win rate
64.0%
28.6%
Draw rate
24.0%
35.7%
Loss rate
12.0%
64.3%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
35.7%
Over 2.5 rate
52.0%
14.3%
Over 3.5 rate
24.0%
1.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.24
14
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.46
Goals for per game
2.20
57.1%
Scoring rate
78.4%
42.9%
BTTS rate
33.3%
1.14
Goals for per game
2.04
57.1%
Scoring rate
76.0%
42.9%
BTTS rate
20.0%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
28
History Matches
51
1.46
Goals Mean
2.20
1.61
Goals Std
1.96
57.1%
Scored 1+ rate
78.4%
42.9%
Scored 2+ rate
56.9%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.14
Venue Goals Mean
2.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.86
Goals against per game
0.57
75.0%
Conceding rate
43.1%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.40
71.4%
Conceding rate
24.0%
2.25
Goals against per game
0.33
50.0%
Conceding rate
33.3%
28
History Matches
51
1.86
Conceded Mean
0.57
1.92
Conceded Std
0.72
46.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
13.7%
21.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
0.40
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
56.9%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
76.0%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
66.7%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
56.9%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.6%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
76.0%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
56.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
28
History Matches
51
0.98
Result entropy
0.81
2.55
Goal Difference Std
2.28
1.57
Stability score
19.43
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
28
Eligible Matches
51
7
Lead Matches
26
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
96.2%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.97
10
Trailing Matches
6
10.0%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
28
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
0.61
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.86
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.16
0.86
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.20
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.85
Rest days
80.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
11
Normal Rest History Matches
29
1.36
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.97
16
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.19
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.28
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
3
1.50
PPG
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
3.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.30
4
Current Competition Matches
3
1.50
Current Competition PPG
2.00
-1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.67
2
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
6
0.10
Portability PPG Std
0.30
0.21
Portability PPG Range
0.95
82.76
Portability Score
62.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
28
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-162.5
PPG-0.84
GF-0.73
GA1.29
PPG-0.50
PPG-0.80
PPG-1.00
PPG-1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-23
Clean-sheet rate-0.32
Failed-to-score rate21.3%
History Matches-11
Clean-sheet rate-0.47
Failed-to-score rate18.9%
History Matches-23
Goals Mean-0.73
Goals Std-0.35
Scored 1+ rate-0.21
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.08
Venue Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.19
History Matches-23
Conceded Mean1.29
Conceded Std1.20
Clean-sheet rate-0.32
Conceded 2+ rate32.7%
Conceded 3+ rate21.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.34
History Matches-23
Result entropy0.18
Goal Difference Std0.27
Stability score-17.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.10
Eligible Matches-23
Lead Matches-19
Lead Win Rate3.8%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches4
Non-loss rate-0.07
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-23
First Half Goals For Mean-0.39
First Half Goals Against Mean0.70
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.34
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.59
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-3.92
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Portability PPG Std-0.20
Portability PPG Range-0.74
Portability Score20.61
Rest days3.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-18
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.60
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.09
Current Team ELO-162.5
Current Opponent ELO162.5
Current ELO Difference-324.9
Expected score-0.44
History Matches-23
Residual Mean-0.15
Overperformance-11.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Salzburg W

L
Salzburg W0–1Sturm Graz W31 Oct · home
Pick: Sturm Graz W 56% · hit
W
Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W0–4Salzburg W24 Oct · away
Pick: Kleinmünchen / BW Linz W 44% · missed
W
Südburgenland W0–3Salzburg W17 Oct · away
Pick: Südburgenland W 41% · missed
L
St. Pölten W2–0Salzburg W29 Aug · away
Pick: St. Pölten W 83% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Austria Wien W

W
LASK W0–3Austria Wien W1 Nov · away
Pick: Austria Wien W 74% · hit
L
Austria Wien W1–4Juventus W29 Oct · home
Pick: Austria Wien W 52% · missed
D
Austria Wien W1–1Rheindorf Altach W24 Oct · home
Pick: Austria Wien W 85% · missed
W
St. Pölten W0–3Austria Wien W18 Oct · away
Pick: Austria Wien W 45% · hit
W
Austria Wien W6–0SK Rapid W4 Oct · home
Pick: Austria Wien W 84% · hit

About this match

Salzburg W and Austria Wien W meet in Frauenliga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Generali Arena, Vienna. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Salzburg W win 8.3%, draw 14.8%, Austria Wien W win 76.9%. The pick is Austria Wien W win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.6%. Both teams to score: 44.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.