ScoreProb
Pro League U23 United Arab Emirates Round 8 2026

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 vs Al Sharjah U23

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 Home · Elo 1,484
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Al Sharjah U23 Away · Elo 1,547
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Al Sharjah U23 win
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 win
26.9%
Draw
25.5%
Al Sharjah U23 winPick
47.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.6%
No50.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%

How much we know

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 history12 matches
Al Sharjah U23 history14 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:55 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Al Sharjah U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Al Sharjah U23 are rated 63 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,547 against 1,484. On rating alone Al Sharjah U23 would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Al Sharjah U23 score far more

    1.08 goals a game over 12 matches for Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23, against 1.86 over 14 for Al Sharjah U23.

  • Al Sharjah U23 concede fewer

    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 concede 1.67 a game, Al Sharjah U23 0.93.

  • Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 matches, against 43% for Al Sharjah U23. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23
Al Sharjah U23
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1484.3
ELO
1547.0
12
ELO · Matches
14
1484.3
Current Team ELO
1547.0
1547.0
Current Opponent ELO
1484.3
-62.71
Current ELO Difference
62.71
0.41
Expected score
0.59
12
History Matches
14
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.15
48.16
Overperformance
56.35
0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.22
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.80
1.40
Goals for per game
2.40
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
80.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
2.00
1.10
Goals for per game
2.00
1.60
Goals against per game
0.70
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.84
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.62
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.46
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
2.16
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
12
Matches
14
1.17
PPG
1.86
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
35.7%
50.0%
Loss rate
14.3%
91.7%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
8.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.98
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
7
Matches
8
1.00
PPG
1.88
28.6%
Win rate
50.0%
14.3%
Draw rate
37.5%
57.1%
Loss rate
12.5%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
62.5%
71.4%
Over 2.5 rate
37.5%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
12.5%
0.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.39
7
History Matches
8
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.08
Goals for per game
1.86
83.3%
Scoring rate
78.6%
66.7%
BTTS rate
64.3%
1.14
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
85.7%
BTTS rate
62.5%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
12
History Matches
14
1.08
Goals Mean
1.86
0.64
Goals Std
1.64
83.3%
Scored 1+ rate
78.6%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
21.4%
1.14
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.67
Goals against per game
0.93
83.3%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.43
Goals against per game
0.75
85.7%
Conceding rate
75.0%
0.50
Goals against per game
0.50
50.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
12
History Matches
14
1.67
Conceded Mean
0.93
1.49
Conceded Std
0.96
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
7.1%
8.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
7.1%
1.43
Venue Conceded Mean
0.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
21.4%
14.3%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
16.7%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
12
History Matches
14
0.92
Result entropy
0.90
1.98
Goal Difference Std
1.71
7.94
Stability score
9.68
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
11
Eligible Matches
13
7
Lead Matches
5
57.1%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.62
Lead Points Retention
0.87
3
Trailing Matches
4
33.3%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
11
Halftime Coverage Matches
13
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.85
0.45
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.36
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
76.95
Rest days
75.95
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
5
Normal Rest History Matches
5
1.20
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.60
6
Long Rest History Matches
8
1.33
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.88
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
2.00
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
0.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
2
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
12
Clean History Matches
14
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-62.71
PPG-0.69
GF-0.77
GA0.74
PPG1.00
PPG-0.88
PPG0.60
PPG-0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.77
Goals Std-1.00
Scored 1+ rate4.8%
Scored 2+ rate-0.25
Scored 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Goals Mean-0.36
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.14
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean0.74
Conceded Std0.53
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate42.9%
Conceded 3+ rate1.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.68
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.17
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.27
Stability score-1.74
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.33
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.54
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.23
Lead Points Retention-0.25
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.25
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.12
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.01
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.64
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.64
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.00
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.40
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.54
Current Team ELO-62.71
Current Opponent ELO62.71
Current ELO Difference-125.4
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-2
Residual Mean-0.20
Overperformance-8.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.18

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23

W
Ittihad Kalba U232–4Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U2331 Oct · away
Pick: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 44% · hit
L
Al Ain U233–1Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U2318 Oct · away
Pick: Al Ain U23 75% · hit
D
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U234–4Al Wasl U2329 Aug · home
Pick: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 48% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Al Sharjah U23

D
Al Nasr U233–3Al Sharjah U232 Nov · away
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 58% · missed
D
Al Sharjah U230–0Ajman U2319 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 49% · missed
D
Al Sharjah U232–2Al Wahda U234 Oct · home
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 56% · missed
W
Al Sharjah U231–0Hatta U2331 Aug · home
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 66% · hit
D
Al Jazira U230–0Al Sharjah U2324 Aug · away
Pick: Al Sharjah U23 55% · missed

About this match

Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 and Al Sharjah U23 meet in Pro League U23 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:55 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai U23 win 26.9%, draw 25.5%, Al Sharjah U23 win 47.6%. The pick is Al Sharjah U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 49.4%. Both teams to score: 49.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.