Seosan Pioneer vs Jecheon Citizen
Match result probability Model pick: Seosan Pioneer win
Seosan Pioneer winPick
44.9%
Draw
17.5%
Jecheon Citizen win
37.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes59.3%
No40.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.6%
Under 2.531.4%
How much we know
Seosan Pioneer history4 matches
Jecheon Citizen history4 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Seosan Pioneer
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 20 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 04:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 05:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.
Why Seosan Pioneer are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,479 against 1,477. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Jecheon Citizen score far more
1.25 goals a game over 4 matches for Seosan Pioneer, against 2.00 over 4 for Jecheon Citizen.
-
Seosan Pioneer concede fewer
Seosan Pioneer concede 2.00 a game, Jecheon Citizen 2.75.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
75% of Seosan Pioneer matches, against 75% for Jecheon Citizen. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jecheon Citizen@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1479.3
ELO
1476.9
4
ELO · Matches
4
1479.3
Current Team ELO
1476.9
1476.9
Current Opponent ELO
1479.3
2.40
Current ELO Difference
-2.40
0.50
Expected score
0.50
4
History Matches
4
-0.26
Residual Mean
-0.24
45.68
Overperformance
45.96
-0.26
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.24
Recent form16 signals 160
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
0.75
1.25
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
2.75
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
0.75
1.25
Goals for per game
2.00
2.00
Goals against per game
2.75
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
1.25
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
2.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.75
1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.83
0.51
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.51
3.34
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.09
Overall performance9 signals 90
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
0.75
25.0%
Win rate
25.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.09
Venue performance10 signals 100
2
Matches
1
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
2
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.25
Goals for per game
2.00
25.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.00
0.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.67
Goals for per game
2.67
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
4
1.25
Goals Mean
2.00
2.17
Goals Std
1.87
25.0%
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
0.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.00
Goals against per game
2.75
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
2.50
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
3.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
4
History Matches
4
2.00
Conceded Mean
2.75
1.22
Conceded Std
0.83
75.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
2.50
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
4
History Matches
4
0.51
Result entropy
0.51
3.34
Goal Difference Std
1.09
48.81
Stability score
48.81
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
4
Eligible Matches
4
1
Lead Matches
0
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
—
1.00
Lead Points Retention
—
2
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
4
Halftime Coverage Matches
4
0.75
First Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.25
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.25
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.88
Rest days
76.92
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
1
Normal Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
2
Long Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.50
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
3.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.94
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
2
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
4
Clean History Matches
4
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO2.40
PPG0.00
GF-0.75
GA-0.75
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Failed-to-score rate50.0%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.75
Goals Std0.29
Scored 1+ rate-0.50
Scored 2+ rate-0.25
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std0.29
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.75
Conceded Std0.40
Clean-sheet rate25.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate0.0%
Venue Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.40
History Matches0
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std2.26
Stability score0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.26
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches1
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.25
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.33
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days-0.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match3.00
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.50
Current Team ELO2.40
Current Opponent ELO-2.40
Current ELO Difference4.81
Expected score0.01
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-0.28
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Seosan Pioneer
L
Haman2–0Seosan Pioneer1 Nov · away
Pick: Haman 53% · hit D
Seosan Pioneer1–1Pyeongchang United4 Oct · home
Pick: Seosan Pioneer 46% · missed L
Seosan Pioneer1–2Namyangju29 Aug · home
Pick: Namyangju 45% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Jecheon Citizen
W
Jecheon Citizen1–0Jungnang Chorus Mustang1 Nov · home
Pick: Jungnang Chorus Mustang 53% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Seosan Pioneer and Jecheon Citizen meet in K4 League on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 05:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Seosan Pioneer win 44.9%, draw 17.5%, Jecheon Citizen win 37.6%. The pick is Seosan Pioneer win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.6%. Both teams to score: 59.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.